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Rani Molla

Analysts think Netflix is a good bet in a bad economy, raise price targets

Netflix’s earnings beat last week seems to have cemented analysts’ view that the company is a good hedge against a bad economy.

JPMorgan analysts raised their Netflix price target to $1,150, citing a “stable operating environment w/no indications of macro impact.” Wells Fargo raised its price target to $1,222, saying, “We think NFLX has substantially higher relative appeal in this uncertain macro.”

Bank of America reiterated its $1,175 price target and raised its revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026, writing, “The company remains very well positioned in the Media and Entertainment landscape with sustainable growth drivers that should prove to be predictable and defensive amid a wide range of macroeconomic scenarios.” Goldman Sachs, Evercore ISI, Morgan Stanley, and Piper Sandler also raised price targets, CNBC reports.

Netflix, for what it’s worth, seems to agree. On the company’s earnings call last week, Co-CEO Gregory Peters said:

“We’re paying close attention clearly to the consumer sentiment and where the broader economy is moving. But based on what we are seeing by actually operating the business right now, there’s nothing really significant to note.

So what are we looking at? Primary metrics and indicators would be our retention, that’s stable and strong. We haven’t seen any significant changes in plan mix or planned take rate to part of that question. Our most recent price changes have been in line with expectations. Engagement remains strong and healthy. So things generally look stable from that lens. Stepping back, we also take some comfort in the fact that entertainment historically has been pretty resilient in tougher economic times.

Netflix specifically also has been generally quite resilient, and we haven’t seen any major impacts during those tougher times, albeit, of course, over a much shorter history.”

The stock is up 1.8% in premarket trading to $991.35, meaning it has quite a bit of room to go higher if you believe those analyst targets.

Bank of America reiterated its $1,175 price target and raised its revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026, writing, “The company remains very well positioned in the Media and Entertainment landscape with sustainable growth drivers that should prove to be predictable and defensive amid a wide range of macroeconomic scenarios.” Goldman Sachs, Evercore ISI, Morgan Stanley, and Piper Sandler also raised price targets, CNBC reports.

Netflix, for what it’s worth, seems to agree. On the company’s earnings call last week, Co-CEO Gregory Peters said:

“We’re paying close attention clearly to the consumer sentiment and where the broader economy is moving. But based on what we are seeing by actually operating the business right now, there’s nothing really significant to note.

So what are we looking at? Primary metrics and indicators would be our retention, that’s stable and strong. We haven’t seen any significant changes in plan mix or planned take rate to part of that question. Our most recent price changes have been in line with expectations. Engagement remains strong and healthy. So things generally look stable from that lens. Stepping back, we also take some comfort in the fact that entertainment historically has been pretty resilient in tougher economic times.

Netflix specifically also has been generally quite resilient, and we haven’t seen any major impacts during those tougher times, albeit, of course, over a much shorter history.”

The stock is up 1.8% in premarket trading to $991.35, meaning it has quite a bit of room to go higher if you believe those analyst targets.

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OpenAI reportedly delaying erotica feature to focus on “gains in intelligence”

OpenAI is delaying its planned “adult mode,” as it seeks to shore up ChatGPT’s core capabilities before the chatbot can generate erotic content.

A source within OpenAI told tech news site Sources that the company will miss its Q1 target for launching the feature:

“We’re pushing out the launch of adult mode so we can focus on work that is a higher priority for more users right now, including gains in intelligence, personality improvements, personalization, and making the experience more proactive.”

The company said it still believes in “treating adults like adults,” but said it wants to get the experience right. OpenAI has been testing user age estimation technology ahead of the planned release.

“We’re pushing out the launch of adult mode so we can focus on work that is a higher priority for more users right now, including gains in intelligence, personality improvements, personalization, and making the experience more proactive.”

The company said it still believes in “treating adults like adults,” but said it wants to get the experience right. OpenAI has been testing user age estimation technology ahead of the planned release.

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Anthropic will sue the Pentagon over supply chain risk designation, Amodei says

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei said in a public post that the company will sue the Pentagon after receiving a letter from the Department of Defense officially designating Anthropic as “a supply chain risk to America’s national security.”

Amodei says that the effect of the unprecedented designation for an American company is more narrow than originally described, and that most of its customers would not be affected.

“With respect to our customers, it plainly applies only to the use of Claude by customers as a direct part of contracts with the Department of War, not all use of Claude by customers who have such contracts.”

Amodei says the company does not “believe this action is legally sound, and we see no choice but to challenge it in court.”

The CEO also apologized for statements he made in a leaked internal memo in which he claimed that the company was targeted because it didn’t show “dictator-style praise” for President Trump.

“With respect to our customers, it plainly applies only to the use of Claude by customers as a direct part of contracts with the Department of War, not all use of Claude by customers who have such contracts.”

Amodei says the company does not “believe this action is legally sound, and we see no choice but to challenge it in court.”

The CEO also apologized for statements he made in a leaked internal memo in which he claimed that the company was targeted because it didn’t show “dictator-style praise” for President Trump.

$40B💰

SoftBank is going to great lengths to double down on OpenAI — including taking on significant debt. After completing a $40 billion investment to become one of the ChatGPT maker’s largest backers, the Japanese conglomerate is now seeking a roughly $40 billion loan with a 12-month term, Bloomberg reports.

The financing would be SoftBank’s largest-ever dollar-denominated deal. The AI investment has helped lift profits, but it is also pressuring SoftBank’s credit profile.

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