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Michael Saylor is blue (Dominic Gwinn/Getty Images)

Strategy misses Q4 earnings expectations

The largest corporate bitcoin holder reported results amid a widespread crypto crash.

Strategy, the largest corporate bitcoin holder, with 713,502 bitcoin, reported fourth-quarter earnings today that missed analysts’ earnings-per-share estimates. Shares were slightly down after-hours, but had already plunged 17% during Thursday trading alongside a widespread crypto crash, with the price of bitcoin falling below $64,000, a level not seen since 2024.

Shares are down 69% in the past year.

Revenue from its legacy software business stood at $122.8 million, just above analysts’ consensus estimate of $119.1 million, as compiled by FactSet. It reported a diluted loss per share of $42.93, way below expectations of a $0.08 loss.

But the main focus is on its bitcoin operations. Strategy purchased its bitcoin at an average price of $76,052 as of February 1. The company is now underwater on its holdings, and CoinDesk data shows that it faces a $6.5 billion unrealized loss.

Per the report, operating loss for the fourth quarter of 2025 included an unrealized loss of $17.4 billion on the company’s digital assets. In the fourth quarter of 2024, operating loss stood at $1 billion.

Strategy, with a $32.1 billion market cap (down from $75 billion in October 2025), has been trading below its crypto holdings, dipping under 1x mNAV (market-adjusted net asset value) and at 0.85x on Thursday, according to Bitcoin Treasuries.

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood News that now that bitcoin is in free fall, it leaves Strategy nursing a paper loss, but importantly, it’s not facing margin calls or forced liquidations.

“Its BTC isn’t pledged as collateral, and the first convert maturity isn’t until next year. Plus, the company has multiple potential levers, including refinancing, ATM issuance if mNAV stays above 1, and even limited bitcoin-backed lending. The bottom line is that MSTR has plenty of flexibility, regardless of where the Bitcoin price is going in the short term,” Puckrin said.

Earlier this week, Canaccord analysts slashed Strategy’s price target to $185 from $474, though they maintained a “buy” rating, CoinDesk shows.

Last month, TD Cowen analysts also lowered their price target on Strategy to $440 from $500, citing its “audacious” bitcoin buying and noting that “greater equity in the mix reduces BTC yield.”

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Altcoins from solana to dogecoin sink to levels not seen in years

As bitcoin continues to set new cycle lows, altcoins are revisiting levels not seen in several years. Over the past 24 hours:

  • XRP has dropped nearly 19% to trade at $1.24, its lowest mark since November 2024;

  • Solana is down 7% to trade under $84, returning to a price point last recorded in January 2024;

  • Dogecoin has slid 10% to $0.09, a price last seen in September 2024;

  • chainlink is down below $8.40, erasing all gains made since October 2023. 

It’s hitting the crypto ecosystem hard: 305,791 traders have been liquidated in the past 24 hours, with total liquidations standing at $1.46 billion, CoinGlass data shows. The market capitalization of the entire crypto space is now at $2.35 trillion, a drawdown of 7.5% in the last 24 hours and a stunning 46.6% plunge from the all-time high of $4.4 trillion set in October 2025. 

The altcoin market is correlated with bitcoin, with both undergoing a steep decline, according to Devin Ryan, director of financial technology research at investment bank Citizens Capital Markets & Advisory. 

As to what is driving the downswing, Ryan pointed to the October sell-off that triggered the massive initial wave of liquidations as well as a number of macro headwinds, such as ongoing geopolitical conflicts, concerns of another government shutdown, and uncertainty surrounding a new Fed chair.

There’s volatility in the asset class because of market structure issues and concerns around where bitcoin goes from here from a price perspective, Ryan said.

Ryan expects the correlation between bitcoin and the rest of the crypto ecosystem to break down over the next year to two years.

The recent volatility highlights that cryptocurrency’s blockchain technology is still in an early phase, Ryan said. “We are still in the early days of even getting the clarity around regulation and the legislation that’s needed to progress from this world of pilot phase — what might happen on the blockchain to here’s what’s happening on the blockchain and on which blockchains,” Ryan told Sherwood News. 

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Bitcoin faces not only short-term risks but a lack of catalysts for a turnaround

Bitcoin continues to plunge, hitting lows not seen since October 2024.

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Ethereum at a nine-month low after shedding over $100 billion in market cap in a week

Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, has shed over $100 billion of its market capitalization in the last seven days as the price falls under the $2,200 level, a nearly nine-month low, data from CoinGecko shows

Marking a bottom on any market action is difficult, but the price of ethereum still remains weak with more downside risks. Jim Hwang, COO of crypto investment firm Firinne Capital, told Sherwood News, “Looking back to the volatility back in April 2025, we see that there may be support around $1,500.” 

Meanwhile, spot ethereum ETFs have recorded $342 million in outflows so far this year. The token’s price action and ETF outflows are in “stark contradiction” to the network’s fundamentals, namely the increase in the amount of real-world assets tokenized and usage metrics, Hwang argued.

Ethereum’s price slump comes as cofounder Vitalik Buterin said on Tuesday that the “original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense,” pointing to how the progress of layer 2 networks has been slower and more difficult than initially expected, while the “L1 is itself scaling” and reducing fees.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.