Workers, take a breath: None of the 2,800 common job skills Indeed researched were “very likely” to be replaced by current genAI technology.

Economists at Indeed looked at a job’s many skills and considered three factors: theoretical knowledge, problem-solving ability and physical presence. They prompted GPT-4o on those skills and assessed how well it did for each skill in those three areas, and rated it.

While it did reasonably well at many of the theoretical knowledge skills, it was less good at problem solving, and, obviously, not very good at being physically present.

“It's really surprising because goes against a lot of what we've heard, that ‘Oh, GenAI is coming for your job. You better watch out,’” Indeed economist Cory Stahle told Sherwood.

“There's a big difference between being able to kind of do a skill and really being able to replace a skill.”

So far it’s not very likely to replace any skills, let alone professions.

Stahle himself has used genAI to help him with python and R in data analysis.

“They can be helpful tools to guide you in a direction, but in a lot of cases I find that I still have to do a lot of work on my end to be able to make it work,” he said.

Coding is often pointed to as an occupation most at risk for disruption by genAI. And in fact, the most-at risk jobs, based on share of skills that could “likely” be done by OpenAI, were accounting, marketing, and software developing occupations.

Of course, AI companies are always promising newer, better models. But for now, they’ve got a long way to go.