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Bears vs Texans
This is the closest we could get in the NFL to Bears vs. Bulls. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
Weird Money

NFL franchises and PE firms are a match made in heaven

The two may solve each other's liquidity issues.

Jack Raines

Earlier this week, Bloomberg reported that the NFL is meeting on August 27 to “discuss and potentially vote on allowing institutional investors to buy into teams,” and the NFL hired PJT Partners to “assess private equity interest.”

Assuming that a deal were to come together, it makes a ton of sense for both team owners and private equity firms. The reason? NFL teams are really, really, expensive, and private equity firms need somewhere to invest their capital.

There are 32 NFL franchises, and the average franchise is worth $5.1 billion, up from $423 million (or $773 million in 2023 dollars) in 2000. The NFL requires the majority owner of a team to own a 30% stake in the franchise, which means $1.5 billion, on average. There aren’t that many people who can afford to purchase an NFL team. If we assume that an owner wouldn’t want to spend more than 30% of their own wealth on an NFL franchise, only 214 billionaires in America worth $5.1 billion or more would fit the bill. Taking into account that only some percentage of them would have any interest in owning an NFL team, and that market shrinks even further.

Meanwhile, as noted in my other private equity piece, PE firms are raising more than they know what to do with, and they need assets in which they can invest billions of dollars. NFL franchises are cash-generating machines (18 franchises made more than $100 million in operating income in 2023, and all made more than $50 million), and previous discussions between team owners raised the possibility of institutional investors buying 10% to 30% stakes in companies. A 10% stake in the NFL’s least valuable franchise, the Bengals, would cost $350 million, giving these funds a much-needed destination for their cash and providing interested owners with sought-after liquidity.

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Netflix is down amid reports it’s leading the Warner Bros. bidding war as Paramount cries foul

Netflix’s charm offensive appears to be working.

Netflix is reportedly emerging as the leader in the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery after second-round bids this week, edging out entertainment juggernaut rivals Comcast and Paramount Skydance.

Investors don’t appear psyched by the streaming leader’s turn of fortune: the stock is down on Thursday morning, a day after closing down nearly 5% following reports that scooping up HBO Max wouldn’t necessarily result in a big market share boost.

Paramount, which has reportedly made five bids for Warner Bros. Discovery, doesn’t love the current state of play, either. The company sent WBD a letter questioning the “fairness and adequacy” of the process, highlighting reports that WBD’s board favors Netflix and is resisting Paramount.

Any offer would be subject to regulatory approval — a fact that may have weighed against Netflix’s offer given that cofounder Reed Hastings’ politics are vocally to the left, very much at odds with the current regulatory regime. Paramount seems confident in its ability to get approval, reportedly boosting its breakup fee to $5 billion should its potential acquisition fall apart in the regulatory process.

Investors don’t appear psyched by the streaming leader’s turn of fortune: the stock is down on Thursday morning, a day after closing down nearly 5% following reports that scooping up HBO Max wouldn’t necessarily result in a big market share boost.

Paramount, which has reportedly made five bids for Warner Bros. Discovery, doesn’t love the current state of play, either. The company sent WBD a letter questioning the “fairness and adequacy” of the process, highlighting reports that WBD’s board favors Netflix and is resisting Paramount.

Any offer would be subject to regulatory approval — a fact that may have weighed against Netflix’s offer given that cofounder Reed Hastings’ politics are vocally to the left, very much at odds with the current regulatory regime. Paramount seems confident in its ability to get approval, reportedly boosting its breakup fee to $5 billion should its potential acquisition fall apart in the regulatory process.

business

Delta says the government shutdown will cost it $200 million in Q4

The 43-day government shutdown that ended last month will result in a $200 million ding for Delta Air Lines, the airline said in a filing on Wednesday.

That’s about $100,000 per shutdown-related canceled flight. (Delta previously said it canceled more than 2,000 flights due to FAA flight reductions.) When the company reports its fourth-quarter earnings, the shutdown will lop off about $0.25 per share.

Delta initially stayed calm about the shutdown, with CEO Ed Bastian stating in early October that the company was running smoothly and hadn’t seen any impacts at all. One historically long shutdown later, Delta wasn’t able to remain untouched.

The skies have since cleared, though, and Delta’s filing states that booking growth has “returned to initial expectations following a temporary softening in November.”

Delta’s shares were up over 2% as of Wednesday’s market open.

Delta initially stayed calm about the shutdown, with CEO Ed Bastian stating in early October that the company was running smoothly and hadn’t seen any impacts at all. One historically long shutdown later, Delta wasn’t able to remain untouched.

The skies have since cleared, though, and Delta’s filing states that booking growth has “returned to initial expectations following a temporary softening in November.”

Delta’s shares were up over 2% as of Wednesday’s market open.

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