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Rivian: Revenues are over-rated for the latest hot IPO

Rivian: Revenues are over-rated for the latest hot IPO

Rivian, a maker of "electric adventure vehicles" (glossy promo video here), is officially a public company — one with an eye-watering valuation of ~$105bn after its share price rose almost 30% on its first day of trading. That makes it more valuable than Ford ($78bn), GM ($90bn) or Ferrari ($49bn).

Profit? Who needs it

It probably goes without saying, but Rivian does not make a profit — fitting the bill for most companies that go public these days according to data from professor Jay Ritter. Last year just ~20% of IPOs were for companies actually making money, a similar proportion to that found during the dotcom bubble of the late 1990s. It's also a complete reversal of the early 1980s, when 80% of IPOs were for companies that were profitable.

Revenue? Who needs it

Rivian's valuation is particularly stunning because the company has recorded less revenue in its 12-year life than most of the coffee shops in your area — in fact Rivian is yet to record any material amount of revenue. Early reviews for its electric pick-up truck are generally quite positive, but how long can a company maintain a $100bn+ valuation without any revenue? We're about to find out.

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Ford reportedly in talks to buy hybrid vehicle batteries from Chinese auto giant BYD

Detroit’s Ford and China’s BYD are said to be in ongoing talks to partner on an agreement that would see Ford buy hybrid vehicle batteries from BYD, according to reporting from The Wall Street Journal.

The report comes just days after President Trump toured a Ford factory in Michigan and implied openness to Chinese automakers coming to the US.

“If they want to come in and build a plant... that’s great, I love that,” Trump said on January 13. “Let China come in, let Japan come in.”

Last week, China’s Geely Automobile Holdings said it expects to make an announcement about expanding into the US within the next three years. Chinese carmakers currently face huge tariffs and software restrictions, effectively barring their vehicles from the US.

Ford has doubled down on hybrid vehicles amid high EV costs and the end of federal EV tax credits. The automaker is currently building a battery plant in Michigan where it plans to use tech from Chinese battery maker CATL.

“If they want to come in and build a plant... that’s great, I love that,” Trump said on January 13. “Let China come in, let Japan come in.”

Last week, China’s Geely Automobile Holdings said it expects to make an announcement about expanding into the US within the next three years. Chinese carmakers currently face huge tariffs and software restrictions, effectively barring their vehicles from the US.

Ford has doubled down on hybrid vehicles amid high EV costs and the end of federal EV tax credits. The automaker is currently building a battery plant in Michigan where it plans to use tech from Chinese battery maker CATL.

Still life of Ozempic and Wegovy with weight scale.

Lawsuit alleges Lilly, Novo locked up telehealth to kill compounded GLP-1s

Novo Nordisk CEO Mike Doustdar estimated that around 1.5 million US patients are using compounded versions of the company’s drugs.

Handshake

Big Pharma enters 2026 with an appetite for deals

At the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, biotechs and Big Pharma signaled they’re primed for M&A this year, after a big year for deals in 2025.

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