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Stocks are cruising at record highs: how that connects to your wallet and rising inequality

Snacks / Monday, August 02, 2021

Wait for the beat drop... The stock market has been giving off manatee meme energy. While stocks dipped last week, they've been cruising around records thanks to vaccines, $6T in stimulus, and the Fed's economy-boosting rate policies. Low interest rates make borrowing cheaper (think: mortgages, biz loans) — plus, they make stocks more attractive compared to less risky investments. All these factors helped the S&P 500 soar a whopping 35% over the past year. But how is that translating to American wallets?

  • Americans are getting richer. Last year, US household wealth surged to records as Americans accumulated a fresh $12T. In the first quarter of this year, wealth across all US households jumped ~4%.
  • But the gains aren't even... A third of the total increase in Americans' net worth last year went to the top 1%, just 3M people — the same as went to the bottom 60%, or 199M people.
  • The second half of 2020 also brought the sharpest rise in the US poverty rate since the '60s. It's expected to hit 14% by end-of-year, with poverty rates for Black and Hispanic Americans double those of white Americans.

Now drop the stats... Income inequality is nearly the highest in at least half a century. The top 1% of Americans have 16X the wealth of the bottom half, compared to 6X in 1990. Here's why:

  • Key stat: About half of the total increase in Americans' wealth last year came from rising stock prices (though soaring home values also played a role).
  • Break it down: The wealthiest 10% of Americans own 90% of stocks and mutual funds held in the US. The bottom half of households hold less than 1%.

Some benefit way more than others… from a booming market. While most Americans got wealthier, the rich got way richer — that's because the top 20% of earners own nearly all the stocks held by US households. That could change as retail participation in the market continues expanding: last year, more than half of US households invested in stocks, up from one quarter in the '80s. Still: factors like wage gaps, technological changes, and globalization remain at the center of US wealth inequality.

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