Tech
Great expectations: Nvidia has driven the stock market higher, but can it live up to the hype this week?

Great expectations: Nvidia has driven the stock market higher, but can it live up to the hype this week?

Great expectations

For much of this year, AI has been the driving force behind much of the positive stock market narrative. Now, that optimism is set to be tested, as Nvidia, the best performing stock in the S&P 500 Index in 2023, will report earnings on Wednesday.

Back in May, Nvidia told investors that it expected revenue in its second quarter of the year to be around $11bn. There’s nothing particularly unusual about doing that — companies offer this sort of guidance all the time — except that it was roughly 50% more than what analysts were expecting... which is particularly unusual. Indeed, that kind of increase would have been surprising even for a much smaller company, but for a giant like Nvidia, it's pretty much unheard of.

Right place, right time

Not by accident, Nvidia now finds itself in the perfect position to cash in on the AI boom, as demand for the company’s graphics processing units (GPUs), which can power large-language models and other machine learning tools, surges. For example, OpenAI’s models for the groundbreaking GPT-3 model were trained on Nvidia hardware.

So far, Nvidia shares have roughly tripled in value this year, taking the company to a $1 trillion valuation, and dragging much of the rest of the tech sector with it. Will it live up to the hype?

Related reading: Chartr's Sunday Deep Dive — Checking In On ChatGPT.

More Tech

See all Tech
tech
Jon Keegan

Judge blocks Pentagon’s move to blacklist Anthropic

A federal judge in Northern California has granted a preliminary injunction blocking the Pentagon from labeling Anthropic as a national security supply chain risk.

The ruling temporarily prevents the Defense Department from restricting the AI company’s access to federal contracts amid a dispute over its refusal to allow certain military and surveillance uses of its technology. The designation could also have shifted lucrative government work toward competitors, including OpenAI.

Earlier this month, Anthropic, the company behind Claude, sued 17 federal agencies and their heads, alleging the government exceeded its statutory authority.

tech
Rani Molla

Report: SpaceX’s record IPO may grant preferential access to retail investors and Tesla shareholders

SpaceX’s impending IPO could raise $40 billion to $80 billion and rank as the largest ever — as well as one of the most unconventional.

The Wall Street Journal reports several ways CEO Elon Musk is considering breaking with IPO norms:

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

tech
Rani Molla

Tesla released estimates for Q1 deliveries and they’re lower than analysts expected

Ahead of first-quarter earnings next month, Tesla released its own company-compiled Wall Street consensus estimate for deliveries: 365,645 vehicles. While that’s lower than the 382,000 FactSet consensus estimate, it represents a nearly 9% jump from Q1 2025, when Tesla sold 336,681 vehicles.

Tesla started releasing its own consensus estimates to the public — not just institutional investors — for the first time in Q4 2025. The move was seen as a way to temper investor expectations, as other estimates were too high. Last quarter, Tesla’s compilation was closer to actual numbers, which fell 16% year over year.

The market-implied odds from event contracts suggest 64% of traders think Tesla’s Q1 deliveries will be more than 350,000, 44% think it will be higher than 360,000, and just 21% have it at higher than 370,000.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

ARC-AGI-3

The toughest AI benchmark just got a whole lot tougher

ARC-AGI-3 is the latest version of a clever benchmark that challenges AI models to solve mini video games with no written instructions.

Jon Keegan3/26/26

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.