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Bitcoin gains made up 25% of Tesla’s Q4 net profit, and regulatory credits were likely another ~30%

The recent bitcoin rally gave a major boost to Tesla’s income statement — though it wasn’t enough to offset the carmaker’s drop in overall profits. Yesterday, Tesla reported a sharp decline in earnings, with net income down 71% in Q4 due to a drop in average sales prices and increased spending on AI.

Yet the company’s bottom line received a ~$600 million lift thanks to a new digital asset accounting rule, the CFO noted in the earnings call. The new rule by the Financial Accounting Standards Board allows companies to report digital assets at fair market value each quarter starting in January.

With bitcoin on a tear after the November election, the company’s cash flow statement recorded a $589 million noncash gain, meaning bitcoin accounted for a quarter (25%) of the company’s $2.332 billion profit for Q4. The company also reported that it made $692 million in revenue from automotive regulatory credits — which are highly likely to be pure profit for Tesla.

That would mean that more than half of Tesla’s Q4 net profit was from bitcoin gains, or regulatory credits.

According to company filings, Tesla held 11,509 bitcoins as of December 31, 2024, valued at $1.076 billion. The Texas-based EV maker is now the fifth-largest publicly traded bitcoin holder, trailing behind MicroStrategy — which is on a 10-week bitcoin buying streak — MARA, Riot, and Galaxy Digital, per multiple bitcoin-tracking sources.

Go Deeper: Elon Musk wants you to focus on everything but Tesla’s struggling electric car business

Yet the company’s bottom line received a ~$600 million lift thanks to a new digital asset accounting rule, the CFO noted in the earnings call. The new rule by the Financial Accounting Standards Board allows companies to report digital assets at fair market value each quarter starting in January.

With bitcoin on a tear after the November election, the company’s cash flow statement recorded a $589 million noncash gain, meaning bitcoin accounted for a quarter (25%) of the company’s $2.332 billion profit for Q4. The company also reported that it made $692 million in revenue from automotive regulatory credits — which are highly likely to be pure profit for Tesla.

That would mean that more than half of Tesla’s Q4 net profit was from bitcoin gains, or regulatory credits.

According to company filings, Tesla held 11,509 bitcoins as of December 31, 2024, valued at $1.076 billion. The Texas-based EV maker is now the fifth-largest publicly traded bitcoin holder, trailing behind MicroStrategy — which is on a 10-week bitcoin buying streak — MARA, Riot, and Galaxy Digital, per multiple bitcoin-tracking sources.

Go Deeper: Elon Musk wants you to focus on everything but Tesla’s struggling electric car business

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Jon Keegan

Judge blocks Pentagon’s move to blacklist Anthropic

A federal judge in Northern California has granted a preliminary injunction blocking the Pentagon from labeling Anthropic as a national security supply chain risk.

The ruling temporarily prevents the Defense Department from restricting the AI company’s access to federal contracts amid a dispute over its refusal to allow certain military and surveillance uses of its technology. The designation could also have shifted lucrative government work toward competitors, including OpenAI.

Earlier this month, Anthropic, the company behind Claude, sued 17 federal agencies and their heads, alleging the government exceeded its statutory authority.

tech
Rani Molla

Report: SpaceX’s record IPO may grant preferential access to retail investors and Tesla shareholders

SpaceX’s impending IPO could raise $40 billion to $80 billion and rank as the largest ever — as well as one of the most unconventional.

The Wall Street Journal reports several ways CEO Elon Musk is considering breaking with IPO norms:

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

tech
Rani Molla

Tesla released estimates for Q1 deliveries and they’re lower than analysts expected

Ahead of first-quarter earnings next month, Tesla released its own company-compiled Wall Street consensus estimate for deliveries: 365,645 vehicles. While that’s lower than the 382,000 FactSet consensus estimate, it represents a nearly 9% jump from Q1 2025, when Tesla sold 336,681 vehicles.

Tesla started releasing its own consensus estimates to the public — not just institutional investors — for the first time in Q4 2025. The move was seen as a way to temper investor expectations, as other estimates were too high. Last quarter, Tesla’s compilation was closer to actual numbers, which fell 16% year over year.

The market-implied odds from event contracts suggest 64% of traders think Tesla’s Q1 deliveries will be more than 350,000, 44% think it will be higher than 360,000, and just 21% have it at higher than 370,000.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

ARC-AGI-3

The toughest AI benchmark just got a whole lot tougher

ARC-AGI-3 is the latest version of a clever benchmark that challenges AI models to solve mini video games with no written instructions.

Jon Keegan3/26/26

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.