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Meta Quest Advertising In London
Advertising for Meta Quest virtual reality headsets on a digital billboard in London (Mike Kemp/Getty Images)

Meta, Amazon, and lots of tech firms will be indirectly harmed by tariffs, too

There aren’t tariffs on digital goods yet, but advertising — and by extension tech companies — will certainly feel the pain.

Rani Molla

Tariffs are terrible for companies that sell physical products. They’re also bad news for the companies that make money advertising those products — even if digital services aren’t subject to tariffs.

That’s because when there’s economic turmoil, advertising budgets are the first to go.

That pain could be most strongly felt by American tech companies like Google, Meta, and Amazon, which eMarketer previously forecast would bring in a combined $462 billion in digital ad revenue. Relatively smaller ad-supported businesses like Reddit and Snap are also seeing steep losses. (That’s not to mention how their tech hardware businesses will be adversely affected.)

What’s more, for many tech businesses, Chinese companies are responsible for a lot of the advertising, and that floor will likely cave under 54% tariffs. Tariffs that affect Chinese sales will hit advertising, too. Madison and Wall analyst Brian Wieser estimated that about $10 billion of Meta’s revenue for ads shown in the US come from outside the US, mainly China.

For Amazon, not only do many of the goods sold on its site originate in China, but those sellers spend a pretty penny advertising those goods on Amazon, as well.

“Amazon likely generates a bigger percentage of revenue from Chinese advertisers trying to reach American audiences: Marketplace Pulse estimates that Chinese manufacturers represent 50% of Amazon’s top sellers on its marketplace site in the US, and the marketplace is likely the primary driver of advertising activity for Amazon,” Wieser wrote. “The new policies could almost be described as a tax on advertising.”

Both Madison and Wall and MAGNA, an ad measurement firm, recently lowered their expectations for US ad spending this year.

Meta is trading down over 4% today, Reddit is down 11%, and Google and Amazon are down more than 2%.

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Is OpenAI on its way to becoming Lyft?

Once nearly synonymous with AI, it just got surpassed in valuation by Anthropic. Now it looks like it’s also going to get beaten to the IPO starting line.

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Palo Alto Networks surges after it beats revenue and earnings estimates

Cybersecurity firm Palo Alto Networks jumped more than 10% in postmarket trading after reporting fiscal third-quarter results that beat analyst revenue and earnings expectations.

The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.85, versus the FactSet analyst consensus estimate of $0.79 on $3 billion in revenue. (Wall Street had expected $2.94 billion.)

The company also boosted its guidance for the full fiscal year. The company now expects non-GAAP EPS in the range of $3.77 to $3.79, compared to its previous projection of $3.65 to $3.70 (and analysts’ expectations of $3.68). It also forecast revenue of $11.415 billion to $11.425 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 24%, compared to previous growth expectations of 22% to 23%.

Through Tuesday’s close, the stock had risen more than 60% in the past month.

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Microsoft releases 7 new models, next-gen quantum chip at Build conference

Microsoft is making it clear it can stand on its own as a competitor in the AI arena.

Today at its annual Microsoft Build developer conference, the company made a flurry of announcements that move it further away from the shadow of its complicated relationship with partner OpenAI.

Among the products announced:

  • New Nvidia-powered Windows PCs: the Surface Laptop Ultra and Surface RTX Spark Dev Box.

  • Seven new homegrown AI models: MAI Image-2.5, MAI Image-2.5-Flash, MAIN Transcribe-1.5, MAI Thinking-1, MAI Voice-2, MAIN Voice-2-Flash, and MAI Code-1-Flash.

  • Majorana 2, the company’s next-gen quantum chip.

  • Microsoft Scout, an integrated always-on agent built on OpenClaw.

  • Project Solara, an AI gadget operating system.

Investors were unimpressed, however, as shares were down over 4% after the announcements.

  • New Nvidia-powered Windows PCs: the Surface Laptop Ultra and Surface RTX Spark Dev Box.

  • Seven new homegrown AI models: MAI Image-2.5, MAI Image-2.5-Flash, MAIN Transcribe-1.5, MAI Thinking-1, MAI Voice-2, MAIN Voice-2-Flash, and MAI Code-1-Flash.

  • Majorana 2, the company’s next-gen quantum chip.

  • Microsoft Scout, an integrated always-on agent built on OpenClaw.

  • Project Solara, an AI gadget operating system.

Investors were unimpressed, however, as shares were down over 4% after the announcements.

tech

Amazon’s Prime Day is coming early this year

Amazon is moving its four-day Prime Day event up from July, where it’s been for the last five years, to June 23 through 26.

The retail giant cites scheduling clashes with the FIFA World Cup and the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence as reasons for the move. Prime Day is one of Amazon’s biggest sales events of the year, helping drive $24.1 billion in US online spending last year, according to Adobe Analytics.

More concretely, the move means Amazon will pull a massive chunk of sales from one of its biggest events into Q2, which ends June 30, rather than Q3.

Beyond the top-line revenue shift, Amazon is also using the event to flex its newer strategic muscles, aggressively cross-promoting its same-day grocery delivery networks and its Amazon Haul discount storefront.

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