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Bitcoin rally continues to break records, crossing $118,000 for another high

Several drivers contributed to the rally, pushing bitcoin to a record $118,667 early Friday morning.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Bitcoin has been on a wild ride in the past 48 hours, hitting new all-time highs one after the other and crossing $118,000 yesterday. To put this in context, Bitcoin was at $57,388 exactly one year ago — an over 100% jump.

Bitcoin hit a high of $118,667 early Friday morning, making bulls like Strategy’s Michael Saylor wax lyrical about the moment, posting on X, “The halls of eternity echo with the cries of those who sold their Bitcoin.”

Several drivers contributed to the rally, including:

  • Enormous institutional flows. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust surpassed the $80 billion mark yesterday, making it the “fastest ETF to get there in 374 days,” Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas wrote.

  • Strong regulatory momentum. The House of Representatives declared the week of July 14 “Crypto Week,” when lawmakers will consider the CLARITY Act and the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act, which the Senate passed last month. If the bill passes, it would be a watershed moment for the crypto industry. “The regulatory transformation in Washington has unleashed institutional demand that was bottled up for years, waiting for political clarity,” Les Borsai, cofounder of Wave Digital Assets, told Sherwood News.

  • A big short squeeze. Robert Harrington, head of crypto and digital assets at Cantor, noted that as bitcoin breaks through all-time highs, short traders using perpetual futures get liquidated. “This liquidation simply acts as a market order, which adds to the velocity of bitcoin’s upside move,” he said.

Alice Liu, head of research at CoinMarketCap, echoed Harrington’s sentiment, saying that the rally was supercharged by a sharp short squeeze, amplifying the move in hours.

“This forced buying typically accelerates momentum in thin-liquidity environments, which explains what we saw here,” she said. 

CoinGlass data shows that more than $2 billion was liquidated on July 10, “the highest short liquidation in four years.”

Nic Puckrin, founder of Coin Bureau, cited another driver: bitcoin has actually held up really well during times of geopolitical turmoil, so the “safe haven” narrative is playing out.

“The new ATH isn't a surprise — what’s somewhat surprising is that we didn’t get here a little bit sooner,” Puckrin said. “This delay is mostly thanks to the uncertainty around tariffs, and it appears to have pushed the cycle out further than previous ones. As such, I don’t expect this to be the end of the cycle; there will most likely be another correction, before a final push to around $150,000 in Q1 or Q2 next year.”

Harrington echoed Puckrin’s comments. “It’s pretty clear that US government spending is not coming down, and US debt continues its structural move higher. This creates a great backdrop for bitcoin,” he said, agreeing that he could easily see bitcoin heading to $130,000 to $150,000 within a short period. “In reality, these are all small moves,” he added.

Other winners from this rally include crypto-adjacent stocks, many of which are also riding the bitcoin wave, including bitcoin miners MARA Holdings and Riot Platforms, while Strategy was up 3%.

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Solana rises amid crypto rally after “breakout month” for solana stablecoins

Stablecoin transaction volume on solana climbed to a record $650 billion last month, more than double the network’s previous record. It also saw the highest volume of any blockchain last month, according to a Wednesday note published by Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl.

“Stablecoins are one of the megatrends driving adoption of blockchain technology, and Solana is well positioned to compete in this category,” Pandl wrote.

The research note comes as the supply of stablecoins on solana has jumped to $15.4 billion, a substantial leap since the start of 2025, when the figure sat at $5.1 billion, data from open-source analytics platform DefiLlama shows. 

The price of solana has increased 7.3% in the last 24 hours to return above the $90 level, outpacing bitcoin, ethereum, and dogecoin, per CoinGecko.

International banking group Standard Chartered has predicted solana will grow to $250 by the end of 2026, pointing to a shift in activity from meme coins to solana-stablecoin pairs, aided by AI-driven micropayments.

Meanwhile, the prediction market-implied odds of solana sliding below $60 in 2026 stands at 68% on Wednesday morning, and on the bullish side, traders are pricing in a 48% chance the token will rise higher than $150 in the year. 

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Meanwhile, the prediction market-implied odds of solana sliding below $60 in 2026 stands at 68% on Wednesday morning, and on the bullish side, traders are pricing in a 48% chance the token will rise higher than $150 in the year. 

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Kraken receives approval for “master account” from the Kansas City Fed in first for crypto companies

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City approved a limited purpose account for Kraken Financial, making the exchange the first cryptocurrency company to gain access to the Fed’s payment infrastructure, according to a Wednesday report from The Wall Street Journal. 

The approval “marks the convergence of crypto infrastructure and sovereign financial rails,” according to Kraken co-CEO Arjun Sethi. With a Federal Reserve master account, Kraken can directly connect to core US payment systems used by traditional banks and credit unions, enabling faster and more efficient fiat movement for Kraken’s institutional clients.

Sethi continued, “This creates a uniquely resilient foundation. It gives us the ability to settle directly on Fedwire, reduce dependency on correspondent banks, and integrate regulated fiat liquidity directly into digital asset markets.”

The approval of a Fed master account comes as Kraken, which was founded in 2011, is preparing for an initial public offering.

Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid in a press release said the payments landscape is actively evolving. “Throughout this transformation, the integrity and stability of the U.S. payments system remain our priority,” Schmid said.

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Crypto spot ETF flows diverge, a sign of investor rotation

Investors appear to be rotating where they are placing their crypto bets, but not necessarily fleeing the asset class entirely. 

Last month, spot bitcoin ETFs registered $206.5 million in outflows, marking their fourth straight month of redemptions. Ethereum spot ETFs saw even heavier withdrawal as $369.9 million left the investment vehicles, also marking a fourth consecutive monthly outflow. 

Since November, spot bitcoin and ethereum ETFs have posted more than $9.1 billion in cumulative outflows.

Bitcoin and ethereum are the market’s virtual ATMs, according to Chris Soriano, cofounder and chief commercial officer at BridgePort. “It’s no surprise when institutions start laying off risk or meet redemptions, they naturally sell what’s most liquid first,” Soriano told Sherwood News. “This is no different than when a traditional fund manager trims S&P 500 exposure before touching their small-cap growth positions.” 

On the other hand, newer funds based on altcoins haven’t stopped recording monthly green candles. 

Spot XRP ETFs pulled in $58 million last month and have yet to post a single negative month since their launch in November. Spot solana ETFs attracted $63 million and, likewise, remain in the black since their debut in October. 

The outflows of the two largest cryptocurrencies combined with the modest inflows of the two smaller tokens suggest a rotation regime, Soriano argued. “Institutions trimming their core liquid holdings while selectively adding to high-conviction, higher-beta positions where they think there’s more juice in the squeeze. It’s not a contradiction; it’s portfolio mechanics behaving exactly as you’d expect,” Soriano continued.

He added that XRP and solana’s markets are also thinner, which means the same dollar of buying pressure registers as a louder, more persistent inflow signal than it ever would in BTC or ETH.

Nic Roberts-Huntley, CEO and cofounder of Blueprint Finance, told Sherwood that bitcoin and etheruem’s outflows combined with XRP and solana’s inflows “may signal a broader market transition, one where capital increasingly chases specific use cases rather than the entire asset class moving in lockstep.”

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