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Bitcoin bulls

Standard Chartered still sees bitcoin hitting $150,000 in 2026

The firm expects bitcoin to hit a new all-time high in the first half of the year, and predicts the asset will hit $500,000 in 2030.

The administration’s probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, which sent the price of precious metals soaring, didn’t do the same for digital gold. After hitting nearly $93,000 on Sunday night, bitcoin was around $90,000 on Monday morning, a level it’s been stuck at for the past few days.

Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, still anticipates bitcoin to hit $150,000 in 2026, he wrote in a January 12 note, after halving his projection last month.

“We expect CLARITY Act passage, along with solid US equity-market performance, to push BTC to a fresh all-time high in H1, defying fears of further price declines at this stage of the bitcoin ‘halving’ cycle,” Kendrick wrote.

Forecasts for 2027, 2028, 2029, and 2030 are expected to reach $225,000, $300,000, $400,000, and $500,000, respectively. Previously, Standard Chartered expected bitcoin to hit the half-million mark in 2029.

Kendrick noted that “weaker-than-expected bitcoin performance has dampened prospects for all digital assets against the USD given Bitcoin’s continued dominance of the sector.”

Meanwhile, bitcoin ETFs recorded $681 million in outflows last week, according to SoSoValue, a headwind for bitcoin’s price.

The bleeding out continued “despite elevated trading volumes of $19.5 billion, signaling active repositioning rather than disengagement,” said Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network.

Misir added that from a market structure perspective, the focus is on bitcoin regaining the $95,000 level, “where overhead supply and dealer positioning intersect.”

“Failure to do so likely keeps the price range-bound. A clean break, however, could unlock reflexive upside given the now-lighter positioning and improving options dynamics,” Misir said.

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Ethereum struggles to hold market gains

After rallying from $1,830 to above $2,100 on Wednesday, ethereum struggled to hold on to its gains and dipped under $2,000, a round psychological price level, on Thursday. 

The seesaw price action helped liquidate $146 million worth of leveraged long and short positions on ethereum in the last 24 hours, data from CoinGlass shows.  

While ethereum was due for a relief rally after entering into oversold conditions as measured by its relative strength index, some are still maintaining a bearish sentiment, according to Delphi Digital analyst Simon Shockey.

With ethereum now trading under $2,000, Shockey called the rally “unconvincing.” He told Sherwood News that he doesn’t “think most crypto natives are compelled to really believe the lows are in,” adding that he could see ethereum fall further from here and make new lows in the second half of the year. 

The price action comes as cofounder Vitalik Buterin has sold $35 million worth of ethereum tokens since the start of February and the paper loss for the largest ethereum treasury firm, BitMine Immersion Technologies, has climbed to nearly $7.9 billion

On the positive side, ethereum developers introduced a new road map that involves seven hard fork upgrades by 2029 and several north stars, one of which aims to make ethereum a “post quantum” layer 1 network.

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Crypto industry sees relief bounce in midst of winter

Crypto assets and crypto-adjacent companies are catching a bid and rebounding off recent lows, with stablecoin issuer Circle soaring after reporting strong earnings before the bell. The company beat on revenue and reported that USDC in circulation has grown to $75.3 billion, up 72% year over year.

The total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies has increased 4.5% in the last 24 hours, and both tokens and companies close to crypto are enjoying a boost:

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

Despite the relief bounce, some are still uneasy. “The whole market still seems very heavy to me,” Glenn Rosenberg, managing partner at Persistent Trading, told Sherwood News. “Jokingly, BTC feels like it’s now 100% correlated to any asset or news that’s negative! I think we test 60,000 — that’s a big long-term channel and could push lower from there,” he said. “The whole [space] looks risky right now.”

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