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Airlines are getting smacked by — you guessed it — tariffs

Shares of airlines from Delta to United are getting pummeled as Trump’s tariffs take effect.

Max Knoblauch

Airline stocks have taken a beating this week as President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on goods imported from Canada and Mexico take effect.

Shares of carriers like JetBlue, Delta Air Lines, and United Airlines were all down more than 5% in afternoon trading Tuesday. Manufacturers like Boeing and Airbus (whose CEO recently called tariffs a lose-lose) are also down.

Fears that higher ticket prices, production costs, a drop in discretionary spending, and a weakening Canadian dollar could all impact travel have airline investors bracing for rough skies.

What do tariffs have to do with airlines?

Depending on how long tariffs last, the airline manufacturing supply chain could be significantly disrupted. Carriers could start leasing more jets, and an increase in demand for leasing could raise rates. Ultimately, that could bump up ticket prices.

Budget airlines, which operate on tighter margins and have already been struggling in recent years, could get squeezed harder than others.

According to reporting by Skift, a 25% tariff on imported aluminum could hike the production cost of a narrow-body aircraft by up to $2.5 million — though many material contracts are negotiated far in advance and could take years to be reflected in carriers’ bottom lines.

A decline in Canadian visitation to the US is also a factor playing into the tariff sell-off. Canada was the top source of international visitors to the US last year, with 20.4 million visits. If tariffs significantly weaken the Canadian dollar (which hit a one-month low Monday), travel to the US could also get pricier for Canadians. According to the US Travel Association, a 10% decline in Canadian travel could result in $2.1 billion in lost spending.

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Delta says the government shutdown will cost it $200 million in Q4

The 43-day government shutdown that ended last month will result in a $200 million ding for Delta Air Lines, the airline said in a filing on Wednesday.

That’s about $100,000 per shutdown-related canceled flight. (Delta previously said it canceled more than 2,000 flights due to FAA flight reductions.) When the company reports its fourth-quarter earnings, the shutdown will lop off about $0.25 per share.

Delta initially stayed calm about the shutdown, with CEO Ed Bastian stating in early October that the company was running smoothly and hadn’t seen any impacts at all. One historically long shutdown later, Delta wasn’t able to remain untouched.

The skies have since cleared, though, and Delta’s filing states that booking growth has “returned to initial expectations following a temporary softening in November.”

Delta’s shares were up over 2% as of Wednesday’s market open.

Delta initially stayed calm about the shutdown, with CEO Ed Bastian stating in early October that the company was running smoothly and hadn’t seen any impacts at all. One historically long shutdown later, Delta wasn’t able to remain untouched.

The skies have since cleared, though, and Delta’s filing states that booking growth has “returned to initial expectations following a temporary softening in November.”

Delta’s shares were up over 2% as of Wednesday’s market open.

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