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Bitcoin rallies past $117,000 as the US government shuts down

Meanwhile, Strategy is surging following the IRS issuing interim guidance that would remove the 15% Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax for unrealized gains on bitcoin holdings.

The US government may be shut down, but bitcoin is up. The asset is up 3.4% in the past 24 hours and has shot past $117,000, levels not seen since mid-September. The price action has also pushed bitcoin dominance to 59% from 57%, according to Glassnode.

Lee Bratcher, president and cofounder of the Texas Blockchain Council, told Sherwood News, “It’s a safe haven asset for investors to turn to during times of macro uncertainty, just as we saw with the 2008 recession and in similar times.”

He added that how the price will move from here is uncertain. “In the short term, we may see BTC go down with investors in panic, but in the medium term, there’s going to be improved liquidity and greater support of risk assets,” Bratcher said.

Prior to the shutdown, the Treasury Department and the IRS issued interim guidance on Tuesday to remove the 15% Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax (CAMT) for unrealized gains on bitcoin holdings, sending shares of the two largest corporate bitcoin holders, Strategy and MARA Holdings, up in early trading.

To put this in context, Strategy holds $26 billion in unrealized gains, per The Wall Street Journal, and the regulatory move now “removes a significant source of potential overhang for Strategy,” TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza said in a note.

MARA’s vice president of investor relations, Robert Samuels, celebrated the news, saying it “is a significant win for MARA and our stockholders.”

Tim Kotzman, founder of Bitcoin Treasuries Media, said that for Strategy, the guidance eliminates the risk of being taxed on paper gains, which could have materially pressured its cash flows. “Strategically, this strengthens their position to continue expanding their bitcoin treasury strategy without incremental tax burdens,” he said.

Meanwhile, Metaplanet jumped up the corporate bitcoin treasury ladder with its latest acquisition of 5,268 bitcoin, which makes the Japanese company the fourth-largest corporate bitcoin holder, with 30,823 bitcoin.

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Ethereum struggles to hold market gains

After rallying from $1,830 to above $2,100 on Wednesday, ethereum struggled to hold on to its gains and dipped under $2,000, a round psychological price level, on Thursday. 

The seesaw price action helped liquidate $146 million worth of leveraged long and short positions on ethereum in the last 24 hours, data from CoinGlass shows.  

While ethereum was due for a relief rally after entering into oversold conditions as measured by its relative strength index, some are still maintaining a bearish sentiment, according to Delphi Digital analyst Simon Shockey.

With ethereum now trading under $2,000, Shockey called the rally “unconvincing.” He told Sherwood News that he doesn’t “think most crypto natives are compelled to really believe the lows are in,” adding that he could see ethereum fall further from here and make new lows in the second half of the year. 

The price action comes as cofounder Vitalik Buterin has sold $35 million worth of ethereum tokens since the start of February and the paper loss for the largest ethereum treasury firm, BitMine Immersion Technologies, has climbed to nearly $7.9 billion

On the positive side, ethereum developers introduced a new road map that involves seven hard fork upgrades by 2029 and several north stars, one of which aims to make ethereum a “post quantum” layer 1 network.

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Crypto industry sees relief bounce in midst of winter

Crypto assets and crypto-adjacent companies are catching a bid and rebounding off recent lows, with stablecoin issuer Circle soaring after reporting strong earnings before the bell. The company beat on revenue and reported that USDC in circulation has grown to $75.3 billion, up 72% year over year.

The total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies has increased 4.5% in the last 24 hours, and both tokens and companies close to crypto are enjoying a boost:

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

Despite the relief bounce, some are still uneasy. “The whole market still seems very heavy to me,” Glenn Rosenberg, managing partner at Persistent Trading, told Sherwood News. “Jokingly, BTC feels like it’s now 100% correlated to any asset or news that’s negative! I think we test 60,000 — that’s a big long-term channel and could push lower from there,” he said. “The whole [space] looks risky right now.”

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