(Sherwood News)

The AI revenue race heats up: OpenAI expecting $12.7 billion this year; Anthropic cuts deal with Databricks

Revenue projections are rosy, but companies are still burning huge piles of investor cash.

3/27/25 3:18PM

AI companies have been burning hundreds of billions of investors’ dollars to grow their businesses, trying to figure out the business model along the way. Just today, it was reported that OpenAI is finalizing a $40 billion funding round led by SoftBank with a valuation of $300 billion.

Bloomberg reports that OpenAI is expecting its revenue to triple this year to $12.7 billion. Last year, the ChatGPT maker pulled in $3.7 billion in revenue, according to the report. Recently, The New York Times reported that the company was on track to lose $5 billion in 2024. Microsoft has invested $13 billion in OpenAI.

OpenAI came to market early with its $20 per month subscription to ChatGPT, a price that doesn’t seem to match up with the operating costs for the service.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman revealed recently that the company is losing money on its $200 per month ChatGPT Pro subscription, saying that “people use it much more than we expected.”

no, i personally chose the price and thought we would make some money
— Sam Altman (@sama) January 6, 2025

There are also paid ChatGPT plans for teams, enterprise, and education.

The Information recently reported that OpenAI was also considering charging $20,000 per month for “PhD-level agents.”

The cost of running ChatGPT services is likely to spike as all models going forward will be “reasoning” models, which take more expensive computing time to mull a problem and appear to increase the performance of the model. But it’s far from certain that the current product pricing will cover these huge costs.

Anthropic + Databricks

At least OpenAI is pulling in some serious cash. Competitor Anthropic is still playing catch-up with OpenAI and is also on a quest for revenue.

The Information reported that Anthropic is making about $115 million per month, a little more than one-third of what OpenAI is making, and the company burned $6.5 billion in cash last year.

To help juice that revenue, The Wall Street Journal is reporting that Anthropic has struck a five-year, $100 million deal to sell AI services to Databricks’ business customers.

Earlier this month, Anthropic said it raised another $3.5 billion, with a valuation of $61.5 billion. Founded by former OpenAI executives, the company has raised $8 billion from Amazon and expects to grow revenue to $34.5 billion by 2027.

Rani Molla13h

Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure, including a $10 billion bet from Berkshire Hathaway

To fund its rapidly expanding AI infrastructure push, Alphabet just announced a whopping $80 billion equity capital raise.

While concerns over share dilution sent the stock down slightly after-hours, the deal secured a major anchor partner: Berkshire Hathaway, which is backing the offering with a $10 billion investment. (Berkshire was run by Warren Buffett until he stepped down as CEO at the beginning of this year, handing the reins to Greg Abel.)

Alphabet plans to spend up to $190 billion on capex this year.

Alphabet Announces Proposed $80 Billion Equity Capital Raise to Expand AI Infrastructure and Compute

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Despite a massive surge in corporate AI spending, the technology is broadly failing to deliver the massive cost reductions executives had anticipated, according to a new global survey from Bain & Co. shared with Bloomberg. The largest share of major companies measuring their AI returns — 40% — realized cost savings of 10% or less, with poor access to internal data cited as the primary roadblock. Most had expected higher returns. More concerningly, Bain warned that many companies are using their original, overly optimistic projections — rather than their actual savings — to justify funding their next wave of expensive AI investments, creating a “circular bet with a structural leak.”

Rani Molla

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Meta thinks it can save its hardware division with AI subscriptions. There are reasons to be skeptical.

An $8 AI subscription won’t plug a $19 billion hardware hole.

A visitor is seen trying a Ray-Ban Meta glasses at a Meta

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Anthropic confidentially files for IPO

Anthropic has filed confidentially with the Securities and Exchange Commission for its initial public offering. The IPO is expected to be one of the largest in US history, and will likely be joined by OpenAI, which is also expected to go public before the end of the year.

The company filed a draft S-1 form with the SEC, which does not indicate the price of the offering. The official public S-1, which will come later, will give potential shareholders a first look at the finances of Anthropic, which just last week announced that it raised $65 billion, reaching a valuation of $965 billion. This puts the company well ahead of archrival OpenAI, which is currently valued at $850 billion.

Anthropic confidentially submits draft S-1 to the SEC

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Prosus may thwart Uber’s bid for Delivery Hero

Uber’s aggressive pursuit of Delivery Hero could hit a major roadblock. After the European food delivery giant rejected Uber’s initial $11.6 billion buyout offer, the American company pivoted, scooping up a 37% stake in the open market.

Now, Prosus, formerly Delivery Hero’s largest shareholder, is plotting a counteroffensive.

Thanks to an EU regulatory waiver Monday that temporarily pauses its mandatory stock sell-down, the Amsterdam-based investment firm is reportedly looking to either increase its stake or rally other shareholders against Uber. The goal: block the takeover entirely or force a significantly higher premium.

Prosus has warned about the loss of European tech relevance if a US giant swallows the company. Meanwhile, investors are loving the drama: the takeover tug-of-war, which also includes DoorDash, has sent Delivery Hero stock soaring over 75% in the past month.