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How the Big Tech companies are spending their huge capex budgets

It’s mostly, but not all, for AI.

Rani Molla

Despite setting records for capital expenditure in 2025, Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet are ratcheting up capex again this year, with analysts expecting an increase of 50% to a total of more than $600 billion in 2026. Microsoft didn’t give formal guidance, so it’s possible its spending this year, like its peers, will ultimately exceed analysts’ expectations.

Tesla, which typically spends far less than Big Tech companies, plans to more than double its capex this year.

Apple is a bit of an odd man out, considering its capex declined last quarter, but even its spending on property and equipment is slated to rise.

Where’s all this money going? Mostly to AI data centers — but not exclusively. We dug through Big Tech companies’ latest earnings calls to see how they describe these hundreds of billions in their own words.

Alphabet

2025 capex: $91.4 billion
2026 capex guidance: $175 billion to $185 billion

Where it’s going: “The vast majority of our CapEx [in 2025] was invested in technical infrastructure, with approximately 60% of that investment in servers and 40% in data centers and networking equipment... [In 2026,] we’re investing in AI compute capacity to support frontier model development by Google DeepMind, ongoing efforts to improve the user experience and drive higher advertiser ROI in Google Services, significant cloud customer demand as well as strategic investments in Other Bets.”

Tesla

2025 capex: $8.5 billion
2026 capex guidance: Over $20 billion

Where it’s going: “We’ll be paying for six factories, namely the refinery, LFP factories, Cybercab, Semi, a new Megafactory, the Optimus factory. On top of it, we’ll also be spending money for building our AI compute infrastructure, and we’ll continue investing in our existing factories to build more capacity.

“And then also, the related infrastructure along with it. And we’ll also further expand our fleet of Robotaxi and Optimus. While this may seem a lot, we believe this is the right strategy to position the company for the next era and we’ll make such investments, as Elon mentioned, in a very capital-efficient manner. Note that this does not include potential investments in solar cell manufacturing or our TeraFab as we’re still in early phase.”

Analysts at Deutsche Bank broke down the investments even further in their own back-of-the-envelope calculations:

Meta

2025 capex: $72 billion
2026 capex guidance: $115 billion to $135 billion

Where it’s going: Last quarter capex was “driven by investments in data centers, servers and network infrastructure.”

In the future, “we will continue to invest very significantly in infrastructure to train leading models and deliver personal superintelligence to billions of people and businesses around the world... An important part of Meta Compute will be making long-term investments in silicon and energy.”

Amazon

2025 capex: $131.8 billion
2026 capex guidance: $200 billion

Where it’s going: “It’s predominantly in AWS and some of it is for our core workloads, which are non-AI workloads because they’re growing at a faster rate than we anticipated. But most of it is in AI, and we just have a lot of growth and a lot of demand.

“Looking ahead, we see further opportunity to enhance productivity in our global fulfillment network, while delivering at faster speeds for customers. We’ll continue optimizing inventory placement to drive down distance traveled, reduce touches per package, and improve package consolidation, as well as launch robotics and automation to increase efficiency and elevate the customer experience.

“We also plan to open more than 100 new Whole Foods Market stores over the next few years.”

Microsoft

2025 calendar year capex: $83 billion
2026 calendar year capex estimate: $116 billion (FactSet’s analyst forecast, since Microsoft doesn’t forecast capex)

Where it’s going: “This quarter, roughly two-thirds of our CapEx was on short-lived assets, primarily GPUs and CPUs. Our customer demand continues to exceed our supply. Therefore, we must balance the need to have our incoming supply better meet growing Azure demand with expanding first-party AI usage across services like M365 Copilot and GitHub Copilot, increasing allocations to R&D teams to accelerate product innovation and continued replacement of end-of-life server and networking equipment.”

Apple

2025 calendar year capex: $12.8 billion
2026 calendar year capex estimate: $13.3 billion (FactSet’s analyst forecast, since Apple doesn’t forecast capex)

Where it’s going: “Our CapEx is made of several different line items that include tooling, our facilities, retail investments — or investments in our retail store, data centers. And on tooling and data centers, we leverage this hybrid model that I mentioned before, which we leverage a combination of first and third-party capacity.”

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Judge blocks Pentagon’s move to blacklist Anthropic

A federal judge in Northern California has granted a preliminary injunction blocking the Pentagon from labeling Anthropic as a national security supply chain risk.

The ruling temporarily prevents the Defense Department from restricting the AI company’s access to federal contracts amid a dispute over its refusal to allow certain military and surveillance uses of its technology. The designation could also have shifted lucrative government work toward competitors, including OpenAI.

Earlier this month, Anthropic, the company behind Claude, sued 17 federal agencies and their heads, alleging the government exceeded its statutory authority.

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  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

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Tesla released estimates for Q1 deliveries and they’re lower than analysts expected

Ahead of first-quarter earnings next month, Tesla released its own company-compiled Wall Street consensus estimate for deliveries: 365,645 vehicles. While that’s lower than the 382,000 FactSet consensus estimate, it represents a nearly 9% jump from Q1 2025, when Tesla sold 336,681 vehicles.

Tesla started releasing its own consensus estimates to the public — not just institutional investors — for the first time in Q4 2025. The move was seen as a way to temper investor expectations, as other estimates were too high. Last quarter, Tesla’s compilation was closer to actual numbers, which fell 16% year over year.

The market-implied odds from event contracts suggest 64% of traders think Tesla’s Q1 deliveries will be more than 350,000, 44% think it will be higher than 360,000, and just 21% have it at higher than 370,000.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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The US leads the world in robotaxi deployments

Every day it seems another robotaxi launches somewhere in the world. But most of them are in the US.

Of the 171 active robotaxi deployments globally, 69 — or 40% — are in the US, according to a new report from the Bank of America Institute. China, the next largest market, accounts for 24% of deployments.

Most of those deployments are still in testing or early commercial stages. Only 10 US cities currently have fully commercial robotaxi operations, defined as services that operate on public roads, carry paying passengers, run fully driverless without a safety driver, and function all day in any weather.

For now, that effectively refers to Alphabet’s Waymo, which operates commercially in Atlanta, Austin, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, Miami, Orlando, Phoenix, San Antonio, and the San Francisco Bay Area. That definition excludes competitors like Tesla, whose Robotaxi service uses safety monitors, and Amazon’s Zoox, which has yet to charge customers for rides.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.