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Extreme Closeup of a Needle In A Haystack
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JUST BUY THE HAYSTACK

VOO has dethroned SPY as the world’s largest ETF

SPY got a 17-year head start, but Vanguard’s low-cost S&P 500 tracker now tops the ETF charts, thanks to a legion of loyal Bogle-heads... and their $632 billion.

John Bogle, legendary American investor and entrepreneur, famed for popularizing the bedrock of modern-day equity investing — index funds — once said: “Don’t look for the needle in the haystack. Just buy the haystack!”

As millions of people took his advice, eschewing their egos and the idea of trying to pick individual winners in the stock market, trillions of dollars have flowed into low-cost index funds and ETFs. And as of this week, the biggest of those is now VOO, the S&P 500 ETF provided by Vanguard — the firm founded by Bogle himself in 1975. VOO now counts some $632 billion in total assets, per data from Bloomberg, finally overtaking its longtime rival, SPDR S&P 500 Trust, the S&P 500 tracker run by State Street.

VOO vs. SPY
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VOO-doo economics

ETFs have become wildly popular, offering retail and institutional investors the ability to invest in hundreds of America’s largest and most innovative companies through one clean, tradeable security. But VOO was hardly first to the scene, starting only in 2010 — so how did it soar to the top of the rankings? After all, both SPY and VOO aim to do the same thing: track the performance of the S&P 500 Index.

Various arguments could be made, but there’s really only one reason: VOO is cheaper, charging a miniscule 0.03% per year for the privilege of investing in it, considerably less than the 0.09% expense ratio of SPY. No one loves a bargain more than returns-obsessed investors.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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