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Luke Kawa

Why Jensen Huang should be embarrassed that he didn’t know quantum computing companies were publicly traded

During Nvidia’s Quantum Day at GTC, CEO Jensen Huang admitted that he didn’t know quantum computing companies were publicly traded when he remarked in early January that it would likely be decades before the technology was “useful.”

Those remarks prompted very publicly traded quantum computing companies to lose billions in market value thereafter.

If I were one of the handful of executives from a publicly traded quantum computing company sitting there on Thursday, I’d be faking a smile through gritted teeth at hearing Huang’s story. Why?

They’re not only buyers of the chip designer’s high-powered products and software. In some cases, they’re also partners, as Nvidia has been supporting the development of these companies and their technology.

To take Huang at his own words, from those same early January remarks on the utility of quantum computing: “Just about every quantum computing company in the world is working with us now.”

Their executives have even been cited in press releases together!

From a joint press release from Rigetti Computing and Quantum Machines in December announcing how they were able to calibrate a quantum computer using the help of AI:

“AI is a critical tool for advancing quantum computing,” said Tim Costa, senior director of CAE, EDA, and Quantum at Nvidia. “This latest work shows how the scalable control of quantum hardware needed for useful applications hinges on advances in AI.”

And from an IonQ press release in November:

“Useful quantum applications will need to draw on both quantum hardware and AI supercomputing resources,” said Elica Kyoseva, director of Quantum Algorithm Engineering at Nvidia. “The CUDA-Q platform is allowing researchers and developers to explore these paradigms by accessing Nvidia accelerated computing alongside IonQ’s quantum processors.”

I get that Huang has had a lot of things on his mind (mainly the Blackwell ramp and the product road map to come), and that “useful” quantum computing is even further away in his mental timeline than the most advanced stuff Nvidia’s dreaming up right now, but still, yeesh.

Those remarks prompted very publicly traded quantum computing companies to lose billions in market value thereafter.

If I were one of the handful of executives from a publicly traded quantum computing company sitting there on Thursday, I’d be faking a smile through gritted teeth at hearing Huang’s story. Why?

They’re not only buyers of the chip designer’s high-powered products and software. In some cases, they’re also partners, as Nvidia has been supporting the development of these companies and their technology.

To take Huang at his own words, from those same early January remarks on the utility of quantum computing: “Just about every quantum computing company in the world is working with us now.”

Their executives have even been cited in press releases together!

From a joint press release from Rigetti Computing and Quantum Machines in December announcing how they were able to calibrate a quantum computer using the help of AI:

“AI is a critical tool for advancing quantum computing,” said Tim Costa, senior director of CAE, EDA, and Quantum at Nvidia. “This latest work shows how the scalable control of quantum hardware needed for useful applications hinges on advances in AI.”

And from an IonQ press release in November:

“Useful quantum applications will need to draw on both quantum hardware and AI supercomputing resources,” said Elica Kyoseva, director of Quantum Algorithm Engineering at Nvidia. “The CUDA-Q platform is allowing researchers and developers to explore these paradigms by accessing Nvidia accelerated computing alongside IonQ’s quantum processors.”

I get that Huang has had a lot of things on his mind (mainly the Blackwell ramp and the product road map to come), and that “useful” quantum computing is even further away in his mental timeline than the most advanced stuff Nvidia’s dreaming up right now, but still, yeesh.

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AI server cluster maker Penguin Solutions takes flight

Small-cap AI server cluster maker Penguin Solutions surged Thursday after posting better-than-expected Q2 revenue and profit numbers Wednesday after the close, along with an increase in full-year sales and profit guidance.

The company, which was known as Smart Global Holdings until July 2024, has positioned itself as a provider of “end-to-end AI infrastructure solutions.”

Its Advanced Computing division designs and sells computers, cabling, and cooling systems, the server racks and clusters of racks AI data centers need. Its other main division sells flash and DRAM memory products.

It’s a pretty small company, with a fully diluted market cap of just over $1 billion and roughly 2,900 employees, according to FactSet.

The stock is volatile. Penguin dove during last year’s tariff tantrum that followed “Liberation Day” in April. Then it turned tail and doubled through early October amid a surge of call options activity, which tends to reflect retail interest. From the October peak, it then plunged by about 50%, before Thursday’s renaissance.

For what it’s worth, call options activity in Penguin is pretty busy today, too — relatively speaking — with roughly 2,625 traded as of 1:15 p.m. ET. That’s the most since early January, when the company last reported quarterly numbers. The average volume over the previous 25 trading sessions is about 325 calls a day, FactSet data shows.

The company, which was known as Smart Global Holdings until July 2024, has positioned itself as a provider of “end-to-end AI infrastructure solutions.”

Its Advanced Computing division designs and sells computers, cabling, and cooling systems, the server racks and clusters of racks AI data centers need. Its other main division sells flash and DRAM memory products.

It’s a pretty small company, with a fully diluted market cap of just over $1 billion and roughly 2,900 employees, according to FactSet.

The stock is volatile. Penguin dove during last year’s tariff tantrum that followed “Liberation Day” in April. Then it turned tail and doubled through early October amid a surge of call options activity, which tends to reflect retail interest. From the October peak, it then plunged by about 50%, before Thursday’s renaissance.

For what it’s worth, call options activity in Penguin is pretty busy today, too — relatively speaking — with roughly 2,625 traded as of 1:15 p.m. ET. That’s the most since early January, when the company last reported quarterly numbers. The average volume over the previous 25 trading sessions is about 325 calls a day, FactSet data shows.

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Momentum returns to optics stocks as the release valve for AI optimism

Potentially imminent end to the war? Buy optics stocks.

Maybe not? Buy optics stocks anyway.

Effectively all the juice left in the AI trade is coming from optics (and memory) stocks. And the latter group is taking a bit of a breather today while the former continues to surge.

Shares of Ciena Corp., Lumentum, and Coherent are building on recent big gains and among the biggest gainers in the S&P 500 near midday, while Applied Optoelectronics is also surging on Thursday.

These companies all provide solutions that help information move around in data centers, and thus are key beneficiaries of the aggressive capex plans of hyperscalers. Nvidia has invested $2 billion apiece in Coherent and Lumentum in deals that also include purchase commitments.

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Space stocks rip during a topsy-turvy day for the equity market

Satellite-services-from-space stocks surged Thursday after reports that Amazon is in talks to buy Globalstar, which provides voice and connectivity services from its satellite network. It also can’t hurt that the general mood around space is ebullient, following the successful launch of Artemis II on Thursday.

Planet Labs and ViaSat also soared on the news.

The gains for EchoStar — seen as a backdoor play at pre-IPO SpaceX exposure — and Rocket Lab were more muted, perhaps because a deep-pocketed competitor like Jeff Bezos getting serious about space services could complicate the plans of the two largest commercial space launch companies.

Rocket Lab and SpaceX see launch services as key to their aspirations of being major providers of voice and data services from low-Earth orbit satellites.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX is the dominant provider of such services, and the early rumors on the company’s planned IPO — expected to be the largest ever — suggest the market is very excited about the prospects for the industry.

Elsewhere in the space stock world, Intuitive Machines — a maker of space infrastructure that provides services to NASA for lunar missions — also rose.

The gains for EchoStar — seen as a backdoor play at pre-IPO SpaceX exposure — and Rocket Lab were more muted, perhaps because a deep-pocketed competitor like Jeff Bezos getting serious about space services could complicate the plans of the two largest commercial space launch companies.

Rocket Lab and SpaceX see launch services as key to their aspirations of being major providers of voice and data services from low-Earth orbit satellites.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX is the dominant provider of such services, and the early rumors on the company’s planned IPO — expected to be the largest ever — suggest the market is very excited about the prospects for the industry.

Elsewhere in the space stock world, Intuitive Machines — a maker of space infrastructure that provides services to NASA for lunar missions — also rose.

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