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A Tesla with its logo covered in snow in Norway in January 2025 (Jakub Porzycki/Getty Images)

Tesla is struggling in the US as its aging lineup faces new competition

Elon Musk’s electric-car company is looking more and more like struggling European automakers.

1/14/25 9:42AM

Last year, electric-vehicle sales in the US grew to 1.3 million, up 7.3% from 2023, according to a new report by Cox Automotive. But sales of Teslas, the top-selling EV maker in the country, declined by nearly 40,000 (or 5.6%) in 2024, as its aging lineup faces new competition.

That puts Elon Musk’s electric-car company more in line with struggling European automakers like Volkswagen and Mercedes-Benz. But as Sherwood previously noted, lower vehicle sales would typically cause a company’s stock to drop. That hasn’t been the case with Tesla, whose stock has been riding high on Donald Trump’s victory in the presidential election. Analysts have even made the bull case that Tesla’s stock could double as it transitions from electric vehicles to a yet to be executed autonomous ride-sharing business.

While Tesla’s global delivery numbers declined about 1% overall in 2024 — its first annual drop in more than a decade — growth in other markets like China helped offset the larger US decline. Tesla doesn’t break out regional deliveries, but Cox’s numbers track with other analyst estimates.

Despite the drop, Tesla still represented 44% of EV sales in the US in Q4, Cox data shows. It was followed by Ford at 8%.

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$1T

Tesla jumped more than 2% premarket on Friday after the company proposed an unprecedented roughly $1 trillion pay package for CEO Elon Musk, according to proxy filings.

To receive the massive payout, Musk will have to increase the company’s market cap to $8.5 trillion from the approximately $1 trillion it is today over the next 10 years.

The pay package also requires that Musk expand Tesla’s product offerings to include 1 million Robotaxis in commercial operation and the “delivery of 1 million AI Bots.” Currently the company has about 30 autonomous robotaxis in its invite-only Austin ride-hailing service, though this week the company expanded the waitlist for the service to everyone. Tesla's Optimus robots are still under development.

Musk would also have to take part in his own succession planning and develop a framework for who’s to follow him.

Investors have historically tied the fate of Tesla with Musk, so holding on to him for an extended period of time and having his blessing for the succession plan is typically seen as good news for the stock.

“We believe that Elon’s singular vision is vital to navigating this critical inflection point,” the filing reads. “Simply put, retaining and incentivizing Elon is fundamental to Tesla achieving these goals and becoming the most valuable company in history.”

A judge twice struck down Musk’s previous $56 billion compensation package. Last month the board approved a $30 billion interim pay package, saying that “retaining Elon is more important than ever.”

Shareholders will vote on the pay package at their annual meeting on November 6.

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