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Shayne Coplan at the 32nd Annual White House Correspondents’ Weekend Garden Brunch (Paul Morigi/Getty Images)
𝕏 marks the betting spot

Prediction platform Polymarket partnering with social network X

The crypto-based platform allows people to wager on real-world events like sports, elections, and even who will be the next pope.

Sage D. Young

Prediction market platform Polymarket and social network X are linking arms. On Friday, X announced Polymarket as its official prediction market partner.

Polymarket allows users to wager on real-world events like political elections, sport matches, and even the next pope using crypto. 

Now, the two applications are launching a joint product that integrates prediction market probabilities with analysis from AI chatbot Grok and data from X to provide insights to Polymarket users, according to a statement from Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan in a press release

“We look forward to enhancing X and Polymarket users’ ability to make instant sense of breaking news and make informed decisions about the future as we continue to scale our platform,” Coplan said. 

Polymarket is built on the polygon blockchain and has seen over $5 billion in volume year to date, data from The Block shows. So far in June, Polymarket has seen over 73,700 active users. The prediction market app gained steam during the November 2024 election, which saw the platform reach an all-time high in monthly betting volume at over $2.6 billion.

“The next information age won’t be driven by the 20th century’s media monoliths — it’ll be driven by markets,” Polymarket posted on X. “Our partnership with @X marks a new chapter for truth on the internet. The future of news is optimized for truth, rooted in transparency, and anchored in reality.”

“We are pleased to partner with Polymarket and look forward to bringing our data and technology to Polymarket users through a range of creative product integrations,” Linda Yaccarino, CEO of X, said in the press release.

Last year, Polymarket raised $45 million in a series B funding round led by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, with participation from ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin and Dragonfly Capital, CoinDesk reported.

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New bitcoin AfterDark ETF will be bitcoin at night, Treasurys by day

Tidal Trust II submitted form N-1A with the SEC to register a bitcoin ETF designed to systemically capture the cryptocurrency’s overnight return profile, a time window that delivered a significant portion of bitcoin’s upside last year.

The Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF provides long bitcoin exposure during US overnight hours, from the closing bell until the following morning’s market open, when the fund intends to unwind its positions, according to a document filed with the SEC on Tuesday. 

To gain that exposure, the ETF may use a number of methods, including bitcoin futures contracts, US-listed ETFs, or exchange-traded options on such bitcoin underlying funds. When the market is open and daytime trading is active, the fund’s portfolio will consist of US Treasury securities and other cash equivalents. 

In 2024, most of bitcoin’s gains occurred after-hours, senior Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas reported:

The AfterDark ETF filing comes as bitcoin crossed $94,000 on Tuesday, rising 4.5% in the last 24 hours. Even though spot bitcoin ETFs saw nearly $60.5 million in outflows on Monday, the investment vehicles have a cumulative net inflow of $57.6 billion, per SoSoValue.

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