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Bitcoin and crypto industry can’t hold CLARITY Act bump as it heads to Senate

While bitcoin, Coinbase, Circle, and Strategy all gained right after the CLARITY Act cleared the Senate Banking Committee, the momentum reversed on Friday and crypto slumped.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

The CLARITY Act finally cleared the Senate Banking Committee in a 15-9 vote on Thursday, representing “crypto’s largest political win since the GENIUS Act became law last summer,” according to Benchmark Managing Director Mark Palmer. It will now head to the full Senate.

Patrick Witt, executive director of the president’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, said last week that the administration was targeting a July 4 passage.

“One small step for the Clarity Act and one giant leap for digital assets,” Senator Cynthia Lummis, who has championed the regulation, said in a statement.

Bitcoin rose to $82,000 while Circle, the stablecoin giant, jumped after the vote, but neither could hold those gains long.

Richard Green, director of institutional and ecosystem at Rootstock Labs, told Sherwood News, “The real fireworks were in crypto equities: Coinbase up 10%, Strategy up 6.6%.” 

But on Friday morning, the entire sector slumped.

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood that bitcoin’s short-lived rally has completely fizzled out under strong sell pressure.

Right now, he said, bitcoin is far more sensitive to macro tailwinds and geopolitical tensions than a little bit of positive regulatory news, especially considering the bill is still hanging in the balance.

“On the macro side, a hot inflation print and a lack of resolution in the US-Iran talks heading into the weekend are making investors nervous. That’s why bitcoin has failed to move past the $82,000 barrier — a key resistance level that it has repeatedly failed to conquer,” Puckrin said, adding that unless there is a meaningful move past that level on strong trading volume, he’s not convinced that bitcoin is out of the woods.  

Paul Howard, senior director at Wincent, told Sherwood, “Whilst some pundits were eagerly awaiting a strong breakout, I stand by my view (of gradual ascent) that price appreciation will take time given the bill has a few more hurdles to jump in the race to become law; those being the Senate and House.”

Meanwhile, bitcoin ETFs, following a massive $635.23 million exodus on Wednesday (the largest exit since January 29), reverted to inflows, with $131.3 million, according to SoSoValue.

With one day to go, the funds have registered $709.88 million in outflows so far this week, which would be the first weekly outflow since March 27 and the largest since January 30.

Johanna Collins-Wood, general counsel and head of compliance at Bitwise, told Sherwood that in the short term, CLARITY matters most where the rules have been least clear: stablecoins, tokenization, and DeFi — areas where crypto assets and networks like ethereum and solana play a much bigger role. 

Yet, while the picture for bitcoin is different, it’s still meaningful, she said.  

Collins-Wood said that if CLARITY continues to advance and the proposed language around digital assets remains in the version signed into law, it will codify bitcoin’s regulatory status as a non-security firmly into law.

“This may help bring in slower-moving institutional investors, such as pensions, insurers, and sovereign wealth funds, whose investment processes often require legal certainty,” she said.

Still, several points of contention remain unresolved in CLARITY, such as ethics and conflict-of-interest issues, and it faces many opponents, including the American Bankers Association, which is pushing back against stablecoin rewards.

Tim Sun, a senior researcher at HashKey, told Sherwood that while uncertainties persist, CLARITY’s potential to be signed into law this July would undoubtedly be one of the few major catalysts for bitcoin and the broader industry so far this year.

“This ‘bullish’ development isn’t just about short-term buying pressure triggered by regulatory clarity; more importantly, US federal legislation serves as a critical compass for the industry’s evolution. Clearer regulatory frameworks are a prerequisite for sustained institutional capital inflows,” Sun said.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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