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Traders bet XRP’s price will keep rising as it outpaces ethereum and solana

Meanwhile, more than half of XRP’s total supply is sitting at a loss.

Sage D. Young

XRP, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency and closely connected to Ripple, has increased nearly 5% in the last 24 hours to trade at $1.42, outpacing bitcoin, ethereum, and solana.

Traders are betting on XRP’s price rising higher in March, with prediction market-implied odds of the token climbing above $1.50 rising to 67% on Tuesday, an increase from 50% yesterday. 

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Despite the recent spike, XRP is trading substantially below $2.26, the price when its spot ETFs launched in November 2025. “The XRP ETFs have actually held up pretty well despite the massive pullback in price. They’ve taken in a cumulative $1.4 billion since launch,” Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart wrote in a social media post. 

Some of the largest holders of spot XRP ETFs include Goldman Sachs with an exposure level of $153.8 million, Millennium Management with $23.1 million, and Logan Strone Capital at $5.3 million, per Seyffart, citing data from Bloomberg Intelligence. “We only know a small portion of them [buyers/holders] because the vast majority don’t file 13Fs,” Seyffart added.

Meanwhile, the percentage of XRP’s supply not in profit sits at over 56%, data from blockchain analytics firm Glassnode shows. 

“My view is that crypto ETFs are primarily an access vehicle, allowing traditional financial participants to gain exposure to digital assets. They are not, in themselves, a fundamental long-term driver of demand,” a Glassnode senior analyst, who maintains the pseudonymous X account CryptoVizArt, told Sherwood News.

“At most, they can act as a short-term catalyst for market momentum, largely by amplifying speculative interest, particularly from retail investors,” the analyst said. “Beyond that, ETFs should not be seen as a mechanism that guarantees sustained long-term demand.”

Elsewhere, Ripple’s stablecoin, RLUSD, is nearing its all-time high in market capitalization at nearly $1.59 billion, an increase from $1.28 billion at the beginning of the year.

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The decentralized finance ecosystem had a brutal April, logging the highest monthly number of exploits ever at 28 hacks, with exploiters siphoning off a total of $635.2 million, data from DefiLlama shows. 

The two largest exploits in April occurred on ethereum-based protocol KelpDAO and solana-native trading venue Drift. The incidents rattled on-chain users, as the total value locked in DeFi across all networks dropped from a monthly high of $99.5 billion to $84.3 billion on Friday. 

“It’s a real problem, and if AI proponents (thinking specifically of Anthropic’s claims about Mythos) are to be believed, it’s only going to get worse,” according to Fredrick Collins, CEO of crypto analytics platform Velo.xyz. Collins argued that these exploits act as a significant limiter of institutional appeal, pointing to TheBlock’s report last week that JPMorgan held a similar view. 

“It’s simple — for many people, having any chance that you lose your entire investment or balance in something supposed to be ‘safe’ is too much to bear,” Collins told Sherwood News. 

However, not everyone thinks the recent hacks will curb interest from institutions. Nicolai Søndergaard, a research analyst at blockchain data firm Nansen, said to Sherwood, “I do not think these hacks will be a limit to institutional capital given the impact of AI and the speed at which threats appear stretch far beyond this industry.” 

Søndergaard continued, “Crypto to me seems to have been hit harder as many projects perhaps wanted to get a product out there quickly and didn’t invest enough in security, even with companies around to audit.” 

DeFi aims to enable internet users to have access to financial services, such as borrowing, lending, and trading, without any centralized intermediaries.

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Riot Platforms rises following Q1 revenue beat

The bitcoin miner turned data center operator released first-quarter earnings that surpassed expectations for revenue. Shares built on strong gains from Thursday’s session in after-hours trading following the results.

Riot Platforms reported:

  • Q1 revenue of $167.2 million, growing 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago and surpassing analysts’ expectations of $131 million.

  • A diluted loss per share of $1.44, much worse than analysts’ consensus estimate of a $0.72 loss, which includes unrealized loss on its bitcoin holdings.

The bulk of companys revenue stems from its bitcoin mining activity, which made up $111.9 million in the quarter, while its data center housing revenue stood at $33.2 million, per its press release.

The first quarter of 2026 marks an inflection point for Riot. CFO Jason Chung said on Thursday in the firms Q1 earnings conference call, With the delivery of our first 5 megawatts to AMD this quarter, Riot is now an active data center operator, and for the first time, our top line now includes contracted lease revenue from an investment-grade tenant.

The earnings report comes the same week the company announced amending its $200 million credit agreement with Coinbase by replacing a floating interest rate with a fixed rate, according to an SEC filing dated on Monday.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.