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Rani Molla

Analysts keep cutting Tesla delivery estimates

Analyst estimates for the number of Teslas the electric vehicle company will sell this year keep going down.

This week: Morgan Stanley lowered its full-year estimate for Tesla deliveries to 1.615 million vehicles, or nearly 10% lower than the 1.789 million the company sold last year. Wells Fargo now predicts a 7% decline. Barclays didn’t give an exact full-year estimate but wrote today, “We believe that a soft 1Q and continued pressure in 2Q potentially puts Tesla’s 2025 delivery volume at risk of being flat, or potentially even down y/y.”

Even analysts who still believe in Tesla’s promise to “return to growth” have lowered their previous expectations. This week Piper Sandler lowered its delivery expectations to 1.877 million this year, down from its previous estimate of 1.957 million, according to FactSet.

Third-party sales data from the first two months of 2025 isn’t looking up in the US or around the world.

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Judge blocks Pentagon’s move to blacklist Anthropic

A federal judge in Northern California has granted a preliminary injunction blocking the Pentagon from labeling Anthropic as a national security supply chain risk.

The ruling temporarily prevents the Defense Department from restricting the AI company’s access to federal contracts amid a dispute over its refusal to allow certain military and surveillance uses of its technology. The designation could also have shifted lucrative government work toward competitors, including OpenAI.

Earlier this month, Anthropic, the company behind Claude, sued 17 federal agencies and their heads, alleging the government exceeded its statutory authority.

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