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Carvana: The online car dealer is struggling

Carvana: The online car dealer is struggling

Smells like bad business

If you ever thought that building giant, used-vehicle vending machines would be a great business model, we have some bad news for you. Carvana, the online used-car dealership, saw its shares plummet 39% in trading on Friday after they announced slowing sales.

Driven down

Despite riding the hottest used-car market in recent history, Carvana has yet to prove that its business model really works.

Revenues grew at lightspeed to more than $3bn a quarter, but as the economy has turned, so too has Carvana’s fortune, with modestly falling sales translating into rapidly mounting losses. Inspection centers across the country, heavy advertising spend and the cost of picking up and delivering cars have made the economics of each Carvana sale razor-thin. Offering loans and other fees has helped, but ultimately hasn't been enough to get the company into the black.

Arguably most worrying for investors is that the company reported having just $316m of cash on its balance sheet. With quarterly losses at a similar level, investors have dumped the shares, and the 34 glass vending machine monoliths increasingly look like white elephants.

Once hailed by some as the ‘Amazon of car dealers’, Carvana’s crash has been — on a relative basis — perhaps the most aggressive of any company in the last few years. The shares have fallen some 97% from their peak, reportedly wiping ~$18bn from the combined wealth of the father-son partnership who are at the wheel.

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Tom Jones

Demis Hassabis, Google DeepMind’s CEO and founder, was also an early Anthropic investor

A chess prodigy and an actual a knight of the realm in the UK, it’s perhaps no surprise that Demis Hassabis has made some strategic moves about his exposure to AI upside. According to people familiar with the matter, the influential AI architect became an angel investor in Anthropic, currently behind many of the leading AI models, per Arena AI leaderboards.

The Nobel Prize winner’s position in the Claude creator was previously undisclosed and, per the Financial Times, highlights Hassabis’ “growing influence across the AI industry.”

Google, which bought DeepMind, the company that Hassabis cofounded and heads to this day, for a reported ~$400 million in 2014, is also a key Anthropic investor. The tech giant reportedly plans to invest up to $40 billion in the AI company as part of the mutually beneficial relationship the pair have forged, with reports that Anthropic has committed to spending $200 billion in the other direction on Google’s cloud services over the next five years.

Im playing all sides, so I always come out on top

In addition to his financial support for Anthropic, Hassabis has also invested in a range of AI startups launched by colleagues, such as Inflection AI, a company set up by DeepMind cofounder Mustafa Suleyman (who is now CEO of Microsoft AI), as well as efforts from other collaborators, like David Silver’s Ineffable Intelligence.

Hassabis also emerged as a recurring figure on the fringes of the recent Elon Musk v. Sam Altman trial, cropping up repeatedly in testimonies and court documents and appearing to live, as The Verge put it, “rent-free” in Musk’s head.

Founded in 2021, Anthropic has recently raised funding at a reported $900 billion valuation, sending it soaring ahead of competitor OpenAI.

The Nobel Prize winner’s position in the Claude creator was previously undisclosed and, per the Financial Times, highlights Hassabis’ “growing influence across the AI industry.”

Google, which bought DeepMind, the company that Hassabis cofounded and heads to this day, for a reported ~$400 million in 2014, is also a key Anthropic investor. The tech giant reportedly plans to invest up to $40 billion in the AI company as part of the mutually beneficial relationship the pair have forged, with reports that Anthropic has committed to spending $200 billion in the other direction on Google’s cloud services over the next five years.

Im playing all sides, so I always come out on top

In addition to his financial support for Anthropic, Hassabis has also invested in a range of AI startups launched by colleagues, such as Inflection AI, a company set up by DeepMind cofounder Mustafa Suleyman (who is now CEO of Microsoft AI), as well as efforts from other collaborators, like David Silver’s Ineffable Intelligence.

Hassabis also emerged as a recurring figure on the fringes of the recent Elon Musk v. Sam Altman trial, cropping up repeatedly in testimonies and court documents and appearing to live, as The Verge put it, “rent-free” in Musk’s head.

Founded in 2021, Anthropic has recently raised funding at a reported $900 billion valuation, sending it soaring ahead of competitor OpenAI.

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