Sherwood
Tuesday Feb.25, 2020

πŸ’° Intuit's $7B Credit Karma splurge

_2 scoops of Data Double Dip, with a generous Premium topping_
_2 scoops of Data Double Dip, with a generous Premium topping_

Hey Snackers,

We're looking at Tubi and Vudu in today's Snacks Daily podcast β€” the 2 video streaming services might get acquired by Fox and NBC. And we noticed that streaming names follow a formula: 2 syllables, 2 vowels, 2 consonants? Roku, Hulu, Pluto, Fubo, Xumo, Quibi...

Let us know on Twitter @RobinhoodSnacks what the next streamer should be named (bonus points if you add a "+").

Markets dropped big on alarming news that coronavirus' impact is getting worse: the S&P 500 sank 3.3% β€” its largest percentage drop since Feb 2018.

Data

Intuit acquires Credit Karma for $7.1B so it can become the Facebook of finance

You can do it, put your back Intuit... Intuit confirmed it's buying privately-held Credit Karma for $7.1B, its largest acquisition ever. Intuit's splurging on CK because it wants more of your financial data β€” that's crucial to how it makes $$$. FYI, Intuit spends millions of bucks trying to keep the tax system complex because it owns a whole lot of tax software:

  • TurboTax: Intuit charges for certain tax situations when you use its filing service (and allegedly β€” along with H&R Block β€” hid its free filing page from showing up on Google).
  • QuickBooks: Intuit's popular small biz accounting software makes money off monthly subscription fees.
  • Mint: Intuit acquired the budget tracking tool in 2009 for $170M. Mint is free, but makes money off ads and product referrals (like an Amex cash back card that's perrrfect for the Chipotle over-spending habit Mint knows that you have).

We're calling it the "Data Double Dip"... Claaassic Triple D scenario, but with a Premium topping. TurboTax and QuickBooks make Intuit $$$ on premium services, while "free" services like Mint and CK earn by double-dipping into users' financial data:

  • Targeted Ads: CK knows your credit/debt info, and Mint knows your spending habits β€” they can charge advertisers for highly targeted ads based on your financial situation.
  • Referral Commissions: If you click on one of the Capital One card ads CK or Mint show you, they could get a finders fee (aka referral commission) if you sign up.

Intuit wants to be the Facebook of personal finance... Its CEO thinks the Credit Karma acquisition will "create a personalized financial assistant to help consumers find the right financial products..." Key words: personalized and products.

  • Intuit can offer a free service, get your financial data, and find ways to turn that intel on your wallet into revenue by selling targeted ads and partner products.
  • Facebook does the same with social intel you reveal on Instagram.
Spread

Coronavirus is a factory/mall/tourist triple whammy β€” and it just entered 2 more countries

An everyone problem... Coronavirus. The World Health Organization hasn't declared it a global pandemic yet β€” that would mean uncontained global spread and large scale deaths. But 2 more countries are scrambling to control the infectious disease:

  • South Korea: 231 new cases on Monday, bringing the total to 833. The highest level of national alert was issued there.
  • Italy: Now the largest coronavirus outbreak outside of Asia β€” cases surged from 3 on Friday to over 219 on Monday. Over 50K people in 11 northern Italian towns are under quarantine.

Think of each country as a huge factory... a huge shopping mall, and a huge tour group. China's 3 economic "personas" have all been shuttered because of coronavirus. And that's affecting the whole world:

  • China, The Factory: Companies like Apple, Nike, and Honda shut down Chinese factories and/or slow production. 94% of the Fortune 1000 companies are seeing coronavirus supply chain disruptions.
  • China, The Mall: People in China are staying home to avoid catching/spreading the disease β€” that hurts Chinese consumer spending (Apple, McDonald's and Starbucks shuttered stores).
  • China, The Tourist: China has over 1.4B people and an outsize impact on global tourism. Travel restrictions have hit the airline, hotel, and luxury retail industries outside China especially hard.

The economy has reason to worry, but not to freak out.... Over 2.5K coronavirus deaths have been reported so far in China, and at least 33 in other countries. The WHO thinks it has "pandemic potential." And it's taking a real toll on global markets.

  • But long-term investors shouldn't panic, according to "buy low, sell high" guru Warren Buffett: "We think the 20 and 30-year outlook is not changed by the coronavirus.”
  • TBD how investors will continue to react in the short-term.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Smoked: Juul pitches a version of its e-cig that will unlock only for users who are 21 or older
  • Crypto-fy: Shopify has joined Facebook's cryptocurrency Libra Association, after eBay, Visa, and others ditched last year (whether Libra will ever become real is a big question)
  • Snacky: Pepsi will buy Chinese online snack company, Be & Cheery (great name), for $705M β€” all part of Pepsi's quest to take over the world's food/beverage market
  • Dudu: NBCUniversal is reportedly in talks to buy Walmart's Vudu video service (as a complement to its Peacock streaming service)

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Tuesday

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.