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Ethereum stays range-bound as daily ETF inflows spike to highest since January

On Wednesday, spot ethereum ETFs recorded $169.4 million worth of inflows.

Sage D. Young

Even though ethereum is prone to volatility, the token has managed to hold within a range of $1,910 to $2,180 amid geopolitical conflict in the past week. 

“We started to see some conversation that crypto held up really well during that session, even in the face of what’s going on in Iran,” said Fredrick Collins, CEO of crypto analytics platform Velo.xyz

This feeds a theory that positioning is very light in the space. “Traders were cutting risk across all of their positions Monday morning — so if crypto held up, it suggests that very few people have any positions left in crypto,” Collins told Sherwood News.

“The value here as a safe haven has been unreliable, but recently it’s served as a strong portfolio ballast and that’s noticeable,” Collins continued. “I’d expect inflows to persist for a bit, and probably a lower-than-usual correlation to equities as well.”

The price action comes as spot ethereum ETFs saw $169.4 million in inflows on Wednesday, the most in a single day since January, per SoSoValue. To begin attracting people’s attention from a price perspective, ethereum would need to trade over $2,500, “given how beaten down it’s been,” Collins added. 

On the bearish side, Collins said ethereum falling under $1,900 would make it an asset in a clear downtrend. “Beneath $1,900 are prices weve spent a very low percent of the year at,” he said. “We can see the majority of the range post last months sell-off has been above it, and unless any further trips beneath it are short-lived, that would probably signify a bit of a defeat for all of the last months buyers.”

Hovering below the $2,100 level Thursday, ethereum is trading well under the cost basis of almost every ethereum treasury firm, data from blockchain analytics firm Artemis shows. 

For example, Bit Digital, a firm with one of the biggest stockpiles, at 155,434 tokens, said the total average acquisition price for its ethereum holdings was approximately $3,045, according to the firm’s monthly report published on Thursday. 

Market-implied probabilities derived from event contracts show traders are currently pricing in a 34% chance ethereum rises above $2,500 in March and a 17% likelihood the token climbs as high as $2,750.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Justin Sun sues Trump-backed World Liberty over frozen tokens

Crypto billionaire Justin Sun, owner of the world’s most expensive banana, was named an adviser to World Liberty Financial the day after investing $30 million in the project. (He’d later boost that with $45 million more.) Sun has long been a supporter of President Trump, and has not once, but twice topped a competition to amass the most $TRUMP coins. But it seems even for Sun, the gold has turned brass.

Sun announced on social media that he’s filed a lawsuit in a California federal court against the crypto project backed by Trump. 

The lawsuit alleges World Liberty engaged in an “illegal scheme to seize property” and “positioned itself as the new boogeyman” by stripping Sun of his governance rights, threatening to burn his WLFI tokens, and freezing his stash, which at times were worth $1 billion, according to the complaint dated on Tuesday. 

“I have tried in good faith to resolve this situation with the World Liberty project team without resorting to litigation,” Sun wrote in a lengthy X post on Tuesday night. “But the project team has refused my requests to unfreeze my tokens and restore my rights as a token holder. They have left me with no choice but to turn to the courts.”

The complaint also alleged that World Liberty appears to be in financial trouble, citing concerns over whether the project can repay an on-chain loan that was collateralized by using, at the time, $5 billion worth of WLFI. The token reached an all-time low less than two weeks ago.

Despite the escalation with World Liberty, Sun said the lawsuit does not change his feelings about Trump or his administration. “I have always been — and remain — an ardent supporter of President Trump and his Administration’s efforts to make America crypto friendly,” he said. 

The lawsuit alleges World Liberty engaged in an “illegal scheme to seize property” and “positioned itself as the new boogeyman” by stripping Sun of his governance rights, threatening to burn his WLFI tokens, and freezing his stash, which at times were worth $1 billion, according to the complaint dated on Tuesday. 

“I have tried in good faith to resolve this situation with the World Liberty project team without resorting to litigation,” Sun wrote in a lengthy X post on Tuesday night. “But the project team has refused my requests to unfreeze my tokens and restore my rights as a token holder. They have left me with no choice but to turn to the courts.”

The complaint also alleged that World Liberty appears to be in financial trouble, citing concerns over whether the project can repay an on-chain loan that was collateralized by using, at the time, $5 billion worth of WLFI. The token reached an all-time low less than two weeks ago.

Despite the escalation with World Liberty, Sun said the lawsuit does not change his feelings about Trump or his administration. “I have always been — and remain — an ardent supporter of President Trump and his Administration’s efforts to make America crypto friendly,” he said. 

$290M

On Saturday, ethereum-based protocol KelpDAO, known for liquid restaking, was exploited for $290 million, the largest hack of 2026 in the decentralized finance ecosystem. 

“Preliminary indicators suggest attribution to a highly-sophisticated state actor, likely DPRK’s Lazarus Group,” LayerZero said in its statement explaining the attack. KelpDAO issues rsETH, while LayerZero provides network infrastructure that allows users to move KelpDAO’s rsETH between blockchains.

The configuration of KelpDAO’s exploited application, powered by LayerZero, relied on a single decentralized verifier network (DVN), responsible for verifying the integrity of cross-chain messages. 

The industry best practice is for protocols to use a multi-DVN setup to prevent a unilateral point of trust or failure. A properly hardened configuration would have required consensus across multiple independent DVNs, rendering this attack ineffective even in the event of any single DVN being compromised,” LayerZero stated, essentially placing the blame on the restaking protocol for using a single-DVN setup.

The exploiters executed an RPC-spoofing attack and performed DDoS attacks to manipulate the single DVN instance into confirming transactions “that never in fact took place.” The LayerZero team said, “Operating a single-point-of-failure configuration meant there was no independent verifier to catch and reject a forged message.

Meanwhile, KelpDAO is preparing to dispute LayerZero’s account and place the blame on the latter, per a CoinDesk report.

Spilling over

The exploit has since impacted the wider crypto landscape.

The attackers successfully drained 116,500 rsETH from KelpDAO’s bridge, allowing them to deposit $249.7 million of the token to DeFi’s largest lending protocols and withdraw $228.2 million worth of different cryptocurrencies, wETH and wstETH, on-chain data from Arkham Intelligence shows.

Aave, the largest lending protocol, has frozen several markets and is now facing a liquidity crunch.

On Aave’s v3, the ETH, USDT, and USDC markets, which have a combined reserve size of $10.7 billion, have each reached a 100% utilization rate, as total borrowed equals total supplied. When borrows are maxed, users cannot withdraw their supplied liquidity.

The pseudonymous head of strategy at DeFi lending platform Spark, @MonetSupply, wrote on X, There has been a ~$300 million increase in borrowing with USDT collateral in just the past day since the rsETH exploit.

On-chain folks are spooked

The attack comes in the same month that Drift, a solana-based trading venue, suffered from an over $270 million hack. Saturday’s attack also follows worries stemming from Anthropic’s unreleased AI model Mythos, which “is capable of identifying and then exploiting zero-day vulnerabilities in every major operating system.” 

Even though the major cryptocurrencies have not seen their prices move substantially in the last 24 hours, crypto participants have been spooked, evident by the capital exiting the decentralized finance ecosystem.

DeFi saw its total value locked decrease by $13 billion over the weekend to $85.64 billion at the time of writing, its lowest point since April last year, data from DefiLlama shows. 

“OK — Kelpdao hacker, how much you want? Let’s just talk. With KelpDAO’s help, of course. It’s simply not worth it to sacrifice both Aave and KelpDAO and let them go down over this hack. You can’t spend $300 million anyway,” said Justin Sun, founder of the Tron blockchain, who has been beefing with the President Trump-backed World Liberty team. 

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.