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The Inauguration Of Donald J. Trump As The 47th President
Apple CEO Tim Cook at the inauguration of President Donald Trump (Julia Demaree Nikhinson/Getty Images)
Apple’s secret sauce

Apple’s Trump strategy is the same as its strategy for smartphone dominance

It’s all about the packaging.

Rani Molla

Today Apple announced it would be spending $500 billion to expand its manufacturing and AI footprint in the US.

It’s a big round number carefully doled out over President Donald Trump’s four years in office and specific to the leader’s areas of interest, the latest political salvo from “10% politician” Tim Cook in a long-running gambit to ingratiate Apple with Trump and inoculate it against his anger.

$500B

It also appears to be the same strategy Apple has long employed as a way to gain product dominance: do something everyone else is doing. Late. In better packaging.

Apple wasn’t the first to invent the personal computer or a digital music player or the smartphone. But it did later come and combine a lot of existing technology into one beautiful, high-performing, well-constructed package that worked intuitively — the Mac, the iPod, the iPhone — and was expertly announced at Apple’s product events.

Now Apple is wielding this strategy to fight against the administration’s preferred stick: tariffs. Apple is facing 10% tariffs on imports from China, where it manufactures the vast majority of its phones, which make up the its biggest revenue source.

These days the coin of the realm is spending big in the US. Like other tech companies, Apple is pledging investment in the US. Unlike most other companies, it has a lot more money to throw around and it knows how to use it.

The Wall Street Journal did a back-of-the-envelope calculation using analyst estimates of operating expenses and capex for the next four years to determine that that eye-watering $500 billion sum is basically what the iPhone maker would have spent anyway.

But with Apple’s gift for packaging flair, it looks like a gift to Trump — a new, beautiful reveal designed just for him.

This strategy has also worked for Cook before. During Trump’s first administration, Apple committed $350 billion to the US economy and was largely exempted from Trump’s tariffs on China. Apple did the same during the Biden administration. Importantly, the latest commitment is its biggest ever.

The move seems to be working again. On Monday, Trump took credit for Apple’s move on Truth Social, saying, “Thank you Tim Cook and Apple!!!”

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$600B

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy told employees at an all-hands meeting on Tuesday that he sees AI growing AWS sales to $600 billion a year by 2036 — double his prior estimate and more than four times last year’s revenue, Reuters reports.

Shares of Amazon, which were already up for the day, moved modestly higher on the heels of the report.

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OpenAI snags Amazon AWS deal for classified government work with Anthropic pushed aside

Following Anthropic being deemed a “supply chain risk” to national security, the field is clear for OpenAI. The Information is reporting that OpenAI just landed a deal with Amazon AWS to sell its AI services to government employees for both classified and unclassified work.

Previously, OpenAI was contractually obliged to use Microsoft Azure cloud hosting for the government contracts it handled as part of its $13 billion deal with the software giant, but since it restructured as a for-profit public benefit corporation and renegotiated the terms of the deal, OpenAI is free to use AWS, which is more commonly used in government work.

According to the report, contracts that sell AI services through another company like Amazon can be much larger then direct contracts with the government, which is crucial for OpenAI as it chases the success that Anthropic has had with enterprise customers.

Previously, OpenAI was contractually obliged to use Microsoft Azure cloud hosting for the government contracts it handled as part of its $13 billion deal with the software giant, but since it restructured as a for-profit public benefit corporation and renegotiated the terms of the deal, OpenAI is free to use AWS, which is more commonly used in government work.

According to the report, contracts that sell AI services through another company like Amazon can be much larger then direct contracts with the government, which is crucial for OpenAI as it chases the success that Anthropic has had with enterprise customers.

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Morgan Stanley thinks Tesla’s Terafab could cost an additional $35 billion to $45 billion in capex

Tesla’s Terafab project, which CEO Elon Musk said could launch this week, is poised to be one of the company’s most expensive bets yet. The facility is intended to manufacture the chips needed for Tesla’s autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots, and to avoid supply bottlenecks.

If the company reaches its long-term goal of producing 100 million humanoid robots annually, it could require more than 200 million chips a year — over 50x its current demand, Morgan Stanley said.

The firm estimates total capital expenditure for the facility could reach $35 billion to $45 billion, including construction costs and roughly $20 billion to $25 billion for wafer fabrication equipment alone. That spending is not included in Tesla’s already sizable $20 billion capex budget for this year. Morgan Stanley’s semiconductor analysts described the effort as a “Herculean task,” noting the difficulty of building leading-edge chip capabilities from scratch.

While Tesla would likely spread the investment out over several years — even on an aggressive timeline, initial output would likely not arrive until the latter part of the decade — the effort would still weigh heavily on free cash flow and mark a shift toward a more capital-intensive business model.

Tesla’s most expensive factory to date, its Nevada battery plant that it began building in 2014, is estimated to have cost about $10 billion over time — a fraction of the expected Terafab cost.

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Rani Molla

Lyft and Uber jump after announcing expanded robotaxi partnerships with Nvidia

Uber and Lyft both announced expanded AI and autonomous vehicle partnerships with Nvidia at the company’s GTC event, sending both ride-hailing stocks up after-hours on Monday and into Tuesday’s premarket session.

Uber is currently up more than 2%, while Lyft has risen around 1.3%.

Uber said Nvidia-powered Level 4 robotaxis will launch on its platform in Los Angeles and San Francisco in 2027, with plans to scale to 28 cities globally by 2028. Meanwhile, Lyft said it will use Nvidia’s AI infrastructure to improve ride-matching, mapping, and efficiency, while also using Nvidia’s DRIVE Hyperion platform as a foundation for future autonomous fleets.

Separately, Nvidia announced expanded autonomous driving partnerships with Kia and Hyundai.

The announcements highlight Nvidia’s growing push to provide the AI hardware and software powering next-generation robotaxi networks — packaging the technology needed for self-driving cars into a platform that other companies can use to compete with Tesla.

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