Hey Snackers,
Somethingâs in the air this month: college graduation. The class of â22 is entering a superstrong labor market during an exceptionally strange time. Stocks are plunging â the Dow just had its first seven-week losing streak since 2001 â and economic growth is slowing. But the US is adding jobs at a record rate.
We asked college students and grads about higher-ed costs and student loans â and what they think their degree is really worth. Letâs dive in.
The status⊠is pricey. In two-thirds of developed countries, college is free or less than $2K a year. In the US, private college costs $38K a year, on average, and public schools cost $23K out of state and $10K in state. The cost of college has tripled since 1980, while average pay for young workers is up just 20% since then. Still, many undergrads go into debt for degrees, since grads earn $1M more over their careers than non-grads. But students are reconsidering collegeâs value: in the past two years, US enrollment dipped 7% as more choose to âearn over learn.â
Snackers say:
The outlook⊠is shifting. President Biden campaigned to make public college free in the US. Now that his Build Back Better bill is stalled thatâs⊠not likely. Meanwhile, schools are making class less costly to woo students: Columbia University recently nixed tuition for kids whose families make less than $150K/year, and Utica College is one of several schools exploring cheaper three-year degrees. College alternatives like coding bootcamp General Assembly also offer new ways to pay, like income-share agreements (ISAs) that charge a % of earnings once grads land jobs (alums work at Google and JPMorgan).
The status⊠is green. On paper, it couldn't be a better time to land your first job. The US is experiencing basically full employment. Last month the US added 428K jobs, leaving a record 12M âhelp wantedâ signs unfilled. Thatâs good news for college seniors, since employers plan to hire over a quarter more graduates this May compared with last year. Theyâll be making an average starting salary of $55K, but the return on (degree) investment tends to vary (comp-sci majors are starting at $72K, English majors at $49K).
Nearly two-thirds of all public bachelor's degree programs leave graduates able to earn enough to cover the cost of college within a decade. But for recent grads, a survey found more than half donât end up working in their field of study â and nearly half live paycheck to paycheck.
SnackStat: 78% of Snackers said they felt âfairly confidentâ or âvery confidentâ about their job prospects as college students or recent grads.
Snackers say:
The outlook⊠is unclear. Even though companies like Starbucks pay extra so that you'll make rush-hour lattes, overall wages aren't keeping up with inflation. Many students feel that tacking on two years (or more) for grad school is the cost of doing biz to land a competitive role in certain fields. The value of that extra degree is mixed: while masterâs degree holders can make 20% more than those with a bachelorâs, employability (aka: the odds of getting hired) increases only by 3%. Plus, more school means more tuition: nearly half of federal student-loan debt comes from postgrad for masterâs and Ph.D. programs.
The status⊠is spiraling. Colleges raise prices, lenders dole out aid, and colleges raise prices (again). For decades, tuition increases have outpaced household incomes, forcing families to rely on loans. Today, two-thirds of college students graduate with debt, which typically takes 17 years to pay off. The average loan balance at graduation has tripled since the â90s to more than $30K â and nearly a tenth of borrowers owe more than $100K. To help relieve the burden, Biden pledged to make at least some college free, and promised at least $10K in loan forgiveness for each borrower. So far, his admin has forgiven $17B worth of federal student debt for 675K borrowers â a fraction of the $1.7T in student loans Americans owe.
SnackStat: 65% of Snackers said their college degree was âfairly valuableâ or âvery valuableâ relative to their tuition investment. A quarter said it wasnât âparticularly valuable,â and 9% said it was âworthless.â
Snackers sayâŠ
The outlook⊠is mixed. This month, the Education Department said itâs forgiving loans of more than 110K government workers (think: teachers, firefighters). But the rest of debt holders arenât so lucky, since Bidenâs blanket loan-forgiveness promise isnât panning out. Still, the pause on student loans has now been extended six times since March 2020, saving borrowers $1.5B a month in interest payments alone. Payments are set to resume in September, and if nothing changes, student debt could top $3T by 2035.
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