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Polymarket on the verge of $200 million fundraise for $1 billion valuation

Polymarket, a platform where users use crypto to bet on real-world outcomes, is about to raise $200 million in a funding round, giving it a $1 billion valuation, according to The Information

Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, which led Polymarket’s $45 million series B funding round last year, is leading the newest fundraising event, and the platform is also planning to come back to the US, the report stated. 

The platform has banned US-based customers since 2022 after a settlement with the CFTC. The agency alleged Polymarket was “operating an illegal unregistered or non-designated facility for event-based binary options online trading contracts,” and ordered Polymarket to pay a $1.4 million penalty. 

The crypto-based prediction market gained popularity during the 2024 US presidential election. Currently, activity on the platform is focused on the F1 Drivers’ Championship and the New York City Democratic mayoral primary, with each seeing over $42 million in volume. 

The upcoming capital raise comes about three weeks after the prediction platform announced its partnership with Elon Musk’s social network, X, to create a joint product that provides data-driven insights to Polymarket users. 

Polymarket’s cumulative volume is nearing $14.8 billion, of which more than 38% was generated in 2025, data from The Block shows. Its all-time high in monthly volume came last November, when the figure reached over $2.6 billion. Roughly 174,510 users have placed bets on Polymarket this month so far, the lowest number since September. 

The Information previously reported that Polymarket may launch its own token.

The platform has banned US-based customers since 2022 after a settlement with the CFTC. The agency alleged Polymarket was “operating an illegal unregistered or non-designated facility for event-based binary options online trading contracts,” and ordered Polymarket to pay a $1.4 million penalty. 

The crypto-based prediction market gained popularity during the 2024 US presidential election. Currently, activity on the platform is focused on the F1 Drivers’ Championship and the New York City Democratic mayoral primary, with each seeing over $42 million in volume. 

The upcoming capital raise comes about three weeks after the prediction platform announced its partnership with Elon Musk’s social network, X, to create a joint product that provides data-driven insights to Polymarket users. 

Polymarket’s cumulative volume is nearing $14.8 billion, of which more than 38% was generated in 2025, data from The Block shows. Its all-time high in monthly volume came last November, when the figure reached over $2.6 billion. Roughly 174,510 users have placed bets on Polymarket this month so far, the lowest number since September. 

The Information previously reported that Polymarket may launch its own token.

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Ethereum gives up its 2026 gains

As the overall market goes risk-off amid geopolitical tensions, ethereum has decreased 7% in the last 24 hours and is basically flat for 2026.

The cryptocurrency is hovering just below $3,000, a more than 10% pullback from this year’s high of around $3,350. The recent drawdown is the sharpest in the last 24 hours among its peers. Over the same period, bitcoin is down 3.6%, XRP dipped 5.2%, solana slumped 5.6%, and dogecoin tumbled 4%. 

Meanwhile, leading ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies, which recently announced a $200 million investment into Beast Industries, acquired an additional 35,268 ethereum tokens worth $108 million last week, bringing its total to 4.2 million tokens worth nearly $12.7 billion at current prices. 

The firm also allocated 581,920 tokens for staking, ethereum’s security mechanism. Participation has been on the rise, and the entry queue to start staking is multiple times longer than the exit line.

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Ethereum parent chain sets new record in daily transactions

On Wednesday, the ethereum parent chain logged its highest-ever transaction count at over 2.5 million transactions, a roughly 34% increase from 1.9 million transactions on the first day of the new year, data from blockchain analytics firm Artemis shows. 

Artemis research analyst Alex Weseley told Sherwood News the largest drivers of the network’s transaction growth stems from Circle and Tether’s stablecoins, USDC and USDT, as usage of both are up over 200% year over year. 

“It has also been interesting to see that the average transaction fee has remained low at < $0.20 per transaction, compared to the $52 average transaction fee paid when transaction counts peaked in 2021,” Weseley added.

The all-time high follows the activation of Pectra and Fusaka last year, two network upgrades aimed at enhancing the scalability of ethereum. “The changes ethereum is making to scale the L1 are starting to pay off, though we are still in the early innings,” Weseley said.

The price of ethereum has increased ~7% in the past seven days, outpacing its peers bitcoin, XRP, solana, and dogecoin. Meanwhile, spot ethereum ETFs trading in the US have seen almost $415.9 million in total inflows during the year so far, with $175 million from Wednesday alone, per SoSoValue. 

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When will bitcoin break $100,000 again?

Bitcoin is having a strong start to 2026 that could see it catch up with precious metals’ rally. Bitcoin ETFs are also rallying, and saw their second consecutive day of massive inflows, recording $843.6 million on Wednesday, according to SoSoValue, bringing the total for the week to $1.7 billion.

Jake Kennis, research analyst at Nansen, told Sherwood News that a combination of easing inflation fears, geopolitical safe haven demand, stronger ETF inflows, and a technical breakout above $94,000 to $96,000 resistance are all converging to push BTC toward $100,000.

“The rally has solid institutional and onchain backing, but elevated leverage in futures markets and profit-taking by top traders near the $97K–$100K psychological resistance could trigger volatility,” Kennis said.

While bitcoin has retreated after nearing key resistance levels, Timot Lamarre, director of market research at Unchained, said that despite the asset having been well off all-time highs, it is set up for a sustainable run above $100,000.

“Institutions continue to open up bitcoin buying opportunities to new pools of capital, the macro environment continues to move toward significant monetary easing, and governments, companies, and individuals continue to increase their bitcoin stockpiles,” he said.

The analytics team at B2BINPAY echoed the sentiment, saying that the market structure remains bullish, “with potential to reach $100–105K in the coming weeks, potentially reaching the $120K–140K range later in 2026 if demand stays in place.” 

A failure would likely mean a pullback to the $88,000 to $90,000 range, where liquidity is already concentrated, they said.

“Another crucial marker is leverage. Funding rates and open interest are far from extreme, with total OI at around $65B. That’s high. Yet, it’s still below the prior record/near-record zone seen in 2025, around $72B–$75B. So the market isn’t stretched,” the analysts said.

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