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US stocks in holding pattern ahead of Wednesday’s Fed decision

Major indexes closed down 0.1%.

Nia Warfield, Luke Kawa

US stocks did little of note on Tuesday, with traders seemingly content to sit on their hands ahead of the Federal Reserve decision tomorrow afternoon.

The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 all declined 0.1% on the session.

Energy was the best-performing S&P 500 sector ETF, while utilities were at the bottom of the leaderboard.

Steel Dynamics was one of the bright spots, with shares up 6.2% after the company guided for better-than-expected Q3 earnings. Warner Bros. Discovery led declines, falling 6.3% after TD Cowen downgraded the stock from “buy” to “hold,” citing concerns over its recent takeover uncertainty. Elsewhere…

Webtoon Entertainment shares soared 39% after Disney said it’s buying a 2% stake and partnering with the popular digital comics platform.

Tesla rose 2.8% amid new data showing it continues to dominate in US EV sales and as CEO Elon Musk responded to a post on X with, “Daddy is very much home,” before detailing his packed Tesla schedule and involvement with the company.

Rivian shares jumped 5.2% after the EV maker broke ground on its delayed $5 billion Georgia plant, which it says will be able to produce 200,000 vehicles per year by 2028.

Nio climbed 8.2% following an upgrade from UBS to “buy” from “neutral.” The move propelled the stock to its highest level since last October.

Plug Power gained 7.3% after a wave of bullish options activity.

Moderna ticked higher by 4% after the biotech giant announced encouraging phase 4 clinical trial results for its next COVID-19 vaccine.

GameStop popped 3.1%, notching its longest winning streak since 2022, on the heels of the company’s stellar Q2 earnings report last week.

Oracle was up 1.5% after The Wall Street Journal reported that the cloud giant is part of an upcoming deal for a US spin-off of TikTok.

Dave & Buster’s tumbled nearly 17% after the arcade and restaurant chain’s disappointing Q2 earnings report, released after the bell on Monday.

Rocket Lab shares dropped 12.6% after the company announced an at-the-market share offering of up to $750 million in securities, hammering its stock price in early trading.

Hims & Hers fell 5.7% after the FDA posted a warning letter it sent the company over the marketing for its compounded weight-loss drugs.

Delta Air Lines shares dipped 1% after the Trump administration ordered the airline to dissolve its roughly 9-year-old joint venture with Aeromexico by January 1, 2026.

Ralph Lauren shares fell as much as 2% before closing roughly flat after the luxury retailer delivered a solid revenue outlook but warned that tariffs and inflation could squeeze margins.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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