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A worker installs a new row of bitcoin-mining machines (Mark Felix/Getty Images)

Bitcoin miners hit with downgrades, winter storm

While the bitcoin hashrate has crashed, experts say this is a temporary reaction to the weather.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Amid mounting fears that bitcoin is entering a bear market, bitcoin miners are also facing challenges, including difficult pivots to AI and a winter storm that forced some miners to shutter their operations. 

KBW analyst Stephen Glagola downgraded several companies, including Bitfarms, Bitdeer, and HIVE, to “market perform” from “outperform.” The stocks all dipped in early trading but recovered those losses in Tuesday’s session.

Several bitcoin miners have pivoted to AI to mitigate losses from bitcoin’s lackluster performance and secure steadier cash inflows, but not all have been able to transition successfully.

CoinDesk reported that Glagola’s downgrades were driven by the fact that “while the industrys pivot toward high-performance computing (HPC) and AI hosting is compelling, the path to monetization is fraught with execution risks and long lead times.”

Specifically, CoinDesk noted:

  • Bitfarms: “The market has already priced in the potential of its 120-megawatt (MW) Sharon, Pennsylvania, site.”

  • Bitdeer: Its current small scale, concentrated shareholder control, and related-party exposure were marked as a concern.

  • HIVE: Its reliance on partners makes it sub-optimally positioned next to pure-play data center competitors.

Additionally, the winter storm currently battering the US is putting pressure on their operations. 

SwanDesk CEO Jacob King posted on X that bitcoin’s hashrate has crashed to 690 exahashes per second from 1.13 zetahashes per second in just two days, “the largest drop ever recorded.”

“Large numbers of miners have powered down their machines. With prices falling and operating costs fixed, many will be forced to sell BTC to stay solvent, accelerating the downward spiral,” King wrote. 

Timot Lamarre, director of market research at Unchained, told Sherwood News that given the prevalence of bitcoin miners in Texas and the ability to curtail power usage by switching off when demand drives energy prices higher, the dip in bitcoin hashrate is likely temporary. 

Jessy Gilger, a senior adviser at Gannett Wealth Advisors, said that this record drop in hashrate isnt a network collapse.

“Bitcoin’s difficulty adjustment is a built-in balancing factor that has managed these fluctuations for 17 years, and the network will inevitably stabilize as the weather clears,” he said.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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