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MrBeast
MrBeast (Rich Storry/Getty Images)
Opinion

Weird Money: Profiting off a bankrupt stock, MrBeast’s new COO, and a GameStop short

How Yellow could become Hertz 2.0, a bankruptcy that actually winds up with shareholders getting paid

Jack Raines

Hello hello, and welcome to Weird Money, a new column written by me, Jack Raines. A couple of times a week, I'll discuss the most interesting and, more importantly, weirdest stories I've seen in business and markets. Today is the first column in this series. I hope you enjoy!

Hertz 2.0

Normally, when a company files for bankruptcy, its stock ends up worthless because creditors are repaid first, and there is rarely any cash leftover for shareholders.

Hertz, however, was an exception to the rule. In May 2020, after Hertz filed for bankruptcy, its stock price climbed from 40 cents to $3.70, which, of course, made no sense. But one year later, Hertz reached a deal with private equity firms that would pay shareholders $8 per share, and even the traders who top-ticked the Hertz frenzy at $6.25 the year before looked like geniuses.

After Hertz, some investors thought,“A really good contrarian investment strategy is probably to buy bankrupt companies because you’ll make a lot of money when they turn around.” And these investors bought Bed Bath & Beyond, which, as most bankrupt stocks do, went to $0.

Bed Bath & Beyond Reddit

However, a new bankrupt stock looks like it just might be able to pay its shareholders, too: Yellow Trucking. From Bloomberg yesterday (emphasis ours):

“Defunct cargo hauler Yellow Corp. may put its remaining cargo terminals and other vacant properties into a real estate investment trust that could be used to raise money for creditors, bankruptcy advisers for the company told a judge Monday…

The goal is to find out if the company can raise more cash for creditors by keeping the properties than by liquidating them, (Chief Restructuring Officer) Doheny said. Should the company raise enough money and successfully challenge some of the $10 billion in claims it currently faces, shareholders could wind up collecting something in the case, he said. Normally shareholders are wiped out in big corporate bankruptcy cases.

One option would be to create a real estate investment trust to hold at least some of Yellow’s properties, according to court testimony. The company owns 47 locations and has long-term leases on another 78, testimony and court documents show.”

For context, Yellow, formerly one of the nation’s biggest trucking companies, filed for bankruptcy in August 2023. At the time, Yellow was drowning in debt. It had $1.2 billion in loan debt due in fall 2024, including a $700 million Cares Act loan from the federal government and a ~$500 million loan from Apollo (which was later purchased by Citadel). Yellow was also fighting with the Teamsters Union, which represented 22,000 of Yellow’s 30,000 employees, over a missed benefits payment, and the threat of a strike scared customers away, ultimately putting the nail in Yellow’s coffin. Yellow’s stock was delisted from the Nasdaq following its bankruptcy announcement, so, of course, its stock jumped 150%, with one Redditor wondering if it's normal for bankrupt stocks to go up.

Yellow Reddit

At the time of bankruptcy, Yellow stated that it could sell enough real estate and equipment to cover what it owed its secured lenders, as an appraisal of Yellow’s assets showed they were worth $2.1 billion. Multiple bidders, including lender Apollo and trucking companies Jack Cooper and Estes, offered to buy the company for up to $1.5 billion. Yellow rejected the offers, preferring to sell its assets in private auctions, which turned out to be a prescient move, as it has so far sold 128 terminals for $1.88 billion. The company still owns 47 locations and has long-term leases on another 78.

Basically, Yellow sold half of its assets for far more than anyone expected, the proceeds provided plenty of capital for Yellow to repay its secured lenders, and now, demand is so hot for its properties that management is considering rolling the rest of its terminals into a REIT, turning a bankrupt trucking company into a real estate fund. While Yellow is still litigating ~$10 billion of claims, including $7.8 billion in pension fund withdrawal claims, a favorable ruling in bankruptcy court could lead to a fat payday for the investors who threw money at the delisted stock, which is up more than 1000% from its low of 69 cents.

The takeaway from this is not that investors should blindly throw their money at bankrupt stocks, but maybe if the bankrupt stock has yellow-colored vehicles, it’s worth taking a second look? Anyway, keep me posted if Spirit Airlines files for bankruptcy. (Hertz did just hire their CFO, for those curious).

YouTuber COO

If you were a Harvard MBA who had, over the course of his career, been the CEO who took Shutterfly public, served on the board of directors of at least seven publicly traded companies, founded SoftBank’s London’s office, and launched your own venture fund, what would be the next logical move to round out your career? Run for Congress? Buy a professional sports team? How about… “Work for a YouTuber?”

From The Information:

“MrBeast has a new chief operating officer for his holding company: Jeffrey Housenbold, a former SoftBank Vision Fund managing partner who backed companies including DoorDash and took Shutterfly public as CEO in 2006. 

Housenbold’s background and new title indicates that MrBeast has high ambitions for his growing business empire, which includes chocolate bar company Feastables. It suggests he could even try to take individual businesses—or his entire holding company—public at some point. Housenbold helped lead the high-profile Vision Fund during a prolific investing spree responsible for some of the firm’s hits as well as misses like e-commerce site Brandless, which later shut down.” 

Jeffrey Housenbold has 52 different experiences listed on his LinkedIn, including his MBA summer internship with McDonald’s in 1995, which might give him the most detailed LinkedIn page of all time, so why work for Jimmy Donaldson (aka MrBeast)? Because Donaldson has leveraged his YouTube channel to launch several business ventures, and he has big ambitions about expansion. From Housenbold’s Linkedin post announcing his new role:

Beast Industries is a multifaceted media and entertainment company founded by Jimmy Donaldson, popularly known as MrBeast, the most watched person in the world. Renowned for revolutionizing digital content creation, Beast Industries encompasses a diverse portfolio of ventures that extend far beyond its origins on YouTube. With a mission to entertain, inspire, and create significant social impact, Beast Industries operates across various domains including digital media, philanthropy, consumer products, and innovative business initiatives.

A few years ago, everyone was obsessed with the “creator economy,” and a slew of startups emerged, looking to capitalize on the influx of new creators emerging on the internet. However, it turned out that the market for serving “creators” wasn’t that big, and the real creator economy consisted of a few individuals making almost all of the money. Number one on that list? MrBeast, with the most-subscribed channel on YouTube. While YouTube is still the center of Donaldson’s business, he has parlayed his success to launch his own food company, Feastables, and sign a deal with Amazon. If Jimmy wants to take the “business” of MrBeast to the next level, it makes sense to hire a seasoned operator to run the ship.

Still, I imagine that showing up to the next Harvard Business School reunion as the COO for a YouTuber will draw some weird looks.

Andrew Left Shorted GameStop (Again)

In January 2021, Andrew Left, the founder of Citron Research, said his firm would stop publishing short-seller reports after backlash to his public skepticism about GameStop. From The Wall Street Journal, three years ago:

“For more than a decade, Mr. Left had been well known for attempting to expose fraud at larger companies, publishing lengthy reports and making significant bets that these firms’ shares would decline in value. Among his more well-known calls was a successful bet against Valeant Pharmaceuticals.

But this week, Mr. Left has been the target of ire from stock traders who have come together online to drive up shares of an unlikely momentum stock, mall retailer GameStop. Mr. Left, 50 years old, had been publishing negative reports about the firm in recent weeks.

Some of these traders have shared his personal information, hacked into Mr. Left’s social-media accounts and texted Mr. Left and his two children, using threatening, profane and personal language, according to people close to the matter.

‘The risk-reward of being a short seller is not worth it; it’s not worth it for me or my family,’ Mr. Left said in an interview.”

(For those curious, Left also lost 100% on the trade.)

But this week, the king has returned! Reuters reported yesterday that Left is back, shorting GameStop again. From the Reuters piece:

"’It's fun to go back into the fire. The market dynamics have changed and I'm not as exposed as I was,’ Left told Reuters on his current position in GameStop. ‘The first time, three and a half years ago, (GameStop) was a cultural phenomenon, and that's played out by now. The company has deteriorating financials and is a good short.’”

I love this story. Three years ago, a vocal short-seller with decades of experience stated that he was leaving the game for good after getting harassed by retail investors. Now? He’s back, looking for vengeance by shorting the exact same stock that took him out of the game three years ago. The best part? The day after he disclosed his short position, the stock jumped 15% once again.

GameStop
GameStop stock price, 6/6/2024

Remember, markets can, and will, stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

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BlackBerry is on one of its hottest rallies of all time

History suggests that BlackBerry does extremely well when 1) it’s considered to be pioneering a transformative technology, or 2) there’s widespread retail enthusiasm for stocks.

If you squint (or dream), you could argue that both are going on right now.

Shares of the once-upon-a-time smartphone giant are up more than 160% over the past three months. The only times the shares have had a hotter run of form than this are at the tail end of the dot-com bubble, and in early 2021 when was it part of the meme stock craze headlined by GameStop.

Let’s start with the easy part first — here’s Scott Rubner, head of equity and equity derivatives strategy at Citadel, on retail’s significant footprint in the shares’ rally:

“Retail traders are the new price setters in the market. May volumes across our retail cash equities and options platforms are currently tracking at record levels. Daily volumes on our cash platform are setting new highs and are on pace to finish nearly ~10% above the previous record established during the January 2021 meme-stock era.”

And then there’s the harder part, part of the story that the traders bidding up BlackBerry now are dreaming about: the QNX division, which offers software that the company is positioning as an operating system for robots.

QNX’s software has early uptake in the field of autonomous driving, with BlackBerry eyeing a much more widespread role: in April, it announced a partnership to deploy this technology on Nvidia’s robotics platform. Nvidia’s Jensen Huang, for his part, has long been calling for agentic AI adoption to be followed by physical AI (i.e., robots).

In a QNX press release unveiling a report this week, the company argued that software, not hardware, is the real problem in terms of making sure robotics works.

I supposed it would be poetic, in a way, if the company at the leading edge of the smartphone revolution also plays a big role in the proliferation of robotics.

markets

Micron and Sandisk rally on new Street-high price targets from Susquehanna

Micron and Sandisk both hit fresh all-time highs in early trading after Susquehanna bestowed new Wall Street-high price targets on the two memory stocks.

Analyst Mehdi Hosseini upped his view on the former to $1,750 from $600, and to $3,250 from $2,000 for the latter.

“Supply is now expected to remain tight through 2027, sustaining elevated margins and thus warranting valuation re-rating,” he wrote, per Bloomberg.

It’s the fifth time in the past year that the average price target on Micron has gone up by more than 10% in a week. UBS’s Tim Arcuri more than tripled his price target on Micron earlier this week, and has already lost the title of “most bullish.”

But even as analysts are tripping over themselves to raise their price targets on these stocks, the ferocity of the rally in Micron has outpaced their best efforts.

The high-bandwidth memory specialist traded at a record premium to the consensus Wall Street price target this week, based on data going back to 2008.

markets

Okta soars on Q1 earnings beat, raised outlook driven by AI security demand

Okta shares are surging in early trading Friday after the identity security provider posted Q1 fiscal 2027 financial results that exceeded Wall Street estimates. The strong results are fueled by accelerating corporate demand for cybersecurity software, as well as the deployment of autonomous AI systems.

Key numbers:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.91 compared to analysts estimate of $0.85.

  • Revenue of $765 million compared to an estimate of $752.7 million.

The company generated subscription revenue of $750 million, up 11% year over year. Okta also has $271 million in free cash flow, up from $238 million in the prior years quarter.

While standard cybersecurity software protects human workers, the latest catalyst sparking Oktas strong corporate performance is the rapid emergence of autonomous AI agents that can access sensitive corporate databases and interact with privileged executive accounts.

“AI agents are rapidly becoming a new workforce inside every organization, creating a wave of identities that must be secured and governed alongside human users,” said Todd McKinnon, CEO and cofounder of Okta. “We’re expanding our opportunity as the world’s leading independent and neutral identity provider and helping customers make identity the unified control plane for their secure agentic enterprise.”

Okta raised its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to between $3.185 billion and $3.205 billion, roughly in line with estimates of $3.18 billion. The company formally dropped its long-term projected non-GAAP tax rate from 26% down to 21%. This adjustment is a direct byproduct of the federal corporate tax frameworks under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.

Shares of Okta have risen around 9% since the beginning of this year.

markets

HPE, SMCI surge after Dell’s Q1 beat on strong AI server demand

HP Enterprise and Super Micro Computer shares are surging in premarket trading, getting a big boost from rival Dell’s strong Q1 results.

Dell’s $16.1 billion in AI-optimized server sales for the quarter alone proved that enterprise data center demand is accelerating faster than Wall Street had anticipated. The company posted revenue of $43.8 billion, exceeding Street estimates of $35.5 billion. Management now sees full-year sales of about $167 billion, well above the $142 billion expected by analysts.

The read-through is particularly relevant for Super Micro, one of the largest suppliers of Nvidia-powered AI server systems, and HPE, which has been expanding its AI infrastructure and liquid-cooling offerings through its partnership with Nvidia.

The moves suggest investors view AI infrastructure as a broad spending cycle that benefits server makers across the entire ecosystem.

markets

AST SpaceMobile plummets after Blue Origin rocket explosion

Shares of AST SpaceMobile plunged as much as 15% before the bell on Friday after a Blue Origin rocket exploded yesterday evening on the launchpad.

The New Glenn rocket blew up in what the Jeff Bezos-backed company described on X as “an anomaly” during a hotfire test at the launchpad, only days before it’s due to launch satellites for Amazon’s Project Kuiper next week. Bezos added via X that “it’s too early to know the root cause but we’re already working to find it.” Videos of the explosion circulating on social media show an enormous fireball.

Though AST SpaceMobile’s satellites are not directly affected by the latest explosion, the company partnered with Blue Origin in November 2024 to use its New Glenn rocket to deliver AST’s next-generation Block 2 Bluebird satellites to low-Earth orbit. Citing multiple unidentified employees, the Financial Times reported that an initial assessment of the site showed severe damage to Blue Origin’s equipment, including its only launchpad.

The explosion is a stumbling block for AST’s goals to place at least 45 satellites in orbit by the end of the year. The journey to reach that goal already hit a pretty major speed bump in April, after Blue Origin reported that its New Glenn vehicle put AST SpaceMobile’s BlueBird 7 satellite at an altitude too low to maintain operations.

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