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XPO Logistics
Truck from XPO Logistics, one of Brad Jacobs' companies (Paul Weaver/Getty Images)

What happens when a boring holding company accidentally becomes a meme stock

Low-float industrial roll-up holding companies are clearly where it’s at in 2024.

Brad Jacobs is a serial entrepreneur who has made “a few billion dollars” building different industrial and logistics companies, such as XPO Logistics, United Rentals, and United Waste Systems. Last December, he invested $1 billion ($900 million from his own private equity shop, and $100 million from Sequoia) in a ~$20 million market cap company, SilverSun Technologies.

The reason for the investment was that Jacobs wanted to create a publicly listed shell company to acquire companies in the building-products distribution market to build a multibillion-dollar industrial roll-up, and the fastest way to create a publicly listed shell company was, from his perspective, to add $1 billion to the balance sheet of a tiny company, pay the existing shareholders of the tiny company a $17.5 million dividend (up from an initially-planned $2.5 million), and manage the newly-capitalized, publicly traded “company” with $1 billion of cash and the operations of the existing entity, which provides technology solutions primarily to companies in manufacturing, distribution and service sectors.

At first glance, Jacobs’ investment resembles a SPAC. SPACs, which exploded in popularity in 2020, are shell companies that raise money from investors, IPO, then look for private companies to “take public” through reverse mergers. However, in a Yahoo Finance interview from December, Jacobs was critical of the incentive structure of SPACs:

I don't like SPACs, from the point of view of I don't know that there's a real fair alignment between the promoter, so to speak, and the investors. They don't put any money in usually. And they get 20% off the top. What I'm doing is something very different. We're actually putting-- we're putting our money where our mouth is. We're putting a dollar billion into a very small-cap company. It was $15 or $20 million market cap as of a few days ago.

And then we're going to spin back that company to its legacy shareholders. We're going to give them a little dividend, $2.5 million. We're going to give them a little taste of the new company, like less than half a percent. Then we'll be left with a publicly traded company with a billion of cash in it. And we're off to the races.

So he opted for the derivative of a SPAC: instead of raising $1 billion to find a private company to take public, he invested $1 billion in an already-public company and used it to find other private companies to roll up in his already-public company. (Since that interview, management decided not to spin off SilverSun).

Anyway, there was a lot of institutional demand to invest in Jacobs’ new venture, and in June, he announced that he had raised an additional $3.5 billion, at double the price per share of his initial investment, and earlier this week, Jacobs raised another $620 million, at the same share price as the last fundraise, including $150 million from Jared Kushner. All in all, the “company” will have approximately $5 billion in cash on its balance sheet once the funding deals close, with approximately 740 million shares outstanding (~671 million shares from the first two funding rounds, including warrants, as well as 68 million shares from the latest round).

Jacobs’ and Sequoia’s shares were priced at $4.57 per share (with some warrants priced higher), while the later investors got their shares for twice that price: $9.14 per share. QXO is currently trading at $90.01 per share, up more than 3x from its price before Jacobs’ deal (adjusted for a reverse split), meaning this shell company with $5 billion cash is worth approximately $70 billion, and its stock price has moved back and forth between $40 and $240 per share since Jacobs announced his initial investment. It turns out that Jacobs’ new book, “How to Make a Few Billion Dollars” may be the most apt book title of the year.

What’s up with the insane price movement? While QXO has raised billions, the only shares currently trading on the market are the ~660,000 shares held by the original SilverSun shareholders (as noted in Jacobs’ initial announcement, SilverSun shareholders would retain 0.15% of the new company), so the supply is really low for an investment that is, obviously, really hot (even institutional investors paid a 100% premium to Jacobs’ price!). As a result, daily trading volume has only surpassed 100,000 shares three times in 2024, making the stock susceptible to wild price swings.

This is not investment advice, and I think anyone can do what they want with their money, but paying $90 per share to invest in a shell company that everyone else paid $9.14 to invest in doesn’t seem like a great deal!

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Molina implodes after earnings miss, gloomy guidance

Molina Healthcare tanked after it reported earnings results that missed Wall Street expectations and gave disappointing full-year guidance.

For the last three months of 2025, Molina reported:

  • An adjusted loss per share of $2.75, compared to the $0.34 earnings per share analysts polled by FactSet were expecting. The company said about $2 per share of its earnings miss was due to retroactive premium adjustments attributable to the Company’s Medicaid business in California and ongoing medical cost pressure in Medicare and Marketplace.

  • Revenue of $11.3 billion, compared to the $10.8 billion the Street was penciling in.

  • A medical cost ratio of 94.6%, higher than the 93.1% analysts expected.

For the full year in 2026, Molina expects:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of at least $5.00, compared to the $13.66 analysts had forecast. Molina said its guidance takes into account ongoing losses in its traditional Medicare Advantage Part D business, which it now plans to exit in 2027.

  • Revenues of about $42.2 billion, compared to the $46.6 billion analysts had penciled in.

  • Its medical cost ratio to sit at 92.6%, while analysts had expected 91.4%.

Health insurers have been under pressure for the past year amid rising health costs. Molina, one of the largest providers of ACA Marketplace plans, has taken a hit as tax credits for the program lapsed in January.

Molinas report also dragged down competitors, including Centene, which is also a major provider of ACA plans and reports earnings Friday morning.

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Roblox surges as it guides for stronger-than-expected full-year bookings, touts AI vision

Kid-centric gaming platform Roblox reported its fourth-quarter results after the market closed on Thursday. Its shares surged more than 20% in after-hours trading.

For the full year ahead, Roblox guided for bookings of between $8.28 billion and $8.55 billion, which would represent annual growth of 22% to 26%. That’s well ahead of Wall Street’s estimates: analysts polled by FactSet expected $8.03 billion.

Roblox forecasts Q1 bookings to land between $1.69 billion and $1.74 billion, compared to the $1.7 billion Wall Street consensus estimate.

An average of 144 million daily users logged on to Roblox in its fourth quarter, beating estimates of 138 million and up 69% from last year. The platform paid out $1.5 billion to creators last year, up from $922 million in 2024.

Roblox engagement surged in 2025, a year marred by several legal issues surrounding child safety on the platform. Late last year, analysts began to warn that some of its most popular titles were past their peak.

Recently, shares of the company have dropped on investor fears of Google’s Project Genie AI tool, which generates playable worlds. As of Thursday’s close, Roblox had shed more than $10 billion in market cap since Project Genie launched. On Wednesday, Roblox appeared to answer Genie’s release with the open beta launch of its own “4D” generative-AI tool. Roblox’s tool lets users generate objects made up of multiple working parts (e.g., a drivable car with spinning wheels) as opposed to static 3D objects.

In its letter to shareholders, Roblox said it was “innovating aggressively in AI to accelerate the creation of content, improve the safety of our platform, and fuel ongoing user engagement, discovery and monetization improvements.”

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