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Robinhood romps before earnings numbers land

Shares of Robinhood are surging ahead of its earnings report after the close of trading Wednesday. The stock is flirting with some of its highest levels since August 2021, when it debuted as a publicly traded company. (It closed at an all-time high of $70.39 on August 4, 2021.)

Analysts are expecting big things from the report, with total revenues thought to have topped previous levels seen during the meme-stock mania of early 2021.

But Barron’s notes in its earnings preview that a key to the stock’s performance over the last year has been a surge in crypto activity:

“Cryptocurrency was a catalyst for Robinhood’s stock last year, and could be again in 2025, given President Donald Trump’s desire to loosen crypto regulations and boost investor demand for digital assets more generally. Last month, acting SEC Chairman Mark Uyeda unveiled the formation of a task force to study cryptocurrencies and chart a sensible regulatory path that respects the bounds of the law.’”

In fact, detailed estimates of expected transaction revenues collected by FactSet show that analysts expect crypto-related revenues to have trounced both options and equity trading during the quarter for the first time.

(Full disclosure: Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood Markets Inc. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

Analysts are expecting big things from the report, with total revenues thought to have topped previous levels seen during the meme-stock mania of early 2021.

But Barron’s notes in its earnings preview that a key to the stock’s performance over the last year has been a surge in crypto activity:

“Cryptocurrency was a catalyst for Robinhood’s stock last year, and could be again in 2025, given President Donald Trump’s desire to loosen crypto regulations and boost investor demand for digital assets more generally. Last month, acting SEC Chairman Mark Uyeda unveiled the formation of a task force to study cryptocurrencies and chart a sensible regulatory path that respects the bounds of the law.’”

In fact, detailed estimates of expected transaction revenues collected by FactSet show that analysts expect crypto-related revenues to have trounced both options and equity trading during the quarter for the first time.

(Full disclosure: Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood Markets Inc. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

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OpenAI’s ARR reached over $20 billion in 2025, CFO says

Sam Altman’s $500 billion artificial intelligence behemoth hit a major financial milestone last year, according to a new blog post over the weekend from OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar, as the company confirmed it had hit a more than $20 billion annual revenue run rate at the end of 2025.

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News
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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.