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We’re so ₿ack

Bitcoin rally continues to break records, crossing $118,000 for another high

Several drivers contributed to the rally, pushing bitcoin to a record $118,667 early Friday morning.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Bitcoin has been on a wild ride in the past 48 hours, hitting new all-time highs one after the other and crossing $118,000 yesterday. To put this in context, Bitcoin was at $57,388 exactly one year ago — an over 100% jump.

Bitcoin hit a high of $118,667 early Friday morning, making bulls like Strategy’s Michael Saylor wax lyrical about the moment, posting on X, “The halls of eternity echo with the cries of those who sold their Bitcoin.”

Several drivers contributed to the rally, including:

  • Enormous institutional flows. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust surpassed the $80 billion mark yesterday, making it the “fastest ETF to get there in 374 days,” Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas wrote.

  • Strong regulatory momentum. The House of Representatives declared the week of July 14 “Crypto Week,” when lawmakers will consider the CLARITY Act and the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act, which the Senate passed last month. If the bill passes, it would be a watershed moment for the crypto industry. “The regulatory transformation in Washington has unleashed institutional demand that was bottled up for years, waiting for political clarity,” Les Borsai, cofounder of Wave Digital Assets, told Sherwood News.

  • A big short squeeze. Robert Harrington, head of crypto and digital assets at Cantor, noted that as bitcoin breaks through all-time highs, short traders using perpetual futures get liquidated. “This liquidation simply acts as a market order, which adds to the velocity of bitcoin’s upside move,” he said.

Alice Liu, head of research at CoinMarketCap, echoed Harrington’s sentiment, saying that the rally was supercharged by a sharp short squeeze, amplifying the move in hours.

“This forced buying typically accelerates momentum in thin-liquidity environments, which explains what we saw here,” she said. 

CoinGlass data shows that more than $2 billion was liquidated on July 10, “the highest short liquidation in four years.”

Nic Puckrin, founder of Coin Bureau, cited another driver: bitcoin has actually held up really well during times of geopolitical turmoil, so the “safe haven” narrative is playing out.

“The new ATH isn't a surprise — what’s somewhat surprising is that we didn’t get here a little bit sooner,” Puckrin said. “This delay is mostly thanks to the uncertainty around tariffs, and it appears to have pushed the cycle out further than previous ones. As such, I don’t expect this to be the end of the cycle; there will most likely be another correction, before a final push to around $150,000 in Q1 or Q2 next year.”

Harrington echoed Puckrin’s comments. “It’s pretty clear that US government spending is not coming down, and US debt continues its structural move higher. This creates a great backdrop for bitcoin,” he said, agreeing that he could easily see bitcoin heading to $130,000 to $150,000 within a short period. “In reality, these are all small moves,” he added.

Other winners from this rally include crypto-adjacent stocks, many of which are also riding the bitcoin wave, including bitcoin miners MARA Holdings and Riot Platforms, while Strategy was up 3%.

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$62B

Bitcoin digital asset treasuries (DATs) have taken a big hit amid bitcoin’s tumble, shedding $62 billion in value since the asset’s October 6 all-time high, Artemis data shows, with their fully diluted market cap dropping to $72 billion from $134 billion in early October.

Meanwhile, bitcoin, which has fallen below $62,000 on Friday morning, is down 50% from its all-time high. DAT pioneer Strategy’s market cap stood at $102.2 billion on October 6, according to Macro Trends, and is now down to $45.6 billion, a 55% decline. Strategy has been in hot water since it sold 32 bitcoin earlier this week, and because its digital credit instrument, STRC, has been trading below its par value. Shares of Strategy are down 17% in the past week.

crypto

“Sentiment for crypto is firmly in the gutter” as sector sinks, with tokens hitting multiyear lows

On Thursday, altcoins swept lower as bitcoin weakened. The tokens with the biggest losses in the last 24 hours are NEAR, ethena, and Zcash, each declining double digits in the period.

Other tokens have dropped to lows not seen in over a year in the past 24 hours:

  • Ethereum dropped 4.4% to under $1,780, a level not seen since April 2025.

  • XRP declined 4.5% to an 18-month low last hit in November 2024.

  • Solana decreased 6% to trade below the $70 mark, its lowest price since December 2023.

  • Dogecoin slid below $0.09, a 27-month low last seen in February 2024.

“Sentiment for crypto is firmly in the gutter as fears surrounding BTC/STRC and its potential overflow compound and overshadow anything that can be read as positive news (e.g. CLARITY movements),” according to Sean Dawson, head of research at crypto options platform Derive.xyz.

“[Altcoins] are high beta plays to BTC and are typically sold heavily in a downturn. Simply put, I’d be even more bearish on alts,” Dawson told Sherwood News.

“Further, liquidity has been drained into this year’s ‘superhot’ narrative of AI/data centers. In other words, there are just better, more exciting opportunities elsewhere,” Dawson added.

One cryptocurrency that has bucked the downtrend has been worldcoin, the native token for World, the digital identity project backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. While the broader crypto market has been pushing lower, WLD has jumped nearly 5% in the last 24 hours and 90% in the past seven days, data from CoinGecko shows.

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