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Apple stock dips as China considers probing its App Store practices

Apple shares sunk 3% in premarket trading on Wednesday after Bloomberg reported that China’s antitrust watchdog is considering looking into the iPhone maker’s App Store fees.

Citing people familiar with the matter, Bloomberg reports that China’s State Administration for Market Regulation is interested in examining Apple’s policies, including its blocking of third-party payment services and how much the company charges developers for in-app spending — sales of which Apple often takes a 30% cut on.

Though the regulator hasn’t decided whether to formally open an investigation into Apple yet, it’s a further headache for Apple’s already struggling Chinese business if it does go through: the tech giant has recently been dethroned as the top smartphone seller in China, dropping to the No. 3 spot after local makers Vivo and Huawei.

The threat of a probe also comes at a time when tit-for-tat trade tensions are building up between China and the new Trump administration. The Chinese watchdog also opened an investigation into Google and Intel over an alleged antitrust violation earlier this week.

Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives estimates that “Apple gets roughly $5 billion per year annually from China around App Store so it’s less about revenue exposure for investors and more about building US/China tensions with US Big Tech in line for retaliatory shots across the bow.”

Though the regulator hasn’t decided whether to formally open an investigation into Apple yet, it’s a further headache for Apple’s already struggling Chinese business if it does go through: the tech giant has recently been dethroned as the top smartphone seller in China, dropping to the No. 3 spot after local makers Vivo and Huawei.

The threat of a probe also comes at a time when tit-for-tat trade tensions are building up between China and the new Trump administration. The Chinese watchdog also opened an investigation into Google and Intel over an alleged antitrust violation earlier this week.

Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives estimates that “Apple gets roughly $5 billion per year annually from China around App Store so it’s less about revenue exposure for investors and more about building US/China tensions with US Big Tech in line for retaliatory shots across the bow.”

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Paramount is expected to raise its Warner Bros. offer to $32 per share

Paramount’s seven-day window to talk to Warner Bros. Discovery about its best and final offer is set to end at 11:59 p.m. ET on Monday, and the company is expected to finally raise the per-share dollar amount of its bid.

According to reporting by Variety, Paramount’s revised offer is likely to arrive at $32 per share for the HBO and CNN parent.

Paramount’s last major revision to its offer came earlier this month, when it said it would cover the $2.8 billion breakup fee that WBD would owe Netflix in the event of that deal falling apart, and would pay shareholders a “ticking fee” of $0.25 per share for every quarter the deal hasn’t closed after the end of 2026.

Netflix’s next move will be determined by the response of Warner Bros.’ board. Per reporting by Reuters, the streamer has ample cash to increase its own offer for its streaming rival. Analysts at MoffettNathanson Research last week said they expect Netflix to walk away from Warner Bros. if Paramount’s bid comes in “well beyond” $32.

As of Monday at 9 a.m. ET, prediction markets speculating on which company will ultimately come out on top of the bidding war have Netflix at a 46% chance over Paramount’s 43% odds.

Also potentially affecting prediction markets is a Truth Social post by President Trump on Sunday, in which Trump wrote that Netflix must fire board member Susan Rice immediately or "pay the consequences."

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Paramount’s last major revision to its offer came earlier this month, when it said it would cover the $2.8 billion breakup fee that WBD would owe Netflix in the event of that deal falling apart, and would pay shareholders a “ticking fee” of $0.25 per share for every quarter the deal hasn’t closed after the end of 2026.

Netflix’s next move will be determined by the response of Warner Bros.’ board. Per reporting by Reuters, the streamer has ample cash to increase its own offer for its streaming rival. Analysts at MoffettNathanson Research last week said they expect Netflix to walk away from Warner Bros. if Paramount’s bid comes in “well beyond” $32.

As of Monday at 9 a.m. ET, prediction markets speculating on which company will ultimately come out on top of the bidding war have Netflix at a 46% chance over Paramount’s 43% odds.

Also potentially affecting prediction markets is a Truth Social post by President Trump on Sunday, in which Trump wrote that Netflix must fire board member Susan Rice immediately or "pay the consequences."

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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