Sherwood
Monday Apr.03, 2023

🍋 ByteDance makes Lemon8

Juicing those downloads (Jakub Porzycki/Getty Images)
Juicing those downloads (Jakub Porzycki/Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

April Fool’s Day may be over, but the pranks never end on Twitter. An AI-generated image of the pope in a white Balenciaga puffer jacket managed to fool a lot of people.

US stocks ended the week with big gains after cooler-than-expected inflation data eased Fed rate-hike worries. On Friday traders anticipated a 50% chance that the central bank won’t raise rates at its next meeting in May. The major indexes ended the first quarter in the green, led by the techy Nasdaq, which gained 18% through March.

SQUEEZED

ByteDance pushes an Instagram-like app as DC battles over banning TikTok

When Congress gives you lemons… make Lemon8. ByteDance has been busy, and not just defending its social superstar, TikTok, from US lawmakers, who are considering a ban. The Chinese tech titan has another social app, dubbed Lemon8, which hit US App Store top charts this week. Described as a cross between Meta's Instagram and Pinterest (picture: style pics, shopping recs), Lemon8 is said to use the same recommendation algo powering TikTok's addictive feed.

  • Slow squeeze: After introducing the app in 2020, in Japan, ByteDance grew Lemon8 to 5M monthly users last year by rolling it out in countries including the UK and Indonesia.
  • Cre8tors: ByteDance paid US creators to juice up Lemon8 with #sponsored content, and some social stars are posting about Lemon8 on TikTok. ByteDance is reportedly gearing up to (officially) promote Lemon8 globally next month.
  • Another slice: ByteDance also owns CapCut, a Tok-friendly video-editing app with 400M+ global downloads last year.

Lemon8 and left some crumbs… Lemon8's low-key launch contrasts with ByteDance's high-key TikTok tangle. A bipartisan group of lawmakers are pushing legislation that would give President Biden the power to ban (or force a sale of) TikTok — plus other apps seen as posing national-security concerns. Think: platforms that might share data with China or other sanctioned countries. POTUS urged Congress to pass the bill, but not everyone's on the ban-wagon: Sen. Rand Paul and Rep. AOC recently opposed a ban on free-speech grounds. TikTok users have also been posting fan content supporting the app’s CEO, who was grilled by Congress last month.

Whac-A-Mole never ends… Even if the US gov’t squashes TikTok, lawmakers might sour on TikTok-adjacent apps, leaving them forever chasing viral hits. Meanwhile, federal privacy legislation — which could address the root of many app-privacy concerns — has been stalled in Congress for years. As officials keep whacking moles, apps like Insta, Snap, and Google’s YouTube stand to benefit if their competition gets smashed.

Zoom Out

Stories we’re watching

Your creation takes on a life of its own… We’re not talking Frankenstein. Last week, 1.4K+ tech leaders and AI researchers (including Elon Musk and Apple cofounder Steve Wozniak) signed an open letter calling for a six-month pause in the race to train AI tools. They warned that ignoring caution could lead to “loss of control of our civilization” and said a pause would give the industry “breathing room” to set safety standards and understand threats. It could be hard to put the genie back in the bottle, though: Microsoft and others have already started integrating AI.

Curfew incoming… Scrutiny’s rising over the effects of social media on kids. Last week Arkansas sued Meta and TikTok, saying their apps harm mental health. Last month Utah passed strict laws aimed at protecting minors: social platforms must give parents access to teens' accounts and enforce a 10:30 p.m. curfew. Congress is eyeing legislation to protect kids on social, while some school districts are also suing social apps. Since half of US teens said they’re online “almost constantly,” the most susceptible group may also be the most bankable.

Events

Coming up this week

Must add curly fries… Lamb Weston has been cooking up success as Americans feast on french fries, no matter the economic weather. Last quarter the potato powerhouse hit a record $1.3B in sales and raised its annual forecast as fry demand sizzled. FYI: LW makes $$ both from grocery-store frozen aisles and from restaurants (think: corporate customers like McDonald’s and KFC parent Yum Brands). But even as dining out declines, LW says its “fry-attachment rate” is still above prepandemic levels as people keep adding fries to their orders.

Eggstra-pricey Easter… Big Egg’s big holiday is upon us, but you might wanna stick to chocolate. Cal-Maine, America’s largest egg producer, reported an 8X quarterly profit jump as prices yolked up. The average price of a dozen was $4 in February (up from $2 a year earlier), adding merit to those “eggs as a symbol of wealth” memes. Supply is at a three-year low as the industry deals with the avian flu (though Cal-Maine said its chickens weren’t affected). Americans are expected to spend a record $24B on Easter this year, including $7.3B on food.

ICYMI

Last week's highlights

  • Split: Alibaba (aka the Amazon of China) is splitting its biz into six independent companies. Keeping units separate could help execs focus on industry-specific growth — and avoid more regulatory scrutiny.
  • RT: Starting April 15, only paying blue-check Twitter subscribers will have their posts recommended to non-followers and be allowed to vote in polls. Since Tweeters are used to having that free, it could backfire and alienate users.
  • Disno: Disney laid off its 50-person metaverse team as IRL macro conditions lead companies to ditch their pricey meta-ambitions. Last month Microsoft and Tencent shuttered meta projects to cut costs.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Score: As inflation strains wallets, travelers are using online "giveaway groups" to leave unused treats for strangers (think: extra diapers, hotel snacks). The posts help reduce waste and ease vacay costs.
  • Denim: Thrifting isn’t thrifty anymore. Shoppers say secondhand stores are getting too pricey as Gen Zers take to shops like Goodwill to #thrifthaul vintage fits. Budget retailers are starting to hike prices.
  • Spill: The Department of Justice is suing Norfolk Southern Railway, alleging it illegally polluted waterways after a major train derailment in February. So far, Norfolk has agreed only to cover the cleanup costs.

This Week

  • Monday: NCAA March Madness finals
  • Tuesday: Earnings expected from Acuity Brands
  • Wednesday: Passover begins. Earnings expected from Conagra and Lamb Weston
  • Thursday: Initial jobless claims. The Masters begins. Earnings expected from Constellation Brands and Levi
  • Friday: Markets closed for Good Friday. March job numbers

Authors of this Snacks own shares: of Apple, Amazon, Disney, Google, Microsoft, Snap, and Yum Brands

ID: 2825169

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.