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US stocks rise, S&P 500 misses out on fresh records by a whisker

The S&P 500 came tantalizingly close to both an intraday and closing record but ultimately got neither, closing up 0.8%. The Nasdaq 100 gained about 1% while the Russell 2000 bounced back with a strong 1.7% advance.

Both monetary and trade policy appear to be evolving in a favorable direction for stocks: traders are pricing in over 65 basis points of easing by the Federal Reserve through year-end (versus about 50 basis points for most of the past month or so), and the White House said its July 9 deadline before reciprocal tariffs would be ramped up wasn’t really a hard deadline.

Most S&P 500 sector ETFs rose, with consumer staples and real estate the exceptions. Energy, communication services, industrials, and materials all gained 1%.

Enphase Energy led gains on the day, up nearly 13% on reports that Congress may not slash federal tax incentives for residential rooftop solar installations. Data center company Equinix was the worst performer, down about 10%. Meanwhile...

Core Scientific surged 33% in afternoon trading after The Wall Street Journal reported that CoreWeave is in talks to acquire the company.

Super Micro Computer shares rose over 5.5% on no obvious news, just another wave of bullish call option buying.

McCormick jumped more than 5% after the spice giant posted a surprise Q2 earnings beat and reaffirmed its full-year outlook.

Avis shares climbed 2% as hedge fund Pentwater Capital disclosed it had more than tripled its stake in the rental car company.

Cyngn, a tiny industrial robotics firm, surged more than 170% after highlighting its relationship with Nvidia.

Shares of autonomous vehicle company Pony.ai jumped 12% after The New York Times reported that Uber is in talks with former CEO Travis Kalanick to help fund a potential acquisition.

Kratos Defense dropped more than 2% after announcing plans to sell ~13 million new shares at $38.50 each in a stock offering worth just over $480 million.

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Saleah Blancaflor

US gas prices rise again, sitting at their highest levels in four years ahead of Memorial Day weekend

Just days away from Memorial Day weekend, the national average of US gas prices rose from a week earlier and sat at the highest they've been in four years.

The price is currently $4.56 a gallon, up 3 cents over last week, and $1.38 higher than this time last year, according to AAA. Today's prices are right around what customers were paying four years ago, when the price on Memorial Day was $4.61. Gas prices experienced a short-lived dip earlier this month before rising again.

Gasoline is in high demand ahead of Memorial Day weekend and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed because of the war in Iran, leaving prices elevated as more drivers hit the road. GasBuddy's Patrick De Haan predicts that gas prices could soon hit $4.80 a galloon soon amid the Strait closure.

Oil prices ticked up slightly on Thursday, with WTI sitting around $100 a barrel, after plunging on Wednesday.

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(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Gasoline is in high demand ahead of Memorial Day weekend and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed because of the war in Iran, leaving prices elevated as more drivers hit the road. GasBuddy's Patrick De Haan predicts that gas prices could soon hit $4.80 a galloon soon amid the Strait closure.

Oil prices ticked up slightly on Thursday, with WTI sitting around $100 a barrel, after plunging on Wednesday.

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(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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SoftBank rallies on OpenAI and SB Energy IPO plans; its Japanese-traded stock notches best day since 2000

SoftBank shares skyrocketed in Tokyo trading, notching their biggest daily gain since 2000, boosted by news about planned IPOs at OpenAI, in which SoftBank has a sizable stake, and SoftBank’s own SB Energy unit. ADRs of SoftBank traded in the US rallied, too.

OpenAI is accelerating the timeline to its public debut, preparing to confidentially file its IPO prospectus with regulators as early as Friday, according to The Wall Street Journal. That could set the stage for a highly anticipated public listing as early as September.

SoftBank has systematically expanded its financial exposure to OpenAI, securing a highly valuable stake in the company. As of the fiscal year-end, SoftBank’s cumulative investment in OpenAI totaled $34.6 billion, with a fair value of $79.6 billion, and cumulative investment gains totaled $45 billion, according to a SoftBank filing.

For SoftBank, a successful public debut is critical to demonstrating that OpenAI can protect its market position amid intense industry pressure. Investors have grown increasingly anxious that OpenAI is losing ground to competitors like Anthropic, which is currently in talks for a funding round that could push its own valuation past that of OpenAI.

Adding to the upward momentum, SB Energy, the digital infrastructure and clean energy development firm co-owned by SoftBank and Ares Management, confirmed its own confidential draft registration filing for a major US public listing.

This multipronged IPO pipeline has boosted investors’ confidence in billionaire founder Masayoshi Son’s high-conviction AI thesis, showcasing a road map for SoftBank to transition its paper gains into potential liquidity. SoftBank’s stock is up 37% so far this year.

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Nio posts better-than-expected first-quarter earnings and forecasts strong Q2 sales

Chinese EV maker Nio posted Q1 results before markets opened on Thursday, reporting earnings that beat expectations and strong sales guidance for the second quarter. Shares of the company climbed more than 4% in premarket trading.

For the first quarter, Nio reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.00 per share, compared to the $0.05 loss per share that Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet had expected.

  • $3.7 billion in revenue, compared to the $3.74 billion consensus estimate.

  • 83,465 vehicle deliveries, slightly exceeding its own forecast of between 80,000 and 83,000.

For Q2, Nio guided for deliveries of between 110,000 and 115,000, compared to estimates of 113,807. The company expects second-quarter revenues to come in between $4.75 billion and $4.99 billion, while analysts are forecasting $4.6 billion.

The Chinese auto industry has seen a surge in exports so far this year, as companies make efforts to combat declining domestic sales. Nio, which is still relatively new to overseas operations, has plans to ship “several thousand” EVs overseas this year.

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