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Standard Chartered predicts ethereum will more than double this year

The investment bank thinks the prospects for ethereum have improved, citing BitMine’s continued buying, stablecoin adoption, the plan to increase the network’s throughput, and the passage of crypto-focused legislation.

Sage D. Young

Standard Chartered expects ethereum to outperform its older sibling bitcoin in the year. 

Even though the firm lowered its end-of-year ethereum forecast from $12,000 to $7,500, Geoff Kendrick, global head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered, says the ETH-BTC ratio will return to 2021 highs.

According to a Monday research note, the forecast is largely informed by the network’s structural advantages, regulatory advancements, and flows from ETFs and treasury firms, such as BitMine Immersion Technologies, which added 24,266 tokens last week.

Standard Chartered expects the network to increase its throughput by 10x over two to three years following Vitalik Buterin’s 2025 announcement as well as optimism that the CLARITY Act, which aims to create a framework for digital asset markets, will pass the Senate.

The firm also sees stablecoins, tokenized real-world assets, and decentralized finance growing and for ethereum’s share to rise in tandem “as more TradFi activities move into the blockchain space, given that ethereum is trusted in the TradFi World.”

“Ethereum has been operating for over 10 years and its network has never gone down,” Kendrick wrote. “While other blockchains may be faster and cheaper, reliability will always trump marginal speed and cost savings for TradFi operators.” 

On Monday, Buterin introduced the “walkway test,” where the network’s value proposition is not strictly tied to features that are not in the protocol already.

Passing this test includes full quantum resistance, scalable architecture to “many thousands of TPS [transactions per second],” and a block-building model resistant to centralization pressures. 

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Ethereum climbs to highest point since end of January

Ethereum has rallied 8% in the last 24 hours to trade just under the $2,390 level, liquidating over $151.7 million worth of ethereum short positions in the period. 

The last time ethereum was at its current level was the last day of January, data from CoinGecko shows.

According to Jim Hwang, COO of investment company Firinne Capital, ETH has been acting as a risk asset: declining in times of heightened uncertainties such as the conflict in Iran, inflation expectations, and diminished rate cut hopes.

“Only in the last 24+ hours when these uncertainties have diminished are we seeing prices lift again. We can feel a bit of optimism but to the extent that this cease fire remains tentative, we should probably view the current ETH price gains with caution,” Hwang told Sherwood News. 

A GlassNode senior analyst, who maintains the pseudonymous X account CryptoVizArt, said on X that ethereum has “reclaimed the one-to-three month holder cost basis at around $2,300. So far, this structure is consistent with a bear market relief rally, comparable to the bounces observed in Q3-Q4 2022, rather than a structural trend reversal.” 

Tom Lee, chairman of ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies, said ethereum’s performance since the start of the Iran conflict demonstrates how the cryptocurrency is a “wartime store of value,” per the firm’s press release on Monday, in which it announced acquired 71,524 additional tokens worth $170.5 million. That brings its total stockpile to nearly 4.9 million tokens, or 4% of the total supply of ethereum. 

That said, the founder of venture capital firm Kenetic, Jehan Chu, told Sherwood, “It’s clear that regaining ATH [all-time high] will take real-world revenue-generation, and not just a Tom Lee narrative.” 

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