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Earth's biggest cannabis company falls 8% because investors are impatient

Snacks / Monday, June 24, 2019

"I must not have done it right"... That's the uninspired reaction from investors after Canopy Growth's earnings just before the weekend. Based in Canada, the world's largest cannabis corporation fell 8% based on these low-lights:

  • Revenue for its high-end dried weed jars, prescription-looking softgel canisters, and yoga-friendly vapes (check these out) only rose 13% from last quarter to $94M (Canadian dollars).
  • Good ol' supply and demand was an issue, as Canopy sold 9.3K kilos of "product" and expects to grow 34K kilos this quarter. That surplus-y situation pushed the average price of pot sold down 11% to $7.49/gram.

Going from black market to white is tough... Hype for Canada's recreational weed legalization last October pushed Canopy's market value to $13B. Now it needs to convince cannabis buyers to switch from "their guy" to "the man," AKA Canopy's corporate-branded products. It also has to deal with regulation, taxes, and advertising rules that limit it to medical-style bland marketing.

Canopy is the pot stock in global prep mode... Thanks in part to the $4B investment it got from Corona-owner Constellation Brands, Canopy has acquired production facilities, device companies, and retail stores — The value chain is Canopy's from plant to pipe. Now it's awkwardly waiting for growth catalysts:

  • Ontario: The biggest province by population (40% of Canada's pop) just got marijuana retail stores in April, so first-time Canadians are trying it out.
  • US: Not legal yet nationwide, but when/if it is, Canopy's acquisition of pot producer Acreage Holdings will be legally complete.
  • UK: Last month it acquired London-based This Works, a natural skincare developer with a CBD interest.
  • Gummies: Edibles are legalized in Canada this fall, and Canopy's new 197K square foot plant will be ready to start cooking.

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