Sherwood
Thursday Oct.20, 2022

📺 Netflix’s revenue stream(ing)

Netflix’s upside-down quarter (Beata Zawrzel/Getty Images)
Netflix’s upside-down quarter (Beata Zawrzel/Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

You may be “in a whole new tax bracket,” but it’s not as cool as it sounds in Bruno Mars’ “Billionaire.” The IRS just raised tax-bracket thresholds to factor in high inflation.

Stocks fell as 10-year Treasury yields hit their highest level since ’08, while investors digested more earnings from corporates like P&G and United. Meanwhile, mortgage demand dropped to a 25-year low and UK inflation hit a whopping 10.1%.

Flex

Netflix ends its subscriber losing streak and shifts its focus to fresh revenue streams, resetting expectations

More twists than “Dahmer”… Netflix shares spiked 13% yesterday after investors learned it added 2.4M subs last quarter — its first subscriber gain of the year. Netflix had forecast adding just 1M after losing 1M through June. While profit ticked down from last year, revenue was up as subscribers kept bingeing through price hikes from earlier this year. Now Netflix will stop sharing subscriber forecasts as it focuses on revenue:

  • In with the new: Next month Netflix is set to launch its $7/month ad-supported plan in a dozen countries.
  • Out with the old: Netflix has said it’s going to crack down on the 100M households streaming without an account (no more mooching on your ex's password).

Checking the Netflix Top 10… for show inspo. Netflix still accounts for about 8% of Americans’ TV watch time — more than Prime Video, Disney+, and Hulu. But as budgets suffer, more US adults have canceled Netflix than any other streaming service, and a quarter of users say they’ll cancel by the end of this year. To keep subscribers loyal, Netflix is splitting up season releases of hit shows (think: “Ozark” part one). Its cheaper ad tier could help too.

Resetting expectations is key… 2.4M new quarterly subs may’ve seemed like peanuts mid-pandemic (Netflix added a record 36M subs in 2020), but the reversal bodes well for a post-lockdown future. The company knows the new normal requires moneymakers besides subscription growth. By introducing ad revenue and cracking down on password-mooching, Netflix could show investors that subscriber #s aren’t the be-all and end-all.

Scroll

Buy now, pay later darling Klarna launches shoppable video as ecomm players try to be social slayers (and vice versa)

Want that $300 North Face now… want to pay for it later. Buy now, pay later companies like Klarna, Affirm, and Afterpay help you sport that puffer ASAP and pay in monthly installments. You’ve probably stumbled across BNPL options at digital checkouts, but BNPL companies also have their own platforms to help you discover products and deals from brand partners. Now Klarna has given its site and app a social-friendly revamp:

  • Klarna launched TikTok-style shoppable videos (think: snappy makeup tutorials). The feature is already being used by Lady Gaga’s Haus Labs, e.l.f. Cosmetics, and others.
  • It also unveiled a “Creator” app for brands and influencers to collab on campaigns.

Hearting the “Holy Hydration” serum… After watching an e.l.f. skincare tutorial, all in the Klarna app. Klarna has 150M users BNPL’ing from its 450K retail partners, but it wants to be more than a payment option on a third-party site like Levi’s — it wants to be a destination. In recent years, social titans have been doing the opposite: trying to be more like shopping platforms.

  • TikTok started allowing Shopify merchants to add “shopping” tabs to their profiles and create mini storefronts. It’s also experimenting with live-stream shopping.
  • Facebook launched Instagram Shop, letting businesses set up storefronts on their pages to sell products featured in posts.

Social + shopping = synergy… It’s the perfect pairing, but no one has really done it well yet — at least in the US. Social + shopping features are popularly combined on Asian superapps like Alibaba and WeChat. “Social commerce” is predicted to grow 3X as fast as traditional ecomm over the next three years, so whoever makes it work could land a big opportunity.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Mixed: Tesla is speeding up and braking at the same time: the EV giant cut its full-year delivery target as supply snags kill its vibe, but Musk’s baby says demand is strong — and that it reported a near-record profit.
  • Soar: United shares jumped 7% yesterday after it significantly boosted its profit forecast, partly thanks to workers being “untethered from the desk.” Delta also expects more momentum from remote workers.
  • Unhealthy: About 15M Americans might lose their health insurance if President Biden declares an end to the Covid public-health emergency, which could happen in January. US Medicaid enrollment hit a record during the pandemic.
  • Ads: Your next Uber ride could be #sponsored: Uber announced plans to let marketers target riders by destination with “journey ads” during rides. Think: Expedia ads en route to JFK.
  • Reset: Zillennial staple Shein launched a US resale platform for “pre-loved” clothes and speedier shipping ahead of a rumored IPO. The super-fast-fashion brand has been accused of having unsustainable practices.

Thursday

  • Jobless claims
  • Earnings expected from Snap, American Airlines, Alaska Air, Union Pacific, Boston Beer Co., AT&T, and Nokia

Authors of this Snacks own: shares of Tesla, Snap, Shopify, Netflix, Uber, Disney, AT&T, and Delta

ID: 2524328

Get Your News

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.