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Tesla Optimus humanoid robot on display inside a Tesla pop...
Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robot on display (Stanislav Kogikuvia/Getty Images)

Tesla’s mission-critical Optimus project is reportedly falling behind schedule. Traders are buying the stock anyway.

The Information reports that Tesla is far behind on its promise to make 5,000 Optimus robots by year’s end, and the product is facing engineering challenges.

Elon Musk says Tesla’s Optimus robots will be the “biggest product of all time.”

But, as is so often the case, the company seems to be falling behind on the CEO’s timeline for producing them. As is also often the case, investors don’t seem to think that’s a problem.

A report from The Information on Friday says Optimus production is well behind Musk’s goal for 5,000 of the robots this year. “Hundreds” of the sleek black-and-white bots have been produced to date, and many of them sit without hands or forearms as the company works on replicating the mechanics of five fingers.

How did traders react, you ask? They don’t seem to think the speed bump will derail the company’s march upward, bidding Tesla stock up 4.9% by midday and putting it on track for its best day since July 2.

Tesla traders have a long and successful history of detaching from the fundamentals of the company in favor of dreams of an autonomous future (or maybe just big future stock returns).

For his part, Musk says Optimus could propel Tesla to be worth $25 trillion. He has a vision that every home and business will have a $20,000 Tesla Optimus toiling away on the tasks we can’t be bothered with.

During Tesla’s Q2 earnings call this week, Musk detailed some of the engineering challenges:

“It’s a very hard problem to solve. You have to design every part of it, from physics’ first principle, principles. There’s nothing that’s off the shelf that actually works. So you’ve got to design every motor, gearbox, power electronics, control electronics, sensors, the mechanical elements.”

And that’s just the hardware, which isn’t the hardest part. For these robots to truly be useful to the public, they need to know how to move through the world, use tools, walk dogs, and serve drinks all by themselves, unlike the human remote operators who were controlling the robots at Tesla’s Cybercab launch event.

On the earnings call, Musk acknowledged that autonomy is something the company needs to solve to unlock its next act, but it isn’t there yet. Musk said Tesla was in a “weird transition period,” which could hurt the company’s financials before full-service robotaxis and Optimus arrive.

“Does that mean, like, we could have a few rough quarters? Yeah, we probably could have a few rough quarters. I’m not saying we will, but we could, you know, Q4, Q1, maybe Q2. But once you get to autonomy at scale in the second half of next year — certainly by the end of next year — I’d be surprised if Tesla economics are not very compelling.”

Musk offered few specifics about Optimus on the call, but reiterated it was Tesla’s destiny:

“I’d be surprised if, at the end of five years, 60 months from now, if we are not roughly making 100,000 Optimus robots a month, I would be shocked.”

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SpaceX filings reportedly show no one can fire Elon Musk except Elon Musk

The only thing stopping Elon Musk from being chairman and CEO of SpaceX is Elon Musk, according to Reuters, which viewed an excerpt of the company’s IPO filing.

The document outlines a dual-class share structure giving Musk control via super-voting stock. The filing says he “can only be removed from our board or these positions by the vote of Class B holders” — shares he’ll control after the listing. It adds that if he keeps those shares, he could “continue to control the election and removal of a majority of our board.”

At a typical public company — even founder-led ones with dual-class structures — a CEO can be fired by the board of directors, which represents shareholders and can vote to remove them over issues such as corporate performance, strategy, or misconduct.

The unusual SpaceX setup means Musk is unlikely to face the kind of CEO succession pressure he’s dealt with at Tesla. Musk, of course, is not a typical CEO, and the value of his companies has long been closely tied to his presence.

To be sure, SpaceXs confidential IPO filing isnt in its final form yet — while the filing is still in the confidential phase, the company will be going back and forth with the SEC, which will review it and suggest or require changes.

At a typical public company — even founder-led ones with dual-class structures — a CEO can be fired by the board of directors, which represents shareholders and can vote to remove them over issues such as corporate performance, strategy, or misconduct.

The unusual SpaceX setup means Musk is unlikely to face the kind of CEO succession pressure he’s dealt with at Tesla. Musk, of course, is not a typical CEO, and the value of his companies has long been closely tied to his presence.

To be sure, SpaceXs confidential IPO filing isnt in its final form yet — while the filing is still in the confidential phase, the company will be going back and forth with the SEC, which will review it and suggest or require changes.

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Rani Molla

OpenAI’s models are officially coming to Amazon

Amazon is finally getting in on the hottest ticket in tech.

After Microsoft announced yesterday that it has agreed to give up its exclusive rights to sell OpenAI’s models, Amazon, as expected, will start offering them to customers — something Amazon Web Services CEO Matt Garman says users have been asking for “for a really long time.” Some models are available now in preview, and the most powerful GPT versions will show up “in the coming weeks.”

This is a big shift in the AI cloud wars. Microsoft’s early bet on OpenAI gave Azure an edge by locking up the most in-demand models. Now that exclusivity is gone, Amazon and other competitors can finally offer them too, closing a key gap and competing more directly for AI customers.

This is a big shift in the AI cloud wars. Microsoft’s early bet on OpenAI gave Azure an edge by locking up the most in-demand models. Now that exclusivity is gone, Amazon and other competitors can finally offer them too, closing a key gap and competing more directly for AI customers.

tech

Ship-tracking app surges as Iran war continues

As Middle East peace talks stretch on, with Tehran reportedly offering to reopen the Strait of Hormuz if the US lifts its blockade and the war ends, the owner of shipping intelligence platform MarineTraffic revealed that the app has gained millions of new users since the conflict began.

MarineTraffic’s user count jumped to 8.5 million this April, up from 3.5 million a year ago, the cofounder of its parent company, Kpler, said in an interview with the Financial Times. Paid subscribers, often workers within companies and governments looking for more data on supply chains and commodities trading, rose 11,000 in the same period.

Kpler, which also owns shipping intelligence platform FleetMon, draws its data from a range of sources, including the Automatic Identification System, satellites, and more than 500 people on-site, like port terminal operators.

Per Appfigures data, MarineTraffic is estimated to have raked in almost $1 million across March and April in app revenue (through April 27), more than double the ~$346,500 from the same months last year. Across the full year, Kpler expects to earn between $300 million and $400 million in annual recurring revenues.

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