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Endgame: Nintendo Switch sales are dropping

Endgame: Nintendo Switch sales are dropping

Yesterday, video game giant Nintendo announced a 22% drop in sales of its flagship Nintendo Switch console in its latest fiscal year — a trend that the company expects to continue as the console enters its endgame.

Before the release of the Switch in March 2017, Nintendo had been through a tough few years. The company posted its first loss as a video game company in 2012, and then released its worst-selling console ever, the Wii U, in the same year, which was hoped to replace the fading 3DS. However, the Switch — played as a handheld console or on a TV — finally nailed the hybrid format, selling more than 14 million units worldwide in its first year. Today, the Switch stands as the third best-selling game console of all time, only behind the DS and PlayStation 2, with over 125 million units sold, accounting for 95% of the company's sales last year.

Consoling

However, with President Shuntaro Furukawa saying that selling 15 million units this year “is a bit of stretch” — and with limited information known about potential successor consoles — investors in Nintendo will have to place blind faith in the company pulling off a big platform pivot at some point. For any other company that might be a leap, but for Nintendo — which has pulled off a similar switch 7 or 8 times in its history, with video game credentials dating back to the NES in the 1980s — it feels possible, if not even likely.

In the shorter term, the company will be hoping that the much-anticipated release of The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom, a sequel to the smash hit Breath of the Wild, will sustain demand for the platform… for one more year at least.

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Jon Keegan

Judge blocks Pentagon’s move to blacklist Anthropic

A federal judge in Northern California has granted a preliminary injunction blocking the Pentagon from labeling Anthropic as a national security supply chain risk.

The ruling temporarily prevents the Defense Department from restricting the AI company’s access to federal contracts amid a dispute over its refusal to allow certain military and surveillance uses of its technology. The designation could also have shifted lucrative government work toward competitors, including OpenAI.

Earlier this month, Anthropic, the company behind Claude, sued 17 federal agencies and their heads, alleging the government exceeded its statutory authority.

tech
Rani Molla

Report: SpaceX’s record IPO may grant preferential access to retail investors and Tesla shareholders

SpaceX’s impending IPO could raise $40 billion to $80 billion and rank as the largest ever — as well as one of the most unconventional.

The Wall Street Journal reports several ways CEO Elon Musk is considering breaking with IPO norms:

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

tech
Rani Molla

Tesla released estimates for Q1 deliveries and they’re lower than analysts expected

Ahead of first-quarter earnings next month, Tesla released its own company-compiled Wall Street consensus estimate for deliveries: 365,645 vehicles. While that’s lower than the 382,000 FactSet consensus estimate, it represents a nearly 9% jump from Q1 2025, when Tesla sold 336,681 vehicles.

Tesla started releasing its own consensus estimates to the public — not just institutional investors — for the first time in Q4 2025. The move was seen as a way to temper investor expectations, as other estimates were too high. Last quarter, Tesla’s compilation was closer to actual numbers, which fell 16% year over year.

The market-implied odds from event contracts suggest 64% of traders think Tesla’s Q1 deliveries will be more than 350,000, 44% think it will be higher than 360,000, and just 21% have it at higher than 370,000.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.