Tech
Lightning speed: ByteDance's growth is slowing down, but it's all relative

Lightning speed: ByteDance's growth is slowing down, but it's all relative

ByteDance, the Chinese tech giant behind social media platform TikTok, has begun to see its growth slow — per a new report from The Information.

Your slow is my fast

****Although best known in the western world for TikTok, more than 80% of ByteDance’s revenue comes from its domestic operations in China, thanks in part to its flagship video-sharing app Douyin. That revenue “only” grew 25% in the last year, according to people familiar with the company’s results.

In tech-land, everything is relative, and ByteDance’s growth rate remains remarkable, with total revenue for the group reaching a staggering $85bn in 2022. For a company in its 10th year of operations, that number is unprecedented. At a similar stage, Facebook (now Meta) had racked up just one-tenth of that amount, in fact it took the world’s largest social media company ~17 years to reach revenues of $85bn.

Ladders and snakes

Clearly it’s easier to grow quickly when following in the footsteps of giants, rather than forging the path for yourself. Convincing advertisers to part with their fiercely protected marketing budgets to buy ads on a social networking site was probably a lot more difficult in 2007 than it is in 2023.

Furthermore, TikTok has — somewhat ironically — been able to advertise itself on the other platforms. Spending at least hundreds of millions on Facebook, Twitter, Snapchat and other social apps, ByteDance's total sales and marketing bill came to a whopping $19.2bn last year.

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Jon Keegan

Judge blocks Pentagon’s move to blacklist Anthropic

A federal judge in Northern California has granted a preliminary injunction blocking the Pentagon from labeling Anthropic as a national security supply chain risk.

The ruling temporarily prevents the Defense Department from restricting the AI company’s access to federal contracts amid a dispute over its refusal to allow certain military and surveillance uses of its technology. The designation could also have shifted lucrative government work toward competitors, including OpenAI.

Earlier this month, Anthropic, the company behind Claude, sued 17 federal agencies and their heads, alleging the government exceeded its statutory authority.

tech
Rani Molla

Report: SpaceX’s record IPO may grant preferential access to retail investors and Tesla shareholders

SpaceX’s impending IPO could raise $40 billion to $80 billion and rank as the largest ever — as well as one of the most unconventional.

The Wall Street Journal reports several ways CEO Elon Musk is considering breaking with IPO norms:

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

tech
Rani Molla

Tesla released estimates for Q1 deliveries and they’re lower than analysts expected

Ahead of first-quarter earnings next month, Tesla released its own company-compiled Wall Street consensus estimate for deliveries: 365,645 vehicles. While that’s lower than the 382,000 FactSet consensus estimate, it represents a nearly 9% jump from Q1 2025, when Tesla sold 336,681 vehicles.

Tesla started releasing its own consensus estimates to the public — not just institutional investors — for the first time in Q4 2025. The move was seen as a way to temper investor expectations, as other estimates were too high. Last quarter, Tesla’s compilation was closer to actual numbers, which fell 16% year over year.

The market-implied odds from event contracts suggest 64% of traders think Tesla’s Q1 deliveries will be more than 350,000, 44% think it will be higher than 360,000, and just 21% have it at higher than 370,000.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

ARC-AGI-3

The toughest AI benchmark just got a whole lot tougher

ARC-AGI-3 is the latest version of a clever benchmark that challenges AI models to solve mini video games with no written instructions.

Jon Keegan3/26/26

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.