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Strategy’s earnings miss the mark but it’s still having a great day

Bitcoin’s buying machine Strategy reported first-quarter earnings today, the second one since its rebranding, and missed both revenue and earnings per share estimates.

The company’s legacy software business (remember, it used to have an actual business before becoming a bitcoin holding company) reported Q1 revenue of $111.1 million, below the consensus estimate of $116.3 million. This represents a 3.6% decrease year over year, compared to the first quarter of 2024. Strategy also reported a net loss of $16.49 earnings per share — far, far worse than analysts’ expectations, which expected a loss of just $0.02 a share.

That said, with each day, Strategy is further and further from what it used to be and more known for what it is: a stockpiler that now holds 553,555 bitcoin. Strategy announced a bitcoin yield of 13.7% and bitcoin gain of $5.8 billion year to date, representing 58% of its annual target, “demonstrating the effectiveness of our bitcoin strategy,” CFO Andrew Kang said in the release.

“With the strong momentum in the market and our successful execution of our treasury operations thus far this year, we are increasing our 2025 BTC Yield target to 25% and our 2025 BTC $ Gain target to $15 billion,” he added.

The company also announced a new $21 billion at-the-market (ATM) common stock equity offering.

The stock jumped earlier in the day to a year-to-date intraday high of $403. Shares dipped initially upon the earnings news but are back in the green in the after-hours market.

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BlackRock’s IBIT on track for its worst month of net outflows, as investors yank $2.3 billion from the bitcoin ETF in November

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, the world’s largest bitcoin fund, is heading for its worst month of outflows since it launched in January 2024.

Investors have pulled over $2.3 billion (net) throughout November so far. The jitters come as bitcoin grapples with its worst downturn since 2022, when the entire crypto world shook following the fall of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX — bitcoin has dropped more than 40% from its October high as of Monday’s close.

With their soaring popularity redefining and legitimizing cryptocurrencies at an institutional level, spot bitcoin ETFs have become a key barometer of wider investor sentiment surrounding the digital currency — as well as risk assets more broadly.

Notably, spot bitcoin ETFs like BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust tend to see their inflows accelerate with rising prices, and amplify falling prices when outflows become dominant. Citi Research, cited by Bloomberg, found that this feedback loop sees a ~3.4% price drop for every $1 billion pulled out from bitcoin ETFs.

Related reading: Bitcoin’s plunge produces technical signal that implies 60% more downside to come

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