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Pete Stavros, Co-Head of Global Private Equity at KKR, which did a $565 million dividend recap this year. (PATRICK FALLON / Getty Images)

Private equity is loading up companies with debt to juice dividends and delay their pain

Needing to make distributions to investors, PE firms have turned to one of their favorite tools: dividend recaps.

I have written, a few times now, about private equity’s cash flow problem: namely, PE as an industry is now raising more funding than they are distributing back to investors, so a lot of investor capital is tied up in portfolio companies that funds haven’t been able to sell.

The life cycle of a typical PE fund might be 10-12 years, in which capital is invested over the first half of the fund’s life, and investments are sold to return capital to limited partners over the second half. However, when funds find themselves unable to exit those positions, they have a problem: where do they get the money to pay investors?

The answer: junk bonds.

PE funds use a practice known as a “dividend recapitalization” to raise new debt in order to pay their investors a cash dividend (one example is 1-800 Contacts, a KKR portfolio company, taking out a $565 million loan earlier this year), and, according to The Wall Street Journal, dividend recaps through early August 2024 have hit $43 billion, up from $7.4 billion in the same period last year. 

Dividend recaps aren’t new, and the use of leveraged loans to distribute cash to investors exploded in 2020 and 2021 (according to the Journal piece, this year’s dividend recap payouts still lag behind 2021). However, in 2020 and 2021, debt was much cheaper as the Fed funds rate was close to 0%. With benchmark interest rates now sitting at 5%, the loans funding dividend recaps are more expensive to service, pressuring the portfolio companies. Additionally, despite the recent uptick in dividend recaps, capital is still being distributed to investors at an anemic rate of around 12%, down from 31.3% in 2021.

Personally, I don’t think this practice bodes well for private equity. As noted in my venture capital piece, “down rounds” are growing more popular in the venture space as startups can no longer justify their 2021 valuations, and, if they want to raise more capital, they’re going to have to take a haircut on their valuations. The same dynamic is in play in the more liquid stock market: you have to transact at market price, even if that price is below what you perceive to be the fair value.

Private equity valuations, however, tend to be subjective, and funds don’t want to mark down the value of their investments. Dividend recaps allow funds to maintain current valuations and avoid taking losses, but they’re just kicking the can down the road. Sooner or later, they will need to exit their positions, and when you do have to sell, your investment is only worth what someone else will pay for it. Loading that investment with pricey debt doesn’t make it a more attractive asset.

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Demis Hassabis, Google DeepMind’s CEO and founder, was also an early Anthropic investor

A chess prodigy and an actual a knight of the realm in the UK, it’s perhaps no surprise that Demis Hassabis has made some strategic moves about his exposure to AI upside. According to people familiar with the matter, the influential AI architect became an angel investor in Anthropic, currently behind many of the leading AI models, per Arena AI leaderboards.

The Nobel Prize winner’s position in the Claude creator was previously undisclosed and, per the Financial Times, highlights Hassabis’ “growing influence across the AI industry.”

Google, which bought DeepMind, the company that Hassabis cofounded and heads to this day, for a reported ~$400 million in 2014, is also a key Anthropic investor. The tech giant reportedly plans to invest up to $40 billion in the AI company as part of the mutually beneficial relationship the pair have forged, with reports that Anthropic has committed to spending $200 billion in the other direction on Google’s cloud services over the next five years.

Im playing all sides, so I always come out on top

In addition to his financial support for Anthropic, Hassabis has also invested in a range of AI startups launched by colleagues, such as Inflection AI, a company set up by DeepMind cofounder Mustafa Suleyman (who is now CEO of Microsoft AI), as well as efforts from other collaborators, like David Silver’s Ineffable Intelligence.

Hassabis also emerged as a recurring figure on the fringes of the recent Elon Musk v. Sam Altman trial, cropping up repeatedly in testimonies and court documents and appearing to live, as The Verge put it, “rent-free” in Musk’s head.

Founded in 2021, Anthropic has recently raised funding at a reported $900 billion valuation, sending it soaring ahead of competitor OpenAI.

The Nobel Prize winner’s position in the Claude creator was previously undisclosed and, per the Financial Times, highlights Hassabis’ “growing influence across the AI industry.”

Google, which bought DeepMind, the company that Hassabis cofounded and heads to this day, for a reported ~$400 million in 2014, is also a key Anthropic investor. The tech giant reportedly plans to invest up to $40 billion in the AI company as part of the mutually beneficial relationship the pair have forged, with reports that Anthropic has committed to spending $200 billion in the other direction on Google’s cloud services over the next five years.

Im playing all sides, so I always come out on top

In addition to his financial support for Anthropic, Hassabis has also invested in a range of AI startups launched by colleagues, such as Inflection AI, a company set up by DeepMind cofounder Mustafa Suleyman (who is now CEO of Microsoft AI), as well as efforts from other collaborators, like David Silver’s Ineffable Intelligence.

Hassabis also emerged as a recurring figure on the fringes of the recent Elon Musk v. Sam Altman trial, cropping up repeatedly in testimonies and court documents and appearing to live, as The Verge put it, “rent-free” in Musk’s head.

Founded in 2021, Anthropic has recently raised funding at a reported $900 billion valuation, sending it soaring ahead of competitor OpenAI.

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Jury rules against Musk in lawsuit against OpenAI and Altman

Jurors in Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s lawsuit against Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, and OpenAI found the defendants not liable on all claims on Monday.

In a unanimous verdict reached after less than two hours of deliberation, the Oakland jury found that Musk had waited too long to bring his case forward, exceeding the statute of limitations.

Musk had alleged that OpenAI abandoned its founding mission as a nonprofit dedicated to developing AI for humanity and instead became a profit-driven company closely tied to Microsoft.

The verdict caps off a three-week blockbuster tech trial that could have seen Altman and Brockman removed from OpenAI leadership.

Musk had alleged that OpenAI abandoned its founding mission as a nonprofit dedicated to developing AI for humanity and instead became a profit-driven company closely tied to Microsoft.

The verdict caps off a three-week blockbuster tech trial that could have seen Altman and Brockman removed from OpenAI leadership.

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