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PHANTOM THREADS

Meta says that Threads now has more than 350 million monthly active users

But the question remains: who actually uses it?

Millie Giles

Social media giant Meta reported its first-quarter earnings on Wednesday, and there was a lot to like: ad revenues increased 16% year over year; its AI data center plans are ramping up; and total revenue crushed expectations, hitting $42.3 billion.

But amid all of the big numbers, there was one comparatively needle-sized figure in the earnings call. CEO Mark Zuckerberg revealed that Threads, Meta’s answer to Twitter/X, has now grown to over 350 million monthly active users, up some 30 million from the previous quarter — or, the equivalent of adding roughly the entire user base (~35 million) of rival Bluesky in just three months.

It seems that the text-first app is still growing almost two years after its debut, with Zuckerberg indicating on the call that Threads “continues to be on track to become our next major social app.” For some reason, though, it just doesn’t really feel that way.

Though we don’t have access to in-app traffic, looking at site visit data from Similarweb suggests that people seem to be driving clicks to Bluesky, the new microblogging platform on the block, much more than to the Instagram-linked service.

Bluesky vs. Threads
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Bluesky rocketed in popularity during the US presidential election — owing to a mass exodus of users from X — with visits to the platform almost tripling in the month of November last year. Even since then, visits to Bluesky have gone up, climbing to ~73 million in March. Meanwhile, visits to threads.net have plateaued, having seen a much more modest uplift from November’s X-odus.

Now, if you’re wondering why a Meta-backed social media service has a “.net” domain, Threads has only just managed to secure “threads.com.” It officially changed the URL on April 24, after the messaging startup app that originally had the address was finally acquired by Shopify last June.

Common threads

So how does a platform that has 350 million active users per month only drive 28 million visits to its site?

One obvious answer is that, because it’s still so inextricably linked with Instagram, Threads users are even more app-based and therefore less likely to navigate to threads.net on a web browser. Another explanation is that the 350 million figure potentially includes a lot of people who might use Threads very lightly — clicking on one or two links via Instagram per month, with little intent on sharing Threads content more widely.

When Threads first launched in July 2023, it reported an instant surge of interest, hitting 10 million user signups in just seven hours, then 100 million in under five days — a milestone that took Facebook 4.5 years to reach.

But much of this momentum has come from Threads’ connection to Instagram, which reportedly has ~2 billion monthly active users. In order to sign up for Threads, you need an existing Instagram account; the direct message function on Threads redirects to Instagram DMs; and the microblogging app is plugged on Instagram feeds by showing users Threads posts from their followers and people of interest.

Accounts made through Instagram, then barely touched, are perhaps what’s giving Threads that “empty feeling,” and prompts the question of who actually uses it despite its strong user base. The challenge for Meta now is keeping those 350 million MAUs posting on the app — which it’s found some success in by creating spaces for particular topics of interest and communities, à la Reddit — and, beyond that, monetizing it. Last week, Meta announced in a blog post that all “eligible advertisers globally” will now be able to run ads on Threads.

X-ed out

Still, both Threads and Bluesky might struggle to outpace the original microblogging platform, X. Site visit data from Similarweb shows that X.com had 979 million site visits in March alone, almost 35x the amount of visits that threads.net saw that month.

X traffic Similarweb
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Indeed, on the same day that Meta reported its Q1 earnings, X CEO Linda Yaccarino reported that the platform now has 600 million monthly active users globally, slightly up from the 570 million the company said it reached last September.

However, Meta’s approach with Threads thus far has been to address its Goliath competition head-on. On Monday, an internal Meta planning deck was revealed in courts as part of the FTC’s ongoing antitrust trial against the company, which showed that employees initially pitched Threads as a better version of Twitter at a time when the social platform was experiencing “instability.” Now, Meta is stepping up efforts to directly wrangle users from X, testing a new feature that allows users to easily find the Threads accounts of the same creators they follow on X.

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Anthropic says that a group of Chinese AI startups are “distilling” their models by setting up huge numbers of fake accounts for Claude AI. In a blog post, Anthropic said that it disrupted “industrial-scale” campaigns by Chinese AI labs DeepSeek, Moonshot, and MiniMax. The company said that the group had over 16 million exchanges with Claude, after setting up 24,000 “fraudulent” accounts. Anthropic said it is developing countermeasures to prevent such attacks in the future.

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Report: OpenAI’s Stargate has been a chaotic mess

Just over a year ago, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stood alongside President Trump, Oracle’s Larry Ellison, and SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son to announce an ambitious $500 billion plan to build massive data centers in the US — Project Stargate.

While today an actual Stargate 1-gigawatt data center is certainly well under construction in Abilene, Texas, it turns out there wasn’t much of a plan in place at the time of the announcement, according to a new report from The Information.

The past year has been full of partner disputes, debt problems, and scuttled plans as the loosely defined project races to build the AI computing infrastructure that OpenAI is craving as competition heats up.

Per the report, OpenAI tried to build its own data centers as the project stalled, but lenders balked at funding the risky project. They eventually settled on the current plan, in which partner Oracle borrows the money and leases capacity back to OpenAI. OpenAI was still able to control the design of the facility.

The slow start for the project resulted in OpenAI missing its own goal of 10 gigawatts of AI computing capacity from Oracle and SoftBank by the end of 2025.

The past year has been full of partner disputes, debt problems, and scuttled plans as the loosely defined project races to build the AI computing infrastructure that OpenAI is craving as competition heats up.

Per the report, OpenAI tried to build its own data centers as the project stalled, but lenders balked at funding the risky project. They eventually settled on the current plan, in which partner Oracle borrows the money and leases capacity back to OpenAI. OpenAI was still able to control the design of the facility.

The slow start for the project resulted in OpenAI missing its own goal of 10 gigawatts of AI computing capacity from Oracle and SoftBank by the end of 2025.

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Ives says AI represents huge opportunity for cybersecurity firms as losses mount

Cybersecurity stocks continued to slide Monday, after Anthropic unveiled a new security feature for its AI model Friday. The company’s AI advancements have been wreaking havoc across software firms, and its latest foray appears to be doing the same to cybersecurity leaders, including CrowdStrike, Zscaler, and Cloudflare.

But similar to Dan Ives’ broader thesis on the software sell-off — which he has called “overblown,” arguing that the companies getting hit may ultimately become “core participants in the AI Revolution” — the Wedbush Securities analyst says AI is actually a positive for cybersecurity stocks.

“Anthropic going after this market with an initial tool validates our thesis that cyber security is the next frontier for the AI Revolution,” Ives wrote Monday morning, arguing that AI is elevating the risk environment — and the need for cybersecurity firms in the first place.

“AI will be a major tailwind to the cyber security sector over the coming years as protection of use cases, data, and endpoints expand markedly,” he said, adding that companies including CrowdStrike and Zscaler are well positioned to capitalize on the shift by incorporating AI into their strategies.

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Analysts slash Salesforce price targets ahead of Wednesday earnings, as narrative of AI eating its lunch persists

A number of analysts have significantly lowered their price targets for Salesforce, citing growing fears that AI workforce tools, including Anthropic’s Cowork, could threaten parts of its core business. According to reports, here are some of the recent cuts:

  • Morgan Stanley cut its price target nearly 30%, to $287 from $398.

  • Jefferies slashed its forecast 33%, to $250 from $375.

  • Barclays reduced its price target to $265 from $338.

  • Evercore ISI went to $260 from $340.

  • Last week, Citigroup also reduced its price target to $197 from $257.

Earlier this month, Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives offered a different view, adding Salesforce to his list of top 30 AI companies and calling the stock a “core participant” in the “AI revolution.” He described the recent software sell-off as “overblown.”

Shares of Salesforce, which reports earnings Wednesday, are down 30% year to date and 1% premarket today.

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