Crypto
Bitcoin Continues Months-Long Steep Decline In Value
(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
Crypto Winter

Bitcoin rebounds after dreadful day that saw $1.26 billion in liquidations

CoinMarketCap’s Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at an all-time low of 5, representing “extreme fear.”

The bloodbath bitcoin’s been suffering seems to have been staunched, at least as of Friday morning, following the asset dropping to the $63,000 level on Thursday, it’s lowest price since October 2024. Bitcoin has climbed back above $68,000, but that’s still a 46% drop from its October 6 all-time high. This also marks bitcoin’s largest two-week drawdown since June 2022, according to K33 Research.

Reflecting the market panic, CoinMarketCap’s Fear and Greed Index hit an all-time low of 5, reflecting “extreme fear.”

Meanwhile, crypto liquidations reached $2.42 billion in the past 24 hours, CoinGlass data shows. Bitcoin suffered $1.26 billion in liquidations, with the bulk of them — $984.25 million — in long positions.

Bitunix analyst Dean Chen told Sherwood News that at this stage, the crypto market functions largely as a reflection of overall risk sentiment.

“Bitcoin has retraced toward its weekly demand zone, trading around the $66,000 level. Key structural support lies in the $62,000–$60,000 range, while a recovery above $71,000–$73,000 would be needed to signal an improvement in risk absorption,” Chen said. “Until political uncertainty is further digested, price action is likely to remain dominated by consolidation and post-deleveraging rebalancing rather than a renewed directional trend.”

Bitcoin ETFs continue to be in the red, with $434 million in outflows on Thursday. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, which was close to $100 billion in assets under management in October, is now down to $48.68 billion, SoSoValue data shows.

John Glover, CIO of Ledn, told Sherwood that bitcoin’s current retreat also calls into question whether we see highs above $100,000 at all in 2026. 

“There is something structural in the market that is causing weakness, but one thing is clear: the bears are attacking the bulls,” he said.

Longer-term, Josh Olszewicz, VP head of trading at Canary Capital, also told Sherwood that the dearth of any bullish catalysts at the moment and the macro backdrop remaining unsupportive for crypto assets leads him to expect the bear market to likely last until Q4 of this year, “with BTC price eventually stabilizing in the $50-$60k region around the 200-week moving average,” he said.

More Crypto

See all Crypto
crypto

Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

crypto

Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC and Chartr Limited produce fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and are fully owned subsidiaries of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Money, LLC, Robinhood U.K. Ltd, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, Robinhood Gold, LLC, Robinhood Asset Management, LLC, Robinhood Credit, Inc., Robinhood Ventures DE, LLC and, where applicable, its managed investment vehicles.