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Tesla’s stock is down 5% amid poor January sales, negative analyst notes, and BYD’s “God’s Eye”

Tesla’s stock is trading at its lowest price since November, down 5.6% today and 13% so far this year. That’s happening amid news that sales, rather than returning to growth as promised, are dropping around the world this year. It also comes amid several negative analyst notes, including one from Oppenheimer yesterday, saying that Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s bid for OpenAI is a a distraction from Tesla’s core challenges.” Chinese competitor BYD also announced yesterday it will offer its God’s Eye” self-driving system on all models.

Separately, Tallbacken Capital Advisors CEO Michael Purves is recommending an options trade targeting additional downside in the shares by the May expiry.

“The stock has just taken out key support levels and bearish momentum is building,” he wrote. “Implied volatility levels are close to the lowest levels they have been in a year, making options more affordable.”

Purves is highlighting the May $300/$250 put spread (that is, buy a $300 strike put, sell the $250 strike put), which, at the low end, marks a retreat of more than 20% from the current price.

Separately, Tallbacken Capital Advisors CEO Michael Purves is recommending an options trade targeting additional downside in the shares by the May expiry.

“The stock has just taken out key support levels and bearish momentum is building,” he wrote. “Implied volatility levels are close to the lowest levels they have been in a year, making options more affordable.”

Purves is highlighting the May $300/$250 put spread (that is, buy a $300 strike put, sell the $250 strike put), which, at the low end, marks a retreat of more than 20% from the current price.

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WSJ: Anduril’s weapons systems have failed during several tests

Autonomous drones by sea, land, and air. Futuristic AI-powered support fighter jets, and swarms of networked drones controlled by sophisticated software. These are some of the visions for the future of warfare pitched by defense tech startup Anduril. Cofounded by Oculus founder Palmer Luckey, the Peter Thiel-backed startup has landed some major national security contracts based on this futuristic outlook for battlefield AI.

But according to a report from The Wall Street Journal, the company’s tech is failing key tests in the real world, raising concerns about the viability and safety of Anduril’s systems within the military command.

Anduril’s Altius drones proved vulnerable to Russian jamming while deployed in Ukraine and have been pulled from the battlefield, per the report.

More than a dozen sea-based drone ships powered by Anduril’s Lattice command and control software recently shut down during a Navy test, creating a hazard for other vessels in the exercise.

And this summer, during a drone intercept test, Anduril’s counter-drone system crashed and caused a 22-acre fire at a California airport, the report found.

Anduril told the WSJ that the failures are just part of its rapid iterative development process:

“We recognize that our highly iterative model of technology development — moving fast, testing constantly, failing often, refining our work, and doing it all over again — can make the job of our critics easier. That is a risk we accept. We do fail… a lot.”

But according to a report from The Wall Street Journal, the company’s tech is failing key tests in the real world, raising concerns about the viability and safety of Anduril’s systems within the military command.

Anduril’s Altius drones proved vulnerable to Russian jamming while deployed in Ukraine and have been pulled from the battlefield, per the report.

More than a dozen sea-based drone ships powered by Anduril’s Lattice command and control software recently shut down during a Navy test, creating a hazard for other vessels in the exercise.

And this summer, during a drone intercept test, Anduril’s counter-drone system crashed and caused a 22-acre fire at a California airport, the report found.

Anduril told the WSJ that the failures are just part of its rapid iterative development process:

“We recognize that our highly iterative model of technology development — moving fast, testing constantly, failing often, refining our work, and doing it all over again — can make the job of our critics easier. That is a risk we accept. We do fail… a lot.”

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OpenAI’s partners shouldering $100 billion of debt, taking on all the risk

OpenAI’s ambitious plans for global AI infrastructure projects — like its series of massive Stargate AI data centers — will require tens of billions of dollars funded by debt, but you won’t find much of that on OpenAI’s balance sheet.

According to a new analysis by the Financial Times, OpenAI has somehow convinced its many partners to shoulder at least $100 billion in debt on its behalf, as well as the risks that come with it.

Partners Oracle, SoftBank, CoreWeave, Crusoe, and Blue Owl Capital are all taking on debt in the form of bonds, loans, and credit deals to meet their obligations with OpenAI for infrastructure and computing resources.

Having close ties with OpenAI has been an anchor for many publicly traded companies in recent weeks. The company’s cash burn and the rise of Gemini 3 have seemingly darkened its outlook and fostered guilt by association for many of its close partners and investors. Most notably, Oracle’s aggressive capital expenditure plans to support demand from OpenAI have sparked a sell-off in its stock while widening its credit default swap spreads.

A senior OpenAI executive told the FT: “That’s been kind of the strategy. How does [OpenAI] leverage other people’s balance sheets?”

Partners Oracle, SoftBank, CoreWeave, Crusoe, and Blue Owl Capital are all taking on debt in the form of bonds, loans, and credit deals to meet their obligations with OpenAI for infrastructure and computing resources.

Having close ties with OpenAI has been an anchor for many publicly traded companies in recent weeks. The company’s cash burn and the rise of Gemini 3 have seemingly darkened its outlook and fostered guilt by association for many of its close partners and investors. Most notably, Oracle’s aggressive capital expenditure plans to support demand from OpenAI have sparked a sell-off in its stock while widening its credit default swap spreads.

A senior OpenAI executive told the FT: “That’s been kind of the strategy. How does [OpenAI] leverage other people’s balance sheets?”

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Chinese tech giants are training their models offshore to sidestep US curbs on Nvidia’s chips

Nvidia can’t sell its best AI chips in the world’s second-largest economy. That’s an Nvidia problem. But it’s also a China problem — and it’s one that the region’s tech giants have resorted to solving by training their AI models overseas, according to a new report from the Financial Times.

Citing two people with direct knowledge of the matter, the FT reported that “Alibaba and ByteDance are among the tech groups training their latest large language models in data centers across south-east Asia.” Clusters of data centers have particularly boomed in Singapore and Malaysia, with many of the sites kitted out with Nvidia’s latest architecture.

One exception, per the FT, is DeepSeek, which continues to be trained domestically, having reportedly built up a stockpile of Nvidia chips before the US export ban came into effect.

Last week, Nvidia spiked on the news that the Trump administration was reportedly considering letting the tech giant sell its best Hopper chips — the generation of chips that preceded Blackwell — to China.

Citing two people with direct knowledge of the matter, the FT reported that “Alibaba and ByteDance are among the tech groups training their latest large language models in data centers across south-east Asia.” Clusters of data centers have particularly boomed in Singapore and Malaysia, with many of the sites kitted out with Nvidia’s latest architecture.

One exception, per the FT, is DeepSeek, which continues to be trained domestically, having reportedly built up a stockpile of Nvidia chips before the US export ban came into effect.

Last week, Nvidia spiked on the news that the Trump administration was reportedly considering letting the tech giant sell its best Hopper chips — the generation of chips that preceded Blackwell — to China.

tech
Millie Giles

Alibaba unveils its first AI glasses, taking on Meta directly in the wearables race

Retail and tech giant Alibaba launched its first consumer-ready, AI-powered smart glasses on Thursday, marking its entrance into the growing wearables market.

Announced back in July, the Quark AI glasses just went on sale in the Chinese retailer’s home market, with two versions currently available: the S1, starting at 3,799 Chinese yuan (~$536), and the G1, at 1,899 yuan (~$268) — a considerably lower price than Meta’s $799 Ray-Ban Display glasses, released in September.

tech
Jon Keegan

Musk: Tesla’s Austin Robotaxi fleet to “roughly double” next month, but falls well short of earlier goals

Yesterday, Elon Musk jumped onto a frustrated user’s post on X, who was complaining that they were unable to book a Robotaxi ride in Austin. Musk aimed to reassure the would-be customer that the company was expanding service in the city:

“The Tesla Robotaxi fleet in Austin should roughly double next month,” Musk wrote.

While that sounds impressive, there are reports that Austin has only 29 vehicles in service.

But last month, Musk said the Robotaxi goal was to have “probably 500 or more in the greater Austin area” by the end of the year.

Meanwhile, Google’s Waymo has more than 100 autonomous taxis running in Austin, and 1,000 more in the San Francisco Bay Area.

“The Tesla Robotaxi fleet in Austin should roughly double next month,” Musk wrote.

While that sounds impressive, there are reports that Austin has only 29 vehicles in service.

But last month, Musk said the Robotaxi goal was to have “probably 500 or more in the greater Austin area” by the end of the year.

Meanwhile, Google’s Waymo has more than 100 autonomous taxis running in Austin, and 1,000 more in the San Francisco Bay Area.

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