Legal US presidential prediction markets are imminent
A little more than one month from the 2024 presidential election, it looks like US voters will soon be able to put their money where their mouth is regarding their predictions for this year's winner.
Kalshi's CEO and founder, Tarek Mansour, posted on X that his company had won its lawsuit, opening the door for legal presidential election markets. The ruling lifted the stay the CFTC had requested against Kalshi’s 2024 congressional elections contracts while it appeals a lower court decision.
US presidential election markets are legal. Officially. Finally.
— Tarek Mansour (@mansourtarek_) October 2, 2024
Kalshi prevails. pic.twitter.com/jvObcQDczz
For context, Kalshi sued the CFTC in November 2023 for blocking election market contracts last year. While Polymarket has thus far been the biggest name in prediction markets, with media outlets from The Wall Street Journal to Bloomberg citing its election odds, Polymarket only operated overseas due to US regulations. With today's ruling, Kalshi is well-positioned to take the lead in the prediction market space.
For context, Kalshi sued the CFTC in November 2023 for blocking election market contracts last year. While Polymarket has thus far been the biggest name in prediction markets, with media outlets from The Wall Street Journal to Bloomberg citing its election odds, Polymarket only operated overseas due to US regulations. With today's ruling, Kalshi is well-positioned to take the lead in the prediction market space.