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Palantir stock vs. S&P 500
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Wall Street’s hottest stock, Palantir, only employs 3,892 people

Palantir (PLTR) is now a $150 billion company, and the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 Index, per Friday’s close.

Data-analytics company Palantir Technologies is now the S&P 500’s best-performing stock this year, just two months after debuting on the index. Shares have surged since early November, when the defense-technology firm “absolutely eviscerated” its third quarter, reporting record earnings driven by strong demand for its AI platform from the US military.

Continuing its upward streak, the company finally claimed the S&P 500’s top spot on Friday — overtaking energy provider Vistra and AI darling Nvidia — after announcing a plan to move its listing from the NYSE to Nasdaq on November 26. If Palantir lands a spot in the Nasdaq 100, it could draw billions of dollars from ETFs that track the index. 

The relentless rise of Palantir has taken the company’s market cap to $150 billion, a remarkable valuation for a company with fewer than 4,000 employees, roughly equivalent to the payroll of a dozen typical Walmart stores.

As we noted earlier this year, the boom in AI-adjacent stocks has thrown up some interesting valuation metrics. Price-to-earnings multiples, discounted cash-flow analysis, or EV-to-EBITDA multiples all have their pros and cons — but one even simpler, more fundamental, metric is: how much value is being ascribed for every person that it employs? On that measure, Palantir is worth nearly $39 million for every single employee on its payroll. The only large information-technology company with a more extreme ratio of market cap to employees is Nvidia itself, which reports earnings after the bell on Wednesday.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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